Premier League Predictions & Betting tips

English Premier League 2023/24 Tips and Predictions for each upcoming matchday. Full information for your sports bets.

Premier League presentation and predictions

Premier League predictions are among the most popular with punters in England and around the world and it's easy to see why! The top 20 English clubs thrill football fans every weekend. This is the case whether it's those battling it out to win the title, those hoping to qualify for Europe or the clubs doing their best to avoid relegation to the Championship.

From the opening matchday of the English top flight to the final matchday on 19 May 2024, our experts' Premier League predictions will help you when making your predictions of all the matches. Find our general predictions below, as well as statistics and tips on how to make the right Premier League predictions. The English Premier League is waiting for you.

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Premier League title prediction: who will win the 2023-2024 Premier League?

Once again, every Premier League matchday promises to be extremely tightly contested from top to bottom until the end of the 2023-2024 season, as was the case last year and in previous years in English football.

In the various legendary stadiums of the English league, from Old Trafford to the Emirates Stadium, via Anfield and Stamford Bridge, England's top clubs will be battling it out for the league title, but also for places in the Champions League, the Europa League and the Europa Conference League, or simply to stay in the English top flight.

It's been a drama filled season so far in the Premer League and we have a three-way battle to decide the league winners! Man City, Liverpool and Arsenal are all within one point of each other with Mikel Arteta's Gunners currently sitting atop the standings by way of goal differential. However, Man City are still considerable favorites to win their third Premier League title in a row as sit one point behind Arsenal and Liverpool but have a game in hand advantage. Arsenal and Liverpool both secured wins on matchday 34 to bring both of their points totals to 74. Arsenal ran out 2-0 winners over Wolves in the West Midlands while Liverpool took down Fulham 3-1 at Craven Cottage. Pep Guardiola's side aren't in action until Thursday when they head to the south coast to take on Brighton in what has the potential to be a tricky fixture for the Citizens. As for our prediction, we're sticking with our original belief that the depth of the Manchester City squad, their experience and the overall supreme talent level that they possess will be enough to see them over the line.

Our prediction: we believe that again it'll be Manchester City champions of England 2023-2024!

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Premier League prediction - odds on the favorites for the English title

Here are the current betting odds for the Premier League as we head into the home stretch:

• Manchester City - 1.50
• Arsenal - 4.50
• Liverpool - 6.00
• Aston Villa - 4501.00
• Tottenham - 4501.00

Odds taken from Bet365

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Premier League Top 4 prediction: which teams will qualify for the Champions League?

Betting on the Premier League isn't all about who will be the champions. There's also the battle to finish in the top 4 and qualify for the group stages of the 2024-25 Champions League. 

Our prediction for these four Champions League places is as follows: Manchester City, Liverpool, Arsenal and Aston Villa!

Behind Manchester City, who are expected to again be champions of England, the Reds look more than capable of taking a place in the top four. Liverpool missed out last season but we believe they are destined for a top four finish this term, as well as Arsenal who have been incredibly consistent under Mikel Arteta. The final spot looks set to be a battle between Tottenham and Aston Villa. Unai Emery's side continues to roll as they followed up their excellent 2-0 away victory over Arsenal with a 3-1 comeback win over Bournemouth at the weekend. The Villains have taken a huge step towards Champions League football next season as they've now built up a six-point lead over fifth-place Tottenham. Spurs do have two games in hand, meaning they could pull level with Villa should they convert all six points. However, Ange Postecoglou's side have a murderer's row of fixtures on the horizon as they will face off against Arsenal, Chelsea and Liverpool all within the span of eight days. Newcastle, Manchester United and Chelsea are on the outside looking in and would need a minor miracle to overcome their current deficits.

Premier League prediction - odds on the favorites for a place in the Top 4:

• Aston Villa - 1.36
• Tottenham - 2.87
• Newcastle - 151.00
• Manchester United - 151.00
• Chelsea - 151.00

Odds taken from Bet365

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Which Premier League team(s) could qualify for the Europa League?

As well as the FA Cup winner, the eventual fifth-placed Premier League side will qualify for the UEFA Europa League for the 2024-2025 season. And in the fight for a place in the Europa League, the clubs mentioned above - Tottenham, West Ham United, Brighton and Hove Albion and Aston Villa could be in the chase to qualify for the Europa League. Finishing fifth will take a team into the Europa League but sixth might too. That was the case last season when Brighton finished sixth but went into the Europa League due to Manchester City (already in the Champions League) winning the FA Cup. That may well happen again in the 2023/24 season. It may also be that Aston Villa win the Conference League this season and that'd take them into next season's Europa League. It'll all become clear as we enter into the final stretch of the season.

