Leeds vs Norwich Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Devesh Jaganath in Championship Predictions
The second-leg of the Championship semi-finals will get underway with Leeds United taking on Norwich City at Elland Road on Thursday evening. The tie is currently level following a goalless draw at Carrow Road last week.
The winner of this crucial match will move on to face either Southampton or West Bromwich Albion in the Promotion Playoffs Final on May 26. The Saints and Baggies will face off on Friday, so be sure to check out our full Championship prediction for that match when you’re done here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Norwich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 51 | 201 |
|
|
1.85 | 2.62 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.7 | 5 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.2 | 5.65 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.24 | 5.65 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.1 | 5.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Norwich?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 5/16/24 between Leeds and Norwich in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.72% for a win of Leeds against Norwich with odds of 1.85 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Norwich is 23.34% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Norwich vs Leeds with odds of 201 at Bet365.
Leeds - Norwich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Norwich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 51.72% | 1.85 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.05% | 1.85 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 45% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leeds | 24.2% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Leeds vs Norwich Form
Leeds and Norwich Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2024 - Championship
4 May 2024 - Championship
26 Apr 2024 - Championship
22 Apr 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
9 Apr 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2024 - Championship
4 May 2024 - Championship
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
9 Apr 2024 - Championship
Leeds against Norwich : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 May 2024 - Championship
24 Jan 2024 - Championship
21 Oct 2023 - Championship
13 Mar 2022 - Premier League
31 Oct 2021 - Premier League
2 Feb 2019 - Championship
Leeds - Norwich: Form Analysis
Leeds are aiming to return to the Premier League at the first time of asking and were in contention for automatic promotion until the latter stages of the season. However, after managing just one victory in their last seven games of the campaign, they ended in third place with 90 points, six points behind Ipswich and seven behind Leicester City. In the first leg, Leeds maintained an excellent 61% possession across the 90 but struggled to convert those into goal-scoring opportunities, managing only six shots at goal and just one on target. They did manage to put the ball in the net in the first half, but celebrations were cut short after Junior Firpo was adjudged to have been offside. At home, the Whites had the league’s second-best record of 53 points from 23 games (W16 D5 L2) in the regular season. They also beat this opponent home and away, making them the bookmakers’ favourite in this contest.
Meanwhile, Norwich City are hoping to return to the Premier League after a two-season hiatus. However, they stumbled over the line in the Championship season as they failed to win any of their last three matches. This included a 1-0 loss on the final day to Birmingham City, who were relegated the same day. Including the first-leg stalemate, the Canaries have now won only one of their last six matches, which was an unconvincing 1-0 victory against Preston North End in mid-April. On the road this season, the visitors recorded six wins, six draws and 11 losses, which was the worst return of any team that ended the campaign in the top half of the table. Notably, Norwich scored 36 away goals this season, which was the second-most in the league, but allowed 42, also the second-most in the league. The Canaries have failed to beat this opponent in their last five attempts dating back to February 2019.
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Leeds against Norwich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
S. Dallas
Leeds & Norwich Squad Analysis
Daniel Farke confirmed Patrick Bamford’s absence from the first leg of the Championship Playoffs semi-final last week, and the striker is set to remain on the sidelines in midweek as well. Joining Bamford on the touchline are Pascal Struijk (groin injury) and long-term absentee Stuart Dallas (broken leg). Daniel James got a short run out on Sunday and will be hoping for a bigger role in midweek, while Crysencio Summerville, the team's top scorer with 19 goals and nine assists this season, is one to watch.
Norwich City’s talisman Josh Sargent sustained an ankle injury towards the end of Sunday's first-leg match and will need to pass a late fitness test ahead of Thursday's game. Ashley Barnes picked up a calf injury prior to the regular season finale against Birmingham. However, there's a possibility, as mentioned by David Wagner earlier in the week, that Barnes could make a return for the upcoming match. Onel Hernandez, unfortunately, remains sidelined until next season due to a broken foot.
Leeds - Norwich Key Points
- Leeds United finished 17 points ahead of Norwich City in the regular Championship season
- Leeds United beat this opponent home and away in the league this season
- Leeds United are unbeaten in their last five matches against this opponent
- Norwich City had the fifth-worst away record in the league this season
- Norwich City won only six of their 26 away league games this season (W6 D6 L11)
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Our Leeds vs Norwich Prediction
For a large portion of the season, Leeds United looked likely to earn automatic promotion back to the Premier League but faltered in the closing stages of the campaign. While they were unable to secure a lead in the first leg, keeping a clean sheet was the next-best outcome, and they will be confident about getting the job done on their home patch. With everything on the line, we’re expecting a lot more goalmouth action in this match but fancy the hosts to progress when all is said and done. Our Leeds United vs Norwich City prediction: Leeds United to Qualify
Leeds vs Norwich - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Leeds only managed to keep one clean sheet in their final eight games of the regular season. Norwich City, on the other hand, conceded the second-most away goals of any team in the Championship in 2023-24.
Leeds United to win the match
Leeds United beat this opponent home and away in the regular season and have not lost to Norwich City since February 2019.
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Leeds vs Norwich match : Frequently asked questions
Leeds United and Norwich City will meet in the Championship Playoff semi-final second-leg at Elland Road in West Yorkshire on May 16, 2024, at 20:00 GMT.
All Championship semi-finals will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Football, and Sky Sports Ultra HDR.
Alternatively, you can keep up-to-date with all the action live with the Championship Livescore right here on Sportytrader.
Jarred Gillett will take charge of the Championship Playoff semi-final second-leg between Leeds United and Norwich City, with the assistance of Neil Davies, Nick Greenhalgh and Rebecca Welch as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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