Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP French Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP French Open Predictions
Rising star Rafael Jodar is in the third round of a Grand Slam for the first time. The 27th seed takes on unseeded Alex Michelsen in round three at Roland Garros. Jodar has only lost three of his 20 clay court matches this season and our prediction is he'll win set one and match.
Jodar doesn't have any seeded players between him and the quarter-finals of this outdoor clay court Grand Slam. The winner of this match will take on either Thiago Astin Tirante or Pablo Carreno Busta in the last 16.
The 19-year-old has won one ATP Tour clay court tournament in 2026. Aside from his Marrakech win, the Spaniard has reached at least the last eight in all four of his clay court tournaments. So far on his Roland Garros debut, he's beaten Miomir Kecmanovic and James Duckworth, dropping one set.
He's now a career-high 28th in the live rankings, nine above his opponent.
Alex Michelsen had never won a match on two previous visits to Roland Garros. He has had a mixed clay court season with six wins but the same number of losses. One quarter-final has been reached in Geneva.
He's had wins over Alexander Shevchenko and Nishesh Basavareddy this week, losing one set.
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Alex Michelsen v Rafael Jodar Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 1.14 |
|
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4.94 | 1.18 |
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|
5.5 | 1.14 |
|
|
4.7 | 1.15 |
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|
4.7 | 1.16 |
|
Who will win the Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar match is: Rafael Jodar wins set one and match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar game on 29/05/2026 of the current ATP French Open season:
- Alex Michelsen has a 27.38% chance to win against Rafael Jodar according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 5.8.
- Rafael Jodar has a 72.62% probability of winning facing Alex Michelsen ⭐ with odds of 1.18 at Betwinner.
Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alex Michelsen has a 27.38 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | 27.38 % |
| Rafael Jodar | 72.62 % |
Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Form
Alex Michelsen and Rafael Jodar Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 May 2026 - ATP French Open
25 May 2026 - ATP French Open
21 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
20 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
18 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
7 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 May 2026 - ATP French Open
25 May 2026 - ATP French Open
13 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
12 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
10 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Alex Michelsen - Rafael Jodar Key Points
- Jodar is nine places above Michelsen in the live rankings.
- Only 14 players have earned more rankiing points than Jodar this year. Michelsen is only 41st in the ATP Live Race.
- Jodar has won one ATP Tour clay court title this year.
- Michelsen went through a poor run of five losses in six clay court matches earlier this season.
- Jodar has won the first set in each of his last eght victories.
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Our Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Prediction
Rafael Jodar has a habit of getting off to a quick start. The last three wins he's had saw him win the first set for the loss of just one game. The Spaniard has made it to at least the last eight in all his clay court tournaments in 2026.
Alex Michelsen has finally won a match at Roland Garros after two previous blanks. He has reached one ATP Tour quarter-final this year but had four first or second round clay court exits this year. Our Alex Michelsen v Rafael Jodar prediction is Rafael Jodar wins set one and match.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