Our belief is that the top five in the Premier League this season will be: Manchester City, Liverpool, Arsenal, Aston Villa and Tottenham in the top five.

Odds for Premier League clubs to qualify for the Europa League (Top 5 finish odds):

• Aston Villa - 1.002
• Tottenham - 1.035
• Newcastle - 17.00
• Manchester United - 34.00
• Chelsea - 34.00

Odds taken from Bet365

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Which Premier League club will Qualify for the Europa Conference League?

The club finishing sixth (or perhaps even seventh) in the Premier League this season could qualify for the 2024-25 UEFA Europa Conference League (ECL). Considered to be Europe's third most prestigious cup competition, the ECL saw West Ham United lift the trophy last season. This new season sees Aston Villa taking part. Officially, the winner of the English League Cup will qualify for the competition. But if a club that qualifies for the Champions League via the league wins the cup, then 6th or 7th place could qualify.

The Top 5 teams look all but nailed on at this point, leaving the battle for the final European qualification spot in the league standings. A dominant 4-0 Newcastle win over Tottenham gave them a huge boost for the top six as they've now leapfrogged Manchester United and lead them on goal differential (+17 to -1). Chelsea are still in the mix as well as they trail Man United and Newcastle by six points while having two games-in-hand. There's still plenty of time to make up the deficit but they'll have to keep up their recent improved form. We had Newcastle to qualify when they were underdogs and we're sticking with them now that they are favorites to finish in the top six.

Our prediction: Manchester City, Liverpool, Arsenal, Aston Villa, Tottenham and Newcastle in the Top 6.

Premier League Prediction - the odds on qualifying for the Conference League (Top 6 finish odds):

• Tottenham - 1.002
• Newcastle - 2.00
• Manchester United - 2.37
• Chelsea - 5.00
• Brighton - 67.00
• West Ham - 81.00
• Wolverhampton - 351.00
• Bournemouth - 351.00

Odds taken from Bet365

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Relegation predictions: which PL club will finish in the bottom three?

At the very bottom of the table, the battle to avoid relegation to the Championship promises to be just as intense in the Premier League this season, and we're hoping for as much excitement as last season. As a reminder, the clubs that finish 18th, 19th and 20th at the end of the season will be relegated to the Championship for the 2024-25 season. We may well see another surprise as was the case last season when Leicester City were relegated. As we head into the final five to six (depending on the team) matches of the 2023/24 season, it's looking more and more clear which teams will face the drop. Sheffield and Burnley look doomed to an immediate return to the Championship. However, Luton Town were handed a huge lifeline with Nottingham Forest receiving a four-point deduction after breaching the league's PSR rules. While Forest will appeal the decision, the result leaves the Hatters trailing 17th-placed Forest by just a single point. Everton's name has also now been thrown into this mix following a further two-point deduction, bringing their total season's points deduction to eight. However, a big 2-0 win over Forest at the weekend has moved them five points clear of the drop. Our prediction for the teams filling the bottom three spots in the Premier League are: Sheffield United, Burnley and Luton Town.

Premier League prediction - relegation odds:

• Sheffield United - N/A
• Burnley - 1.10
• Luton Town - 1.28
• Nottingham Forest - 2.75
• Everton - 15.00
• Brentford - 2501.00
• Crystal Palace - 4501.00

Odds taken from Bet365

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Premier League top scorer prediction 2023-2024: which player will score the most goals?

In addition to the several betting markets we have just mentioned, there is also the ability to bet on who will be the top goal scorer in the 2023-2024 Premier League season. At present in April 2024, it's a tight race for the Golden Boot crown. With most teams having already played 32 matches, it is the big Norwegian hitman Erling Haaland and Chelsea's shining young star Cole Palmer who lead the way with 20 goals each. Behind those two sit Aston Villa's Ollie Watkins (18) and Bournemouth's Dominic Solanke (18), while Liverpool's Mo Salah (17) and Newcastle's Alexander Isak (17) sit three goals behind the leaders. Palmer has seen his odds drop dramatically in recent weeks after his incredible return of nine goals in the last four games, capped off by a four-goal performance against Everton in the Blues' recent 6-0 win.

