Europe - Champions League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Ajax will be hoping to reignite their UEFA Champions League knockout-round qualification hopes when they play host to Portuguese powerhouse Benfica at the Johan Cruyff Arena on Tuesday evening. De Godenzonen and As Aguias are bottom and second-bottom in the League Phase standings, respectively, after four games. Check out our match prediction below!
These are the only two sides in the UCL that have yet to earn a point this season. Following defeat to Galatasaray on MD4, Ajax sacked John Heitinga as head coach after just 15 games in charge, with Fred Grim stepping in on an interim basis. However, the caretaker boss has lost both games that he has overseen so far.
Benfica came out on top in the most recent clash between these sides, beating the Dutch giants 1-0 at this venue in the UCL round of 16 back in March 2022. The visitors also reached the last 16 in this competition last season before bowing out to Barcelona. Let’s get into the key stats!
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Ajax v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.6 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.6 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.6 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.75 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.8 | 1.81 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Benfica Lisbon match is: 1-3 match goal range.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/11/2025 between Ajax and Benfica Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.56% for a win of Ajax against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 4.2 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Benfica Lisbon is 21.89% with odds of 3.82 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Ajax with odds of 1.96 at 888Starz.
Ajax vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Ajax and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
35
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 |
|
36
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -13 |
Ajax and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
17 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
Ajax vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
50 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Mar 2022 - Champions League
23 Feb 2022 - Champions League
7 Nov 2018 - Champions League
23 Oct 2018 - Champions League
Ajax - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
After an impressive start to the season, things have begun to go pear-shaped for Ajax over the last couple of months, as they have now won just two of their last 12 matches across all competitions.
Following that 3-0 defeat to Galatasaray on Matchday 4 of this competition, de Joden lost back-to-back league games either side of the international break and are now winless in four (D1 L3).
The hosts have also failed to win any of their last four home games ahead of this one (D1 L3). They conceded two or more goals in three matches and failed to score in two during this winless period.
Ajax have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last 10 matches (home and away)!
Meanwhile, Benfica are one of only two teams in the Primeira Liga that has yet to lose a match this season (W7 D4), but they have suffered defeat in all four games in this competition.
The Eagles booked their place in the last 16 of the Taca de Portugal by edging Atletico CP 2-0 over the weekend and have now scored two or more goals in each of their last six matches in domestic competitions.
The visitors lost both away games in this season’s UCL without scoring. However, aside from those defeats, they only conceded a single goal in their nine remaining matches on the road this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Missing players
O. Wijndal
MidfielderB. Van den Boomen
ForwardS. Berghuis
W. Weghorst
Ajax & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
Ajax will be able to welcome Kenneth Taylor back to their squad for this match. The midfielder was forced to sit out the loss to Gala after being sent off against Chelsea on Matchday 3.
The hosts' only goal in this competition came from the penalty spot. Wout Weghorst has failed to find the net in his last four games, and interim boss Fred Grim may consider giving Kasper Dolberg the nod to lead the line here after he scored off the bench at the weekend.
With Owen Wijndal returning to the squad this past weekend, Steven Berghuis and Branco van den Boomen are the only players ruled out for the home side in this match.
At halftime I made four substitutions, but I wanted to make nine!
Those were the words of Jose Mourinho following their match against third-tier Atletico CP at the weekend. The Benfica boss was far from happy with his team’s commitment in the first 45 and called some of his players' attitudes “unacceptable.”
Enzo Barrenechea, Franjo Ivanovic, Tomas Araujo and Joao Rego were the quartet that were hooked at the interval over the weekend, and it will be interesting to see if the ‘Special One’ gives them a start here.
The visitors will be missing at least six players due to injury, including Dodi Lukebakio, Georgiy Sudakov, Leandro Santos, Bruma, Manu Silva and Alexander Bah.
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Benfica Lisbon
W. Weghorst
(7 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(11 Goals)
M. Godts
(5 Assists)
D. Lukebakio
(3 Assists)
Ajax and Benfica Lisbon Stats in Champions League
Ajax - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Five of Ajax’s last seven games have ended with under four goals.
- Ajax have only scored more than one goal in one of their last six home matches.
- Ajax have only scored one goal in this season’s Champions League.
- Eight of Benfica’s last 10 games have ended with under four goals.
- Benfica have kept clean sheets in seven of their last 10 away matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Ajax vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Ajax are enduring a tough time at present, currently managerless, winless in their last four games across all competitions, and already 14 points adrift of Eredivisie leaders PSV after just 13 matches.
Benfica, on the other hand, have not been able to find their best form in the UCL this term, but they are in good shape domestically. The visitors have kept clean sheets in seven of their last 10 away matches, and will likely prioritise another shutout in this one. Our Ajax vs Benfica prediction is a 1-3 match goal range.
Ajax vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Benfica wins
Ajax are on a three-match losing streak, winless in their last four in all competitions, and have conceded the most goals in the UCL so far this season. Benfica have kept clean sheets in seven of their last 10 away matches and have won three of their last four games on the road.
Win free tickets to Ajax vs. Benfica Lisbon at Bet365!
With the UEFA Champions League 2025/26 season starts, bet365 offers free tickets for their users, including Ajax vs. Benfica Lisbon match!
To be in with a chance of winning tickets to any of the UEFA Champions League matchdays throughout the 2025/26 season, all fans must do is enter into the free-to-enter weekly ticket draws on the bet365 website or app*.
*Entrants must be 18+ and UK residents, with a bet365 account. All entrants will be subjectto vetting to ensure they are compliant with responsible gambling guidelines.
Ajax vs Benfica Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Ajax and Benfica will take place on November 25 at 17:45 GMT.
The Champions League match between Ajax and Benfica will be played at the Johan Cruyff Arena in Amsterdam.
The Champions League match between Ajax and Benfica will be broadcast live on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
