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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Toronto Predictions
Alexei Popyrin won the Canadian Open last year when it was played in Montreal. This year it's in Toronto but the 18th seed has reached the quarter-finals. Can he beat top seed Alexander Zverev? Read our match prediction below.
Popyrin has not had a great year and this is only his third quarter-final of the year and the first on a hard court. Before this Masters tournament, the Australian had lost his last three games played on this surface.
He's come good again in the Canadian Open and has already beaten Daniil Medvedev and in the last round, Holger Rune. Both of those matches went to a third set. The winner of this match will face either Alex Michelsen or Karen Khachanov in the semi-finals.
Alexander Zverev has won all three of his previous matches against Popyrin, two on this surface but in the last decade. He beat Francisco Cerundolo in the last round when his opponent retired injured in the second set after losing the first.
Zverev had previously struggled to get past Matteo Arnaldi, needing to come from a set down.
The 28-year-old is at third place in the live rankings, 16 ahead of his opponent. We go for over 22.5 games to be played.
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The Best Betting Odds for Alexander Zverev v Alexei Popyrin Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.29 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.4 |
|
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Who will win the Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin match is: over 22.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin game on 04/08/2025 of the current ATP Toronto season:
- Alexander Zverev has a 71.74% chance to win against Alexei Popyrin according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.32.
- Alexei Popyrin has a 28.26% probability of winning facing Alexander Zverev ⭐ with odds of 3.6 at William Hill.
Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Zverev has a 71.74 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | 71.74 % |
| Alexei Popyrin | 28.26 % |
Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin Form
Alexander Zverev and Alexei Popyrin Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
21 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open
20 Jun 2025 - ATP Halle Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
31 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
23 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
18 Jun 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
31 Jul 2024 - Olympic Tournament
Alexander Zverev - Alexei Popyrin Key Points
- In best-of-three set matches, each of the last seven played by Popyrin have had over 22.5 games played in them.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction and seven of Popyrin's last eight hard court matches have included at least one.
- The last five completed best-of-three sets matches Zverev has played have all had over 22.5 games played in them.
- The last four completed matches Zverev has played (excluding retirements) have seen seven tie-breaks played.
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Our Alexander Zverev vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction
We could be in for a long match between these two players. Zverev has never lost to Popyrin but their last match on this surface was played six years ago. Popyrin is doing everything he can to hold onto his Canadian Open title despite average form in the past year.
Looking at the stats for both players, a side bet on a tie-break being played could well be a winning one. Our overall Alexander Zverev v Alexei Popyrin prediction is over 22.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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