Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensik Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
12th seed Jakub Mensik will want to improve his record against 18th-seeded Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. The pair meet in round three of the BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells and Mensik is in good form on outdoor hard courts this year. Find out more in our match prediction below.
Of five previous matches between these two players, four were won by Davidovich Fokina. It's 3-1 on this surface with the last match being played last year. Mensik will be trying to avoid a fifth successive loss to the Spaniard but he is in good form.
The 20-year-old has reached a semi-final in Dubai this year and before that the last eight in Doha. His run in Doha included a victory over world number two Jannik Sinner. Mensik has won 14 of his 18 outdoor hard court matches this year and is 12th in the live rankings.
Round two of this Sunshine Swing tournament saw him defeat Marcos Giron 7-5 7-6.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Zachary Svajda in straight sets in round two. The Spaniard is five places below Mensik in the live list. He was a semi-finalist in Adelaide this year and recently got to the last eight in Dallas but only round two in Acapulco.
We tip Mensik to win this.
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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Jakub Mensik Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.26 | 1.64 |
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2.26 | 1.64 |
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2.12 | 1.66 |
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2.22 | 1.66 |
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2.07 | 1.67 |
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Who will win the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensik Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensik match is: Jakub Mensik wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensik game on 08/03/2026 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 48.8% chance to win against Jakub Mensik according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.26.
- Jakub Mensik has a 51.2% probability of winning facing Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ⭐ with odds of 1.67 at LSbet.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensik Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 48.8 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 48.8 % |
| Jakub Mensik | 51.2 % |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensik Form
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Jakub Mensik Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
13 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
11 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
9 Feb 2026 - Dallas Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
24 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
20 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
19 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensik Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
26 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
16 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
20 Feb 2024 - ATP Qatar Open
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik Key Points
- Only eight players have earned more ranking points than Mensik this year.
- Mensik has an outdoor hard court win over Jannik Sinner this year.
- Fokina lost in round two of the recent tournament in Acapulco.
- Mensik has won six of his last eight matches.
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Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensik Prediction
Who will face either Ben Shelton or Learner Tien in round four at Indian Wells? Our opinion is that it will be Jakub Mensik who has shown great form on this surface in 2026. He has a win over Jannik Sinner and was a semi-finalist in his most recent tournament.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has an impressive record against Mensik but his opponent is the player in the best form at present. Fokina has had some good results this year but struggled in Acapulco recently. Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Jakub Mensik prediction is Jakub Mensik wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
