Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Ian John | in Champions League Prediction
The second Champions League semi-final first leg tie this week takes place at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, where hosts Borussia renew rivalries with Paris St. Germain. This will be the seventh fixture between the two teams in this competition, including two matches in the Group Stages of this year's tournament. PSG won the opening game of the group 2-0 in Paris, but by matchday six, the French side needed to avoid defeat to stay in the competition in the return game in Dortmund. They achieved that earning a 1-1 draw - a result that saw Milan drop into third place in the Group F table. Games between the two teams in previous seasons have generally been very close and this two-legged semi-final will likely be no different. A place in the final at Wembley on 1st June awaits the winner where they will face the victor of the other semi-final; Bayern Munich or Real Madrid.
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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.05 | 11 | 251 |
|
|
2.87 | 3.6 | 2.25 |
|
|
3 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
|
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Who will win the Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Football match?
The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Borussia Dortmund and PSG of Champions League on 5/1/24 :
- There is a probability of 27.68% ⭐ for Borussia Dortmund to win this match against PSG ⚽ with odds of 3 found at NetBet.
- Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 11 which implies a probability of 19.41%.
- Currently, the best odds ⭐ for PSG to win the match are about 251 at Bet365. That means a probability of 52.92%.
Borussia Dortmund - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Borussia Dortmund vs PSG prediction | Win Probability | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund is favoured to win | 27.68 % | 3 |
| Draw | 19.41 % | 11 |
| PSG wins the game | 52.92 % | 251 |
Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Form
Borussia Dortmund and PSG Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2024 - Champions League
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Apr 2024 - Champions League
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Apr 2024 - Champions League
10 Apr 2024 - Champions League
6 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
Borussia Dortmund against PSG : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2023 - Champions League
19 Sep 2023 - Champions League
11 Mar 2020 - Champions League
18 Feb 2020 - Champions League
Borussia Dortmund - PSG: Form Analysis
Borussia Dortmund come into this game with a record of five wins, three draws and two defeats in the Champions League this season. They have scored 15 goals in the process, conceding nine. Drawn into a very tough Group F along with Paris St. Germain, AC Milan and Newcastle, Dortmund picked up just one point from their opening two games before winning three in a row and drawing with PSG to finish top of the group. Wins over PSV (3-1 on aggregate) and Atletico Madrid (5-4 on aggregate) earned them a shot at the French champions in the semi-final. They did not have the best form leading into the game as they were well-beaten 4-1 by RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga at the weekend.
Paris St. Germain have a very similar record to their opponents in the Champions League this season. They won two, drew two and lost two of their six Group F games, finishing second in the group behind Dortmund. They then dispatched two Spanish teams on their way to the semi-finals. First Real Sociedad were defeated in the round of 16, as PSG won both legs for a 4-1 aggregate win. Next up was Barcelona and despite losing the home leg 3-2, they thrashed the Catalans 4-1 away from home in the second leg with arguably their best-ever Champions League performance. The Parisians have scored 19 goals in their 10 games in the Champions League, conceding 13. Strangely, their three defeats in their 10 Champions League games are two more than they have endured in Ligue 1 this season. PSG were held 3-3 by Le Havre at the weekend, needing two late goals to avoid a rare defeat.
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Borussia Dortmund against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
R. Bensebaini
ForwardJ. Duranville
P. Kimpembe
L. Hernandez
Borussia Dortmund & PSG Squad Analysis
Borussia Dortmund manager Eden Terzic will be without four players for the semi-final first leg, all due to injury. Young midfielder Abdoulaye Kamara is sidelined and not expected to return this season, while winger Donyell Malen (knee) and Sebastian Haller (ankle) are both absent with their injuries with no return date set for either player. Left-back Ramy Bensebaini will miss the two semi-final ties but could be fit to feature in the final, should the German side reach it. On-loan winger Jadon Sancho has been in good form for Dortmund of late along with his companion on the opposite wing Julian Brandt.
Paris St. Germain manager Luis Enrique will be without two players for the semi-final. Goalkeeper Sergio Rico is still not fit to play, while defender Presnel Kimpembe has been out for over a year with an Achilles tendon injury that is still not fully healed. PSG will also be wary that two of their star players, striker Kylian Mbappe and young midfielder Warren Zaire-Emery are both just one booking away from missing the second leg. Mbappe has scored 43 goals in 44 games this season for PSG, adding ten assists.
Borussia Dortmund - PSG Key Points
- Borussia Dortmund have won just two of their last six games in all competitions (drawn one, lost three).
- Paris St Germain are unbeaten in their last three away Champions League matches, scoring seven goals in those games, conceding just three.
- Dortmund have conceded 11 goals in their last six matches, conceding at least once in all those games.
- Paris St Germain are unbeaten in their last 15 away games in all competitions, winning 12 and drawing three.
- PSG scored home and away when the teams met earlier this season in the group stages, winning 2-0 at home and drawing 1-1 away.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Prediction
Borussia Dortmund vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions
Kylian Mbappe (Paris St. Germain) to score at any time
Paris St. Germain to win and Both Teams to Score
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Borussia Dortmund vs PSG match : Frequently asked questions
Borussia Dortmund have faced Paris St. Germain a total of six times in European competition, with all matches taking place in the Champions League.
Paris St. Germain have won two of those games, Dortmund just one with three matches drawn.
PSG have also scored more goals in the fixture, netting seven times in total to Dortmund's four.
The teams put in the Group Stages earlier this season. Paris St. Germain were 2-0 winners at the Parc des Princes in the first game in Group F. The second game saw the two teams draw 1-1 at Signal Iduna Park on Matchday Six. A win for Dortmund in that game would have eliminated PSG from the tournament.
The first leg of the Champions League semi-final between Borussia Dortmund and Paris St. Germain takes place at Signal Iduna Park on Wednesday 1st May. Kick off is 8pm UK Time.
The second leg takes place on Tuesday 7th May, kicking off at 8pm from the Parc des Princes in Paris.
The winners progress to face either Bayern Munich and Real Madrid in the final at Wembley on the 1st June, kick off 8pm.
Customers in the UK can watch this Champions League semi-final first leg tie live on TNT Sport.
Additionally, for detailed statistics and real-time data updates you can catch all the action from the game by following Sportytrader's Champions League Live page!Yes, a total of five players have played for both Dortmund and PSG in their careers, three of whom could feature in this semi-final clash between the two.
Two former stars that won't be involved are retired defender Christian Worns, who played for Dortmund for nine seasons and the PSG for one. Abdou Diallo, the Senegalese central defender played for Dortmund in 2018/19 before spending four years with PSG from 2019 to 2023 before making a switch to Al-Arabi in Qatar.
Three players could line up against their former team in this game. PSG Stars Achraf Hakimi and Ousmane Dembele are both former Dortmund players, while the German team can call on Belgian defender Thomas Meunier, who signed for the team from PSG back in the summer of 2020.
Thomas Tuchel has managed both clubs in his career, and is now the manager of Bayern Munich, who are competing in the other semi-final.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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