West Ham vs QPR Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Ian John | in FA Cup Predictions
It's an FA Cup Third Round London derby at the London Stadium as West Ham United host Queens Park Rangers on Sunday. With the Hammers struggling in the league and out of the League Cup, this is Nuno Santos last chance to revive a disappointing season. The Hoops sit in mid-table in the Championship but have enough quality to pose the Hammers a threat. Here's our match prediction.
While this is a cup game, recent form in the league shows the problems West Ham are facing. They have not won any of their last ten games, drawing four, losing six. That leaves them in 18th place in the table in the drop zone with just 14 points from 21 games. In contrast, QPR sit 11th in the Championship with 38 points from 26 games played.
The Hammers come into this game in poor form. They were beaten 1-0 at home by Fulham and followed that with a 2-2 home draw with Brighton. However, two defeats followed on from that point, a 3-0 defeat away to Wolves and then a demoralising 2-1 home defeat to Nottingham Forest in midweek.
QPR's recent form sees them with two wins, two defeats and a draw in their last five. That includes a 1-1 draw away to Portsmouth followed by a 2-1 defeat at West Brom. They then had two home games, losing 2-1 to Norwich but then in their last game they defeated Sheffield Wednesday 3-0.
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The Best Betting Odds for West Ham v QPR Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.8 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.57 | 4 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 4.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between West Ham and QPR?
Our prediction for the West Ham vs QPR match is: Draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2026 between West Ham and QPR in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.45% for a win of West Ham against QPR with odds of 1.67 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Ham vs QPR is 23.43% with odds of 4.36 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.12% chance ⭐ for a win of QPR vs West Ham with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
West Ham - QPR Prediction and Best Odds:
| West Ham QPR Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| QPR wins | 39.12% | 5.4 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.45% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 64.29% | 1.85 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: QPR | 17.88% | 11 at Bet365 |
West Ham vs QPR Form
West Ham and QPR Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
West Ham vs QPR last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
L. Fabianski
MidfielderO. Scarles
Most goals and assists
West Ham
QPR
J. Bowen
(6 Goals)
R. Burrell
(10 Goals)
E. Diouf
(3 Assists)
N. Madsen
(4 Assists)
West Ham - QPR Key Points
- West Ham have not won any of their last ten games (D4, L6).
- QPR have won four, drawn one and lost two of their last seven games.
- West Ham are likely to rest key first team players for this game, which will weaken their team considerably.
- QPR have won five, drawn four and lost four of their last 13 games against West Ham.
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Our West Ham vs QPR Prediction
Our prediction for the West Ham United vs. QPR FA Cup Third Round match is: Draw
There are many red flags that signal this game could well be a surprise result. QPR's recent form isn't great, but is much better than West Ham's. It is a derby game, the Hammers will likely rest key players for this game with their league form so poor, while QPR will likely pick a full-strength team. With Hammers fans at loggerheads with the owners, this isn't straightforward even with home advantage. Hence we're backing the draw at 90 minutes.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis West Ham QPR
| West Ham vs QPR | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham wins | 1.41 | 1.57 | +11.3% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.33 | 0% |
| QPR wins | 6 | 4.75 | -20.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- QPR is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 20.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 16.7% and is now 21.1% (4.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
