Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
2025 runner-up Alexander Zverev is going well again in the Australian Open. Round three of this outdoor hard court Grand Slam sees the third seed face 26th-seeded Cameron Norrie. Time for our match prediction.
Round four will see the winner take on either 13th seed Andrey Rublev or 18th-seeded Francisco Cerundolo.
Zverev began 2026 representing Germany in the United Cup. The German beat Tallon Griekspoor but lost to Hubert Hurkacz. In this tournament, the world number three has beaten Gabriel Diallo and Alexandre Muller, both in four sets.
He leads Norrie 6-2 in previous meetings. Norrie won the first two but Zverev has won every match since, including a win here in 2024. Five of their last six matches have seen a tie-break played.
Cameron Norrie is Britain’s last representative in the singles. He struggled in round one beating Benjamin Bonzi in five sets after losing two of the first three. Norrie then beat Emilio Nava in four sets in round two.
A win over Zverev will see him equal his best of a fourth round in Melbourne two years ago. Norrie is 25th in the live rankings, 20 places below his opponent. Ten of his last 12 matches have seen a tie-break played. We tip more than 0.5 tie-breaks here.
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Alexander Zverev v Cameron Norrie Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.23 | 4.2 |
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1.21 | 4.4 |
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1.2 | 4.5 |
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1.19 | 4.1 |
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1.2 | 4.1 |
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Who will win the Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie game on 23/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Alexander Zverev has a 67.64% chance to win against Cameron Norrie according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.23.
- Cameron Norrie has a 32.36% probability of winning facing Alexander Zverev ⭐ with odds of 4.8 at Tonybet.
Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Zverev has a 67.64 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | 67.64 % |
| Cameron Norrie | 32.36 % |
Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie Form
Alexander Zverev and Cameron Norrie Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
17 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
5 Jan 2026 - United Cup
3 Jan 2026 - United Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
20 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
12 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
7 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
6 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
6 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
22 Jan 2024 - ATP Australian Open
25 Oct 2023 - ATP Vienna
1 Mar 2019 - ATP Acapulco Open
Alexander Zverev - Cameron Norrie Key Points
- Five of the last six matches between these two players saw a tie-break played.
- A tie-break has been played in five of the last six matches Zverev has played in the Australian Open.
- Norrie has played four tie-breaks in his last three matches.
- Before this tournament, eight of Norrie's last nine matches had included a tie-break.
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Our Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie Prediction
Alexander Zverev is still chasing a first ever Grand Slam title but has reached a final in both of the past two years. One was in this tournament last year and Zverev will be determined to go one better in 2026.
The German has dropped a set in both of his matches this week with Norrie losing three. There's been a tie-break played in all but one of the last six matches between these players. Our Alexander Zverev v Cameron Norrie prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
