Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Ajax
10/10/2026 15:00
NEC Nijmegen

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Eredivisie Predictions

Ajax will be looking to close the gap between them and the Eredivisie chasing pack when they welcome NEC Nijmegen this weekend. They enter this round eight fixture placed fifth, six points ahead of their 11th placed visitors. As clean sheets have become rare in these teams’ matches, we’ll make a stop in the goals market in our prediction.

Ajax are having a fair season so far and find themselves five points off the pace. They have won four times and with only one loss, have racked up 14 points. Michel's men, who are also active in the Conference League, are unbeaten in three games.

They went into the international break after a battling 2-2 draw with Excelsior at home. Ajax are one of three teams to have hit the 20-goal mark.

NEC haven't lost any of the last three meetings with Ajax and will be keen for this run to continue. The visitors, whose only win in this streak came away from home, have been blowing hot and cold this year.

Dick Schreuder's men have won twice and lost three of their seven fixtures. They are winless in five games and drew 1-1 at home with Go Ahead Eagles right before the international break. NEC, who are on eight points, have scored 12 goals while letting in 13.

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Ajax v NEC Nijmegen Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.3 5.8 7.4
1xbet
1.31 5.99 8.8
Melbet
1.3 5.9 8.7
Betwinner
1.3 5.9 8.7
22bet
1.59 5.04 4.09
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen?

Our prediction for the Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Ajax and NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.78% for a win of Ajax against NEC Nijmegen with odds of 1.59 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen is 27.78% with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.44% chance ⭐ for a win of NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax with odds of 9.2 at Betsson.

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Form

Ajax and NEC Nijmegen's standings in the Eredivisie

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Ajax
14 7 4 2 1 +12
11 NEC Nijmegen
8 7 2 2 3 -1

Ajax and NEC Nijmegen Last Matches

Ajax
Ajax Last matches
W W L W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Excelsior

15 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
5 :  1
Willem II

12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  5
Ajax

5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  3
PSV Eindhoven

30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
0 :  4
Ajax

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Ajax
5 :  3
FC Sion
W D W L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
100% BTTS
3 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Excelsior

15 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
5 :  1
Willem II

5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  3
PSV Eindhoven

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Ajax
5 :  3
FC Sion

16 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
Heerenveen

6 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Ajax
3 :  1
Shelbourne Dublin
W W D W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  5
Ajax

30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
0 :  4
Ajax

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

FC Sion
2 :  4
Ajax

13 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Shelbourne Dublin
2 :  2
Ajax

9 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
0 :  2
Ajax

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Volendam
1 :  3
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen Last matches
W L D L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  1
Go Ahead Eagles

17 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Juventus
5 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Cambuur
3 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

8 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  2
Excelsior

5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  3
Feyenoord

29 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
1 :  3
NEC Nijmegen
L W L L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  1
Go Ahead Eagles

8 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  2
Excelsior

5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  3
Feyenoord

19 Aug 2026 - Champions League

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  3
Bodoe/Glimt

11 Aug 2026 - Champions League

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  1
Olympiacos

8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  2
Telstar
D W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Juventus
5 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie

Cambuur
3 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

29 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
1 :  3
NEC Nijmegen

25 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
3 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie

Willem II
1 :  4
NEC Nijmegen

4 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Olympiacos
0 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ajax

33 %

Draw

50 %

NEC Nijmegen

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

20 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  2
Ajax

11 May 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
0 :  3
NEC Nijmegen

1 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  2
Ajax

18 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
NEC Nijmegen

3 Dec 2023 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  2
Ajax
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen last Lineups

Ajax

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
M. Ter Stegen
3
A. Gaaei
6
T. Kehrer
15
Y. Baas
12
C. Henrique
18
D. Klaassen
24
J. Mokio
8
J. Brandt
11
V. Tsygankov
9
K. Dolberg
10
O. Gloukh
30
B. Linssen
20
N. Lebreton
9
T. Chery
77
A. Thomas
34
K. Kers
6
D. Nejasmic
10
D. Tadic
21
T. Storm
4
P. Schuurs
73
G. Bras
12
N. Polster

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

NEC Nijmegen

Substitutes

Ajax
Ajax
Goalkeeper

C. Setford

M. Paes

Defender

D. Janse

J. Torrents

L. Rosa

O. Wijndal

Midfielder

R. Bounida

A. Ouazane

S. Amrabat

Forward

O. Edvardsen

M. Leonardo

T. Arokodare

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Goalkeeper

F. Entius

J. Geneste

Defender

Y. Moslih

A. Kabar

B. Nuytinck

Midfielder

I. Hansen-Aaroen

W. Willumsson

D. Geiger

M. van de Wiel

J. Monteiro

A. Tahaui

Forward

K. Sierhuis

Missing players

Ajax
Ajax
Defender

D. Blind

C. Henrique

Forward

S. Berghuis

K. Dolberg

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Goalkeeper

G. Cretazz

Defender

D. Fonville

Midfielder

E. Mor

P. Sandler

C. Bischoff

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ajax
CD Huachipato NEC Nijmegen
Top Goalscorer
Germany J. Brandt (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Suriname T. Chery (3 Goals)
Best assists
Israel O. Gloukh (4 Assists)
Best assists
Suriname T. Chery (2 Assists)

Ajax and NEC Nijmegen Stats in Eredivisie

Ajax
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Wins
29%
14%
Losses
43%
29%
Draws
29%
4.29
Average goals per match
3.57
3
Goals scored per match
1.71
1.29
Goals conceded per match
1.86
14%
Under 2.5 goals
14%
86%
Over 2.5 goals
86%
29%
No goals conceded
0%
71%
BTTS
86%

Ajax - NEC Nijmegen Key Points

  1. NEC haven't kept a clean sheet in 11 outings.
  2. In their last nine outings, Ajax have conceded on eight occasions.
  3. Ajax and NEC have both scored over 10 goals in the league so far.
  4. Only one of the last six meetings between these sides failed to see both score.
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Our Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Seeing these two teams get on the scoresheet in this fixture has been a common occurrence lately. We feel confident their upcoming meeting won't be an exception. This is because both teams have shown a strong attacking sense this term.

Ajax, who are the favourites to win, have been one of the more potent teams in the season, scoring over 20 league goals. They, however, have shown defensive lapses, which NEC will likely expose. Our prediction for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.