Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Can 16th seed Francisco Cerundolo reach his first ever Grand Slam quarter-final? To do so he must beat third seed Alexander Zverev in the fourth round of the Australian Open. Time for our match prediction.
This is an outdoor hard court tournament and Cerundolo has never beaten Zverev on this surface. The 27-year-old leads the German 3-2 in previous meetings but all those victories came on clay courts.
Cerundolo has only previously reached round four at Roland Garros. This week has seen him beat Zhiizhen Zhang, Damir Dzumhur and 13th seed in straight sets with two tie-breaks played. He's up to 19th in the live rankings.
A win here will see either 11th seed Daniil Medvedev or 25th-seeded Learner Tien in the quarter-finals.
Alexander Zverev was the losing finalist last year but is still waiting for his first Grand Slam title. The German is playing his first singles tournament of the year. His only previous event was the team United Cup winning one match and losing the other.
This week has produced wins over Gabriel Diallo, Alexandre Muller and 26th-seed Cameron Norrie, all in four sets. He's down to fifth in the live rankings. We tip Zverev to win the first set and then go on to defeat Cerundolo.
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Alexander Zverev v Francisco Cerundolo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.35 | 3.19 |
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1.35 | 3.19 |
|
|
1.36 | 3.2 |
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|
1.32 | 3.1 |
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|
1.33 | 3.1 |
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Who will win the Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo match is: Alexander Zverev wins the first set and the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo game on 25/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Alexander Zverev has a 56.28% chance to win against Francisco Cerundolo according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.38.
- Francisco Cerundolo has a 43.72% probability of winning facing Alexander Zverev ⭐ with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.
Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Zverev has a 56.28 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | 56.28 % |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 43.72 % |
Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Form
Alexander Zverev and Francisco Cerundolo Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
17 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
5 Jan 2026 - United Cup
3 Jan 2026 - United Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
17 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
13 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
20 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
20 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
14 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
30 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo Key Points
- Zverev has won the first set in eight of his last 11 wins.
- Zverev has never lost to Cerundolo on this surface.
- Zverev has won the first set in three of his last four matches against Cerundolo.
- Zverev has won the first set in 12 of his last 13 wins in the Australian Open.
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Our Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction
Alexander Zverev is again going deep in the Australian Open. The 2025 runner-up has won four of his five matches this year, only losing to Hubert Hurkacz in the United Cup. He's lost a set in each of his first three matches this week but only once dropped the opening one.
Francisco Cerundolo is in round four here for the first time. He's won three of his four matches this year but lost set one when being beaten by Jaume Munar, Our Alexander Zverev v Francisco Cerundolo prediction is Alexander Zverev wins the first set and the match.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Alexander Zverev or Francisco Cerundolo, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