Palmer is in scorching form at the moment but Haaland's position, superior team and easier fixture list in the run-in still sees him as the comfortable favorite. Ollie Watkins has been a revelation this season and Mohamed Salah can never be counted out as we have seen what he and his Liverpool side are capable of over the years. However, Haaland is still producing goals despite not reaching the heights of last season and is likely to capture his second straight Golden Boot title. Therefore, our 202/24 top goalscorer prediction is Erling Haaland!

Premier League prediction - top scorer odds:

• Erling Haaland (Manchester City) - 1.57
• Cole Palmer (Chelsea) - 4.00
• Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) - 7.50
• Dominic Solanke (Bournemouth) - 15.00
• Alexander Isak (Newcastle United) - 15.00
• Mohamed Salah (Liverpool) - 17.00
• Heung-Min Son (Tottenham) -  34.00
• Jarrod Bowen (West Ham) - 51.00
• Phil Foden (Manchester City) - 51.00
• Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) - 101.00
• Darwin Nuñez (Liverpool) - 101.00
• Richarlison (Tottenham) - 501.00

Odds taken from Bet365

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Beginners Guide to how the English Premier League works

The Premier League is the highest division in English football. This elite competition pits England's top 20 teams against each other via a system of home and away matches. Initially, all the clubs meet once, and then the reverse fixtures are played as the season progresses. In all, there are 38 match days on the calendar, for a total of 380 games.

At the end of the Premier League season this is what happens: 

• The club ranked first is champion of England and qualifies for the Champions League.
• The clubs ranked 2nd, 3rd and 4th qualify for the Champions League group stages.
• The 5th-placed club qualifies for the Europa League (and potentially the 6th, depending on who wins the FA Cup).
• The club ranked 6th or 7th qualifies for the Europa Conference League (depending on who wins the English League Cup)
• Clubs finishing 18th, 19th and 20th are relegated to the Championship.

There is therefore a lot at stake in the English Premier League. This explains why making predictions on Premier League games is obviously one of the most popular at the best online bookmakers by English punters every weekend.

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How to make good predictions on Premier League matches?

To make a winning Premier League prediction, you first need to have a good knowledge of the league, but you also need to use your betting skills. As a specialist in the Premier League for many years, SportyTrader offers you its main and best tips for making the right predictions:

• Check the form of each Premier League team
• Take into account the clubs' fixture lists
• Take note of the list of players absent from the Premier League
• Look at the psychological context of the PL match
• Analysis of the latest Premier League statistics

These 5 tips for predicting Premier League matches are among the most important according to our betting experts, but they are obviously not the only ones. Find out more about each one below!

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Consider the form of each Premier League team

To make a reliable Premier League prediction, the first thing you need to do is check the latest results of the clubs you are predicting. For example, a club like Manchester United are playing Brentford but have not won in 5 games, while the visitors are on a 9-game unbeaten run. At Old Trafford, the Red Devils will obviously start as favourites but, in this situation, a reliable prediction might be to try the double chance of a draw or Brentford. An in-form squad will always be preferable for your Premier League bets.

To go a little further on this point, we think it's important to remind you of one thing: you shouldn't just look at the scores of recent matches, but also analyse the key statistics. How many goals are a side scoring and conceding? What is their home or away form in recent matches? How many goals have been scored in games? This data is obviously going to help you in making your prediction. 

Take into account the clubs' fixture list

The second point we think is important to take into account when making Premier League predictions, but also football predictions in general: you need to check each team's fixture list before making a bet. Let's take the example of a clash between Everton and Arsenal. It's important to note that the Toffees are not playing in European competition this season, while Arsenal are in the Champions League. This means Everton won’t have as many games to play as their opponents.

Now let's imagine that the Gunners have just played Manchester City and Bayern Munich in the Champions League, and will travel to the San Siro next week before playing Manchester United in the league. Arsenal are likely to rotate their squad so some top players might be left out for the game against Everton. You need to be wary of this when making your prediction on the game. 

As you will have gathered, teams' sometimes overcrowded schedules can explain some unexpected results and coaching decisions. If possible, we advise you to wait for the official line-up before placing your bet. This could more than once save you from losing money.

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Take a look at the list of players missing in the Premier League

Following on from the previous tip, which was to consult the team's line-up or at least the group of players called up, the players absent for a given match or period of time will be important. Whether it's due to injury, suspension, family reasons, being left out of the squad or some other reason, key players are sometimes absent, and this may have a huge impact on their club's results.

