Wolves vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in FA Cup Predictions
Wolverhampton Wanderers and Liverpool will face off in the fifth round of the FA Cup under the floodlights on Friday night at the Molineux Stadium. Wolves last won the FA Cup in 1959-60, while the Reds’ last title came in 2021-22. Check out our match prediction below!
Fans of the Old Gold have had very little to cheer this season, with their team all but assured to be relegated from the Premier League at the end of this campaign. However, Rob Edwards’ side will return to Molineux on Friday night in high spirits, having pulled off a shock 2-1 victory over this opponent in the top flight on Tuesday night.
That result was a significant blow to Arne Slot’s team’s hopes of qualifying for next season’s Champions League. This then is a chance for the reigning EPL champions to get their revenge against this opponent, but they have been eliminated from this competition by Wolves twice in the last decade. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Wolves v Liverpool Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.8 | 4.7 | 1.48 |
|
|
5.2 | 4.24 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.2 | 4.24 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.25 | 4.5 | 1.51 |
|
|
5 | 4.2 | 1.59 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Wolves and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Wolves vs Liverpool match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/03/2026 between Wolves and Liverpool in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.25% for a win of Wolves against Liverpool with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolves vs Liverpool is 20.75% with odds of 4.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 51% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Wolves with odds of 1.6 at Melbet.
Wolves - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wolves Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 51% | 1.6 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.15% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liverpool | 26.15% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Wolves vs Liverpool Form
Wolves and Liverpool Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - Premier League
18 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
18 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
8 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Wolves vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
16 Feb 2025 - Premier League
28 Sept 2024 - Premier League
19 May 2024 - Premier League
16 Sept 2023 - Premier League
Wolves - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Wolverhampton Wanderers booked their spot in the fifth round of the FA Cup for a second successive season by beating Shrewsbury (6-1) and Grimsby Town (1-0) in rounds three and four, respectively.
While Wolves’ relegation from the EPL is almost guaranteed, they have shown that they will not go down quietly. With their victory against this opponent on Tuesday, they have now earned eight points from their last five league games (W2 D2 L1).
The hosts are now unbeaten in their last three home matches (W2 D1) and scored twice in each of those games, which accounts for 30% of their 20-goal tally in the Premier League this season.
Each of Wolves' last four home games against this opponent have ended with over 2.5 goals!
Meanwhile, after a shocking fourth-round elimination against Plymouth last season, Liverpool have got back in round five of the FA Cup this term with wins over Barnsley (4-1) and Brighton (3-0).
The Reds’ defeat here in the week brought an end to their four-match win streak across all competitions and was just the third time in the last 10 matches that they failed to score 2+ goals.
The visitors have been inconsistent on the road this term. They have taken only 21 points from 14 away league games to date (W6 D3 L5) and have won five of their last 10 on the road ahead of this one.
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Wolves against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Bentley
DefenderD. Wolfe
L. Krejci
M. Doherty
P. Lima
MidfielderH. Hee-chan
T. Edozie
ForwardR. Gomes
A. Armstrong
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderJ. Frimpong
I. Konate
M. Kerkez
MidfielderF. Chiesa
F. Wirtz
T. Nyoni
K. Morrison
H. Ekitike
Missing players
Andre
C. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderW. Endo
ForwardA. Isak
Wolves & Liverpool Squad Analysis
For a second game in a row, Rodrigo Gomes came off the bench and scored inside 10 minutes on the pitch on Tuesday night, and he will be hoping those cameos earn him a starting role in this match.
Tolu Arokodare also made a major impact in the closing stages of the last match, setting up Gomes for his goal, and the Nigerian international could replace Adam Armstrong in attack here.
Andre shook off a hamstring issue to feature last time out, and Hwang Hee-chan returned to the squad, albeit as an unused substitute, meaning Edwards should have a full squad at his disposal.
Wholesale changes incoming from Arne Slot?
The Reds’ boss cut a frustrated figure after the loss here on Tuesday and pointed to a lack of urgency and defensive lapses as key contributors to his side’s last-minute defeat in his post-match presser.
Ryan Gravenberch had a very poor performance and was replaced at the break, while Milos Kerkez and Cody Gakpo were hooked just after the hour mark. All three could drop the bench for this match.
Florian Wirtz is unlikely to be risked with Galatasaray on the horizon in the UCL. Giovanni Leoni, Wataru Endo, Alexander Isak and Conor Bradley are ruled out through injury for the foreseeable future.
Wolves - Liverpool Key Points
- Wolves have scored two or more goals in three of their last four matches.
- Five of Wolves' last eight home games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 matches.
- Six of Liverpool’s last 10 away games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Three or more goals were scored in each of the last four matches between these sides at this venue.
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Our Wolves vs Liverpool Prediction
While it is likely too little too late to avoid the drop this season, Wolves have come to life recently, having only lost one of their last six matches in all competitions, and they enter this fixture after beating this opponent here 2-1 earlier this week.
Liverpool looked leggy and toothless in that match, and Slot will be demanding a response from his side. Matches between these sides in Black Country have produced goals in recent times, and we’re expecting that to be the case in this one. Our Wolves vs Liverpool prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Wolves vs Liverpool Alternative Predictions
BTTS
Wolves have scored two or more goals in three of their last four matches, but have also conceded the most goals in the top flight this season. Additionally, each of the last five matches between these sides have ended with both teams scoring.
Liverpool wins
Liverpool won six matches in a row across all competitions against this opponent before Tuesday’s defeat, and we expect the Reds to return to Molineux with a point to prove in this one.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wolves Liverpool
| Wolves vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves wins | 6.2 | 6.2 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.8 | 4.8 | 0% |
| Liverpool wins | 1.43 | 1.6 | +11.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.9% and is now 62.5% (-7.4%)
Wolves vs Liverpool - FAQs
The FA Cup match between Wolves and Liverpool will take place on March 6 at 20:15 GMT.
The FA Cup match between Wolves and Liverpool will be played at the Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton.
The FA Cup match between Wolves and Liverpool will be broadcast on BBC One in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our FA Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
