Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory will face off at Coopers Stadium on Saturday in the A-League. The Reds are eighth in the league standings after 12 games, while the Big V are in seventh place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Adelaide United have experienced a mixed season to this point, having taken 16 points from 12 games (W5 D1 L6) following a 2-2 draw away to Wellington Phoenix last weekend.
Seven of the Reds’ points have come in their last four league games (W2 D1 L1), but they have conceded two or more goals in each of their last three matches, taking their tally to19 for the season.
However, the hosts do have the best home record in the division this season with four wins and two losses in six games. They also beat this opponent 3-2 at this venue last season.
Meanwhile, Melbourne Victory are on 17 points after 12 games, but their momentum was abruptly halted last weekend when they suffered a 1-0 loss to second-bottom Western Sydney Wanderers.
That result came after a run of four consecutive wins in which they scored 11 goals. It was also the first time the Big V failed to find the back of the net in a league game since the start of December.
The visitors' last away game ended in victory in the Melbourne Derby, but they have only earned seven points from six away matches to date this term.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Adelaide United v Melbourne Victory Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.8 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.7 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.28 | 3.82 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.7 | 2.04 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.7 | 2.11 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory?
Our prediction for the Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.28% for a win of Adelaide United against Melbourne Victory with odds of 3.32 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory is 11.85% with odds of 3.85 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United with odds of 2.12 at 888Starz.
Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:
| Adelaide United Melbourne Victory Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United wins | 46.28% | 3.32 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.74% | 1.62 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 56.67% | 2.48 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Adelaide United | 19.22% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Form
Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
|
9
|
17 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -2 |
Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
4 Jan 2026 - A-League
27 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
7 Dec 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - A-League
27 Dec 2025 - A-League
7 Dec 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
7 Nov 2025 - A-League
17 Oct 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
1 Nov 2025 - A-League
27 Oct 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
2 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
2 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
0 %
80 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
18 Jan 2025 - A-League
21 Sept 2024 - FFA Cup
9 Mar 2024 - A-League
Adelaide United against Melbourne Victory Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
E. Cox
DefenderP. Madanha
S. Phillis
F. Talladira
MidfielderJ. Muniz
B. Burkitt
J. Garuccio
D. Graskoski
DefenderK. Razmovski
MidfielderX. Stella
K. Jelacic
M. Grimaldi
J. Reec
R. Piscopo
Most goals and assists
Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
L. Jovanovic
(4 Goals)
N. Vergos
(5 Goals)
Y. Dukuly
(4 Assists)
J. Mata
(4 Assists)
Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory Key Points
- Five of Adelaide United’s last eight games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Adelaide United have conceded two or more goals in each of their last three matches.
- Melbourne Victory have only failed to score in one of their last five league games.
- Both teams scored in each of the last three matches between these sides.
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Our Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
Adelaide United have been in decent form of late, having taken seven points from their last four games, but they have been leaky in defence, squandering a two-goal lead last weekend, while having now shipped eight goals in their last three matches.
Melbourne Victory’s impressive run either side of the New Year was brought to an end last week by WSW, and they will be hoping to bounce back here. Matches between these sides have produced goals in recent times, and we’re expecting that to continue in this one. Our Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Adelaide United Melbourne Victory
| Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United wins | 2.77 | 3.32 | +19.9% |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.85 | +2.9% |
| Melbourne Victory wins | 2.35 | 2.12 | -9.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Adelaide United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 19.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.1% and is now 30.1% (-6.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Adelaide United vs. Melbourne Victory game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
