Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Buoyed by their derby win, AC Milan will be keen on making another giant step in their title chase. The Rossoneri are scheduled to welcome Lazio for a Saturday fixture at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
The side from the capital has been improving lately and comes here looking to rise into the top six. Meanwhile, second-placed Milan are targeting top spot, as they go into this game trailing leaders Roma by two points. Indications are that this is going to be a tight title race.
So far each of the top four teams has been at the league summit at some point. Lazio have moved to within three points of the top six after their winning outing last time. Being that they aren’t playing in Europe, they bring here similar freshness as AC Milan, and this will be an interesting matchup.
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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Lazio Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 3.9 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.75 | 6 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.8 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.95 | 5.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Lazio?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Lazio match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2025 between AC Milan and Lazio in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.66% for a win of AC Milan against Lazio with odds of 1.67 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Lazio is 25.04% with odds of 4.09 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Lazio vs AC Milan with odds of 6 at Betfred.
AC Milan vs Lazio Form
AC Milan and Lazio's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 9 |
|
8
|
18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
AC Milan and Lazio Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
24 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
24 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
AC Milan vs Lazio Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
1 Mar 2024 - Serie A
30 Sept 2023 - Serie A
6 May 2023 - Serie A
24 Jan 2023 - Serie A
AC Milan - Lazio: Form Analysis
AC Milan are on a good run and will be further motivated by their last outing, which ended in a 1-0 win over rival Inter Milan. In a bruising fight that saw Milan keeper Mike Maignan called to action on a number of occasions, it was Milan who had the last laugh. They are now unbeaten since falling to Cremonese on matchday one. The Rossoneri have an ongoing unbeaten run of 12 matches and have only lost one of their last five meetings with Lazio. Playing at the San Siro has also come with its goodies for Milan. They are unbeaten in the last six matches there, drawing only once.
Milan won five in the last six times they hosted Lazio.
Lazio have had their good and bad days this season. They were very poor starters but have caught up well and are just a heartbeat away from the top six. In their last outing, they claimed a 2-0 win over Lecce.
That was their recovery after earlier falling 2-0 to Inter Milan. Lazio will be keen not to lose to another Milan side here. With just one defeat in their last eight matches, they will feel this is achievable.
Also, Lazio snapped a four-match winless run against AC Milan in their last meeting with a 2-1 victory.
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AC Milan vs Lazio last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
L. Torriani
DefenderZ. Athekame
ForwardC. Balentien
S. Gimenez
C. Pulisic
S. Gigot
F. Bordon
E. Hysaj
M. Gila
MidfielderN. Rovella
D. Cataldi
ForwardT. Castellanos
M. Cancellieri
AC Milan & Lazio Squad Analysis
All the speculation about his future aside, Mike Maignan continues to stand out as a real Rossoneri warrior. In the derby last time out, he made a number of top-drawer saves, including stopping a Hakan Calhanoglu penalty.
It was his second penalty save of four this season, and he will be eyeing a fifth clean sheet. The Frenchman has a 76% save rate from the 38 shots he has faced.
Maignan has a pass accuracy of 73%, and he hasn’t made an error leading to conceding this season. While the keeper does his magic defensively.
Christian Pulisic has been delivering in attack. The goal against Inter was his fifth this season, and he has two assists.
Goalkeepers will have a top role in the Milan v Lazio match.
This could be a game decided by the keepers, as Lazio’s Ivan Provedel has also been in inspired form. The Italian shot-stopper registered his ninth clean sheet in their last outing as they beat Lecce 2-0.
It was the team’s fifth shutout in the last six games in Serie A. Provedel has faced 54 shots but returned a save rate of 85%. With Milan deploying some of the best attackers in the game, Provedel’s performance will be key.
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Lazio
C. Pulisic
(5 Goals)
M. Cancellieri
(3 Goals)
,
M. Zaccagni
(3 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(2 Assists)
, 
L. Modric
(2 Assists)
T. Castellanos
(3 Assists)
AC Milan and Lazio Stats in Serie A
AC Milan - Lazio Key Points
- Three of Milan’s last four matches had under 2.5 goals.
- There were five clean sheets in Milan’s last 10 matches.
- Six of these teams’ last 10 meetings had under 2.5 goals.
- Five of Lazio’s last six away matches produced less than three goals.
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Our AC Milan vs Lazio Prediction
This match brings together two of the competition’s brightest goalkeepers. Beating either of them will take some effort. Milan’s Maignan hasn’t kept as many clean sheets as Ivan Provedel, but he comes here with some momentum.
That penalty save in the derby will give him the push too. Provedel, on his part, will be looking to make it 10 clean sheets, a tough but achievable feat. Both teams have conceded under 1 goal on average, and we don’t expect a goal glut here. Our prediction for AC Milan v Lazio is for less than 2.5 goals.
AC Milan vs Lazio - Other Interesting Predictions
Milan wins
Lazio won the latest meeting between these two sides and are unbeaten in two against Milan. However, coming into this match, the dynamics will be much different from the last time they faced off. Also, Milan have a record of dominating this fixture. They posted four wins in the last five games against Lazio, and we have reason to believe that will continue. Our second prediction is that Milan wins.
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AC Milan vs Lazio match : Frequently asked questions
The Milan v Lazio match will be staged on Saturday, 29th November.
The Milan v Lazio match will be played at the San Siro Stadium.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
