Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Miami
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Miami Predictions
Unseeded Sebastian Baez has achieved a lot this year on outdoor hard courts. Now he takes on qualifier Adam Walton in round one of the Miami Open. Can he win his first ever match in this Masters tournament? Read our match prediction below.
Baez has played in this Sunshine Swing tournament for each of the last four years. On each occasion, he's been beaten in straight sets in round one. This year could well see that elusive first win in Miami be achieved.
The 25-year-old only won three of his 12 matches played on this surface last year. This year, Baez has a 10-3 outdoor hard court record and he reached the final in Auckland. He's up to 48th in the live rankings and 20th in the ATP Race.
Adam Walton had to win two qualifying matches to reach this main draw. His second match was against Rinky Hijikata and a third set was needed. Walton has won nine outdoor hard court matches this year but lost the same number.
He recently got to the last four a Challenger Tour event. However, on the ATP Tour he's only reached two second rounds, one as a lucky loser. We tip Baez to give the 26-year-old his sixth first round exit of the year.
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Adam Walton v Sebastian Baez Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.17 | 1.69 |
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2.17 | 1.69 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2.1 | 1.67 |
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2.1 | 1.67 |
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Who will win the Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baez match is: Sebastian Baez wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baez game on 20/03/2026 of the current ATP Miami season:
- Adam Walton has a 47.22% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.2.
- Sebastian Baez has a 52.78% probability of winning facing Adam Walton ⭐ with odds of 1.73 at Bet365.
Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Adam Walton has a 47.22 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Adam Walton | 47.22 % |
| Sebastian Baez | 52.78 % |
Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baez Form
Adam Walton and Sebastian Baez Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
17 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
16 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
4 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
19 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
5 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
28 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
27 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
Adam Walton - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Baez is 57 places above Walton in the live rankings.
- Only 19 players have earned more ranking points than Baez this year, Walton is just outside the top 100.
- Walton has had five first round exits this year with one and lost twice in qualifying.
- Baez has reached one ATP Tour outdoor hard court final this year.
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Our Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
A win for Sebastian Baez will be his tenth outdoor hard court victory of 2026. He last won that many matches on this surface in a calendar year in 2020. One final on this surface has been reached and he is in good form after going deep in two clay court events.
Adam Walton has lost five times this year in the first round of a tournament. He struggled in the qualifying rounds, needing three sets to beat Rinky Hijikata. Our Adam Walton v Sebastian Baez prediction is Sebastian Baez wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
