West Indies vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - ICC Men's T20 World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in ICC T20 World Cup Predictions
Match 37 at the 2026 ICC T20 World Cup will see the West Indies taking on Italy at Eden Gardens on Thursday. The Windies lead Group C, while Gli Azzurri are fourth in the standings. Let’s get into the match prediction.
While the West Indies have won two previous T20 World Cup titles, their form in recent years has dipped, which saw them enter the competition as one of the biggest outsiders among the full member nations. However, with three wins in a row, they have already booked their place in the Super 8 and will want to continue to build momentum heading into the knockouts.
In their debut World Cup, Italy have certainly shown that they are a team to watch in the future, having notched up a memorable victory in their first appearance at the tournament. They cannot reach the knockouts, but can they knock over a massive favourite before bowing out? Let’s get into the key stats!
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West Indies - Italy: Form Analysis
The West Indies have enjoyed an excellent World Cup campaign to this point, beating Scotland (by 35 runs), England (by 30 runs) and Nepal (by nine wickets). They have already secured a Super 8s berth.
The Windies have turned up their performance significantly in this year's World Cup, as they were far from convincing against South Africa and Afghanistan last month, when they lost both their three-match T20I series 2-1.
The West Indies have split their last 10 T20I matches, five wins and five defeats. This is the first time they will face this opponent in a competitive matchup.
The West Indies are one of only four teams still unbeaten at the 2026 T20 World Cup!
Meanwhile, with two points, Italy will bow out of the competition after this match. However, it will still be a memorable tournament, as they secured their first World Cup win, beating Nepal by 10 wickets.
Either side of that victory, Gli Azzurri were beaten by Scotland by 73 runs before delivering an incredible effort against England in their third group-stage match, but came up 24 runs short, chasing a 202/7 target.
Italy have also won five and lost five of their last 10 matches, but none of their wins came against full member nations.
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West Indies & Italy Squad Analysis
Shimron Hetmyer has been excellent for the West Indies in this tournament and enters this match as the team’s top scorer with 133 runs from three innings, averaging 66.50. He is ranked as the ninth-highest run scorer in the competition.
Jason Holder has led the team with the ball in hand and is the leading wicket-taker for the Windies with seven wickets and a strike rate of 8.43. Romario Shepard has chipped in with six wickets and an economy rate of 6.75.
Shepard has the best match bowling figures in the tournament (5/20 vs Scotland)!
For Italy, Benjamin Manenti has earned plenty of plaudits for his performance with the bat and is the only Italian to feature in the top 20 run scorers with 112 runs in just two innings so far.
Gli Azzurri have struggled to make inroads against opponents with the ball. Chrishan Kalugamage is the team’s current highest wicket-taker, though he has only managed to claim five wickets in the tournament with an economy rate of 8.27.
West Indies - Italy Key Points
- Shimron Hetmyer is ninth in the highest run-scorer standings in the tournament.
- Shimron Hetmyer is averaging 66.50 at the 2026 World Cup.
- Shimron Hetmyer has an all-time T20I batting average of 24.2.
- Shimron Hetmyer has scored 28+ runs in five of his last six innings.
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Our West Indies vs Italy Prediction
The West Indies have already booked their spot in the Super 8s of this year’s T20 World Cup and may consider making a few changes for this match, but one player who is almost guaranteed to remain in the team is Shimron Hetmyer.
The Windies’ batter has been in exceptional form over the last few months, during which he dominated against South Africa and is now ranked in the top 10 run scorers in this competition. Our West Indies vs Italy prediction is Shimron Hetmyer over 27.5 runs.
West Indies vs Italy Alternative Predictions
Jason Holder over 1.5 wickets
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
