Europe - Conference League
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by Nella Wagah | in Conference League Predictions
Lithuanian side Zalgiris Kaunas and Bulgarians Arda Kardzhali will meet in the third qualifying round of the Conference League. The first leg of this tie is scheduled for Thursday and will be hosted by Zalgiris Kaunas. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Zalgiris Kaunas are coming off a 2-1 win against Zalgiris in the A Lyga. A late concession in the game denied them a clean sheet for the third straight match.
However, they added to their impressive run and are now undefeated in the last 18 matches. The hosts posted 15 wins in those 18 matches and will be really confident coming into this one.
Arda Kardzhali do not carry a lot of experience in Europe, but will be targeting advancement to the next stage of the qualifiers.
They played to a 3-3 drawon aggregate in the last round against HJK before winning on post-match penalties. Heading into this game, they thrashed Botev 5-0 in the Bulgarian league, keeping their first clean sheet in three matches.
As they travel for this match, Arda will be targeting only their second win in eight away matches. They failed to keep a clean sheet in six of their last seven away matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for FK Zalgiris Kaunas v FC Arda Kardzhali Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.2 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.1 | 4 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.2 | 4 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.35 | 4.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between FK Zalgiris Kaunas and FC Arda Kardzhali?
Our prediction for the FK Zalgiris Kaunas vs FC Arda Kardzhali match is: FK Zalgiris Kaunas wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/08/2025 between FK Zalgiris Kaunas and FC Arda Kardzhali in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.6% for a win of FK Zalgiris Kaunas against FC Arda Kardzhali with odds of 1.94 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FK Zalgiris Kaunas vs FC Arda Kardzhali is 39.89% with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.51% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Arda Kardzhali vs FK Zalgiris Kaunas with odds of 4.5 at Betfred.
FK Zalgiris Kaunas - FC Arda Kardzhali Prediction and Best Odds:
| FK Zalgiris Kaunas FC Arda Kardzhali Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FK Zalgiris Kaunas wins | 49.6% | 1.94 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.29% | 2.62 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.62% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: FK Zalgiris Kaunas | 25.19% | 4.9 at Unibet |
FK Zalgiris Kaunas vs FC Arda Kardzhali Form
FK Zalgiris Kaunas and FC Arda Kardzhali Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2025 - A Lyga
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
21 Jul 2025 - A Lyga
17 Jul 2025 - Conference League
10 Jul 2025 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
21 Jul 2025 - A Lyga
10 Jul 2025 - Conference League
24 Jun 2025 - A Lyga
30 May 2025 - A Lyga
23 May 2025 - A Lyga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2025 - A Lyga
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
17 Jul 2025 - Conference League
5 Jul 2025 - A Lyga
30 Jun 2025 - A Lyga
19 Jun 2025 - A Lyga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2025 - A PFG
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
27 Jul 2025 - A PFG
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
18 Jul 2025 - A PFG
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2025 - A PFG
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 May 2025 - A PFG
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2025 - A PFG
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
18 Jul 2025 - A PFG
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2025 - A PFG
4 May 2025 - A PFG
Most goals and assists
FK Zalgiris Kaunas
FC Arda Kardzhali
B. Karagaren
(3 Goals)
FK Zalgiris Kaunas - FC Arda Kardzhali Key Points
- Zalgiris are unbeaten in 18 matches.
- Arda are winless in four of their last five matches.
- Zalgiris are unbeaten in the last four matches in Europe.
- In the last three of Zalgiris’ Conference League matches, both teams scored.
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Our FK Zalgiris Kaunas vs FC Arda Kardzhali Prediction
Zalgiris have the momentum coming into this match, and playing at home will serve them well too. They come into this game as favorites, considering that their opponents are winless in four of their last five outings.
The visitors, Arda are also relatively inexperienced in Europe and are likely to struggle here. In their two earlier matches in the Conference League, Arda faced HJK and remained winless. Our prediction for Zalgiris Kaunas v Arda Kardzhali is that Zalgiris Kaunas wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FK Zalgiris Kaunas FC Arda Kardzhali
| FK Zalgiris Kaunas vs FC Arda Kardzhali | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Zalgiris Kaunas wins | 2.55 | 1.83 | -28.2% |
| Draw | 3 | 3.2 | +6.7% |
| FC Arda Kardzhali wins | 2.7 | 4.33 | +60.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- FK Zalgiris Kaunas is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 28.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.2% and is now 54.6% (15.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