Is the captain injured? Is the usual goalkeeper suspended? Check the absences carefully and don't place large bets when making a Premier League prediction if you notice any major absences. This could obviously help you avoid some costly losses.

Focus on the psychological context of the PL match

Focusing on the psychological side of the match you want to bet on is also very important if you want to make a good prediction. A number of factors need to be taken into account in English football: whether or not there is a rivalry between the clubs, the various statements made by players and/or coaches before the match, a tense final encounter or a problem that has arisen, a major issue at stake in the match, etc. There are a huge number of things that can have a mental impact on teams and players, and this factor is certainly not to be overlooked.

If you're a fan of goal predictions, such as "both teams score" or an Over on the Premier League, for example, you'll need to be wary of high-pressure fixtures (such as a duel for survival at the very end of the season or a derby), which can be less prolific in terms of goals. Look at how important the game is to each club. A team that can’t qualify for Europe but are safe from relegation may begin to experiment with their starting line-up and blood new players. Other scenarios are possible, and it's up to you to analyse them carefully and take them into account. If you don't want to miss out on anything, our expert tipsters obviously do so for each of their Premier League match predictions!

Analyse the latest Premier League statistics

The fifth and final piece of vital advice is to systematically analyse the statistics for each team in the Premier League! In fact, knowing the different stats will help you to place better bets on the matches, and to make expert predictions on the different alternative bets (Under/Over, exact score, match result, half-time with the most goals, goalscorer, etc.).

Has a team seen the "both teams score" prediction in a high percentage of its Premier League matches since the start of the 2023/2024 season? If so then that stat has a good chance of coming up again in their next fixture. That’s just one of the many examples you can use to analyse the statistics. And don't hesitate to take advantage of the welcome bonuses offered by the best bookmakers on the market if you want to try a few bets.

Before concluding this section on our tips for making good predictions, please note that each of our editors always takes these 5 points and many others into account when making each Premier League prediction throughout the season.

As you can see, by simply consulting our Premier League match predictions, you can be sure of having the most reliable overall view of the matches. If you haven't already done so, get into the habit of reading our predictions before each Premier League match, especially if you're planning to place bets with the operators!

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What not to do for your Premier League predictions

In order to make as many Premier League predictions as possible, there are a few things you should avoid doing. Here are the main ones that we strongly advise you to avoid when making a prediction on a Premier League match: 

• Not analysing the Premier League match
• Take into account only a club's prestige and not its form
• Not analysing the odds on offer and missing the most attractive one
• Betting on a Premier League match with nothing at stake at the end of the season
• Wanting to make up for losing a bet
• Betting on bookmakers' boosted odds without carrying out an analysis
• Betting repeatedly on your favourite team

All too often, both beginners and more experienced punters get caught out and lose bets and money far too easily by adopting one of these bad habits. This is something to be avoided in the new Premier League season!

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Premier League prediction: statistics you need to know

If you want to make the most of your Premier League bets, you'll also need to know the key statistics for the English league. Here are the most important ones to remember for your Premier League predictions, all taken from the current edition (2023/24) of the competition with 28 games in the books for most teams:

• Home win percentage: 46%
• Draw percentage: 21%
• Away win percentage: 33%
• Average goals: 3.24 goals per game
• Over 1.5 goals: 86%
• Under 1.5 goals: 14%
• Over 2.5 goals: 65%
• Under 2.5 goals: 35%
• Over 3.5 goals: 43%
• Under 3.5 goals: 57%
• “Both teams score: yes”: 62% of matches
• Clean sheet percentage: 41% of matches
• First half goals: 41%
• Second half goals: 59%
• Correct score 0-0: 2.8% of matches
• Most frequent score: 1-1 (9.9% of games)
• Most frequent half time score: 0-0 (26.5% of games)

When betting on the Premier League, it might therefore be worth opting for the "More than 2.5 goals" or "Team 2 goals" bets. In the event of really interesting odds, the exact score 1-0 is also an alternative which could enable you to win a few euros. Even if nothing is guaranteed in advance, and even less so on this type of bet.

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In short: how to make the right Premier League predictions?

In order to make reliable, winning Premier League football predictions, you need to do a few things beforehand: analyze the matches, take into account the best practices mentioned on this page, learn how the league works and take into account the major statistics.

If you feel you don't have the time to do this for every Premier League match, remember that you can simply consult the predictions of our betting specialists available for each match at the top of this page. These predictions are 100% free to all our readers. Our predictions will help you make the right bet this season on the English Premier League.

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