Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund will look to continue their winning momentum when they travel to Mainz on Saturday for a matchday five fixture of the 2025-26 Bundesliga season. This match at Mewa Arena between the 13th-placed Die Nullfunfer (four points) and the second-placed Die Borussen comes with our prediction of an away win.
Mainz start this round just a point above the relegation zone, while Dortmund are two points behind leaders Bayern and just a point above Leipzig.
A 4-1 away win over Augsburg last weekend was Mainz’s first victory of the league season (W1, D1, L2) after winning just one point from the first three matchdays.
They need to improve their home form, though, as Mainz lost both their league matches played here this season. Both the defeats came by a 1-0 scoreline, and the hosts will hope to change things here.
Dortmund are giving a strong fight to Bayern at the top of the standings this season, dropping points just once in the league (W3, D1). Their last game was a 1-0 home win over Wolfsburg and marked their fourth win in their last six competitive matches.
In the league, Dortmund won their last three league games, each coming with a clean sheet in tow. These results have helped overturn the disappointment of a 3-3 draw against St. Pauli on matchday one.
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The Best Betting Odds for 1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
|
|
3 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.6 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.85 | 2.06 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund match is: Borussia Dortmund wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2025 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.33% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 3.3 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund is 25.71% with odds of 3.89 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 2.22 at 22bet.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
|
13
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
18 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
25 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
27 May 2023 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
M. Dal
MidfielderD. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
N. Sule
J. Ryerson
N. Schlotterbeck
MidfielderE. Can
P. Gross
A. Anselmino
ForwardJ. Duranville
F. Silva
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
N. Amiri
(2 Goals)
K. Sano
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Hanche-Olsen
(1 Assists)
K. Adeyemi
(2 Assists)
,
J. Ryerson
(2 Assists)
, 
M. Sabitzer
(2 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund Stats in Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Dortmund won four of their last six matches in all competitions.
- In the Bundesliga, Dortmund won their last three games in a row.
- Mainz lost two of their four Bundesliga matches in this season, winning only one.
- At home, Mainz lost both their league matches this season.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Mainz won their first match of the campaign last weekend, and that lifted the morale of a side that has struggled in the first few weeks. Dortmund will be a different proposition, as the visitors have won three league games in a row. They have dropped just two points in this season and are unlikely to let their guard down. To go with that, Mainz lost both their home league matches this season.
Dortmund could be set to continue their winning ways, and our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is Borussia Dortmund wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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