Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Alex de Minaur is in the fourth round of the Australian Open for the fifth successive year. To reach the quarter-finals of this outdoor hard court Grand Slam, the sixth seed must beat tenth-seeded Alexander Bublik. Time for our match prediction.
A quarter-final against either top seed Carlos Alcaraz or 19th-seeded Tommy Paul awaits the winner.
Alex de Minaur has only once made it to the quarter-finals of his home Grand Slam. That was last year when he lost to eventual champion Jannik Sinner. De Minaur has never made it past the last eight of a Grand Slam.
To reach this year's last 16, the 26-year-old has beaten Mackenzie MacDonald, Hamad Medjjedovic (in four sets) and 29th seed Frances Tiafoe. The Australian has won five of his six matches this year and is sixth in the live rankings.
Alexander Bublik had lost in round one of this tournament for the past three years. This is the first time he's made it past round two in Melbourne. The 28-year-old has won all seven of his matches this year and won the title in Hong Kong.
So far in Melbourne, Bubliik has beaten Jenson Brooksby, Marton Fucsovics and Tomas Martin Etcheverry without dropping a set. He's never beaten de Minaur on this surface. We tip de Minaur to get the win.
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Alexander Bublik v Alex De Minaur Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.39 | 1.58 |
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2.4 | 1.58 |
|
|
2.38 | 1.57 |
|
|
2.38 | 1.51 |
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|
2.4 | 1.52 |
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Who will win the Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur match is: Alex de Minaur wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur game on 25/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Alexander Bublik has a 50.91% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 2.46.
- Alex De Minaur has a 49.09% probability of winning facing Alexander Bublik ⭐ with odds of 1.58 at Melbet.
Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alexander Bublik has a 50.91 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | 50.91 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 49.09 % |
Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Form
Alexander Bublik and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
11 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
10 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
9 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
9 Jan 2026 - United Cup
6 Jan 2026 - United Cup
3 Jan 2026 - United Cup
Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
31 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
29 May 2025 - ATP French Open
10 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Alex de Minaur has won both of his previous outdoor hard court matches against Bublik.
- Alex de Minaur is attempting to reach the quarter-finals here for the second year in a row.
- Before this week, Bublik had been beaten in round one here for the past three years.
- This is the first time Bublik has made it past round two in Melbourne.
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Our Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Alex de Minaur has a consistent if not spectacular record in his home Grand Slam. The Australian has won over 40 matches in each of the past four years. 2026 began with a loss to Casper Ruud but he's since won five matches in a row.
Alexander Bublik has won one title already this year and is yet to drop a set in this tournament. He has lost both of his outdoor hard court matches against de Minaur. Our Alexander Bublik v Alex de Minaur prediction is Alex de Minaur wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
