West Ham vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in FA Cup Predictions
West Ham and Leeds take some time off from their Premier League relegation battle. The two sides face each other in the quarter-finals of the FA Cup. Can the Hammers get a home win? Read our match prediction.
The winners of this tie will go into the last four and that means a trip to Wembley. While Premier League survival is far more important to the clubs, the FA Cup represents their best chance of winning silverware. As you will read in the form section of this preview, the Irons have had a real struggle to reach the last eight for the first time in ten years. Not since the 2005-06 season have they made it to the semi-finals.
Leeds United have had an even longer wait to reach the last eight of the FA Cup. The Whites last got to this stage back in the 2002-03 season and you have to go back to 1986-87 for their last semi-final appearance. Will their long wait end this weekend?
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West Ham v Leeds Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.3 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.34 | 2.48 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.32 | 2.54 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.32 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between West Ham and Leeds?
Our prediction for the West Ham vs Leeds match is: a draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2026 between West Ham and Leeds in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.41% for a win of West Ham against Leeds with odds of 3 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Ham vs Leeds is 54.33% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs West Ham with odds of 2.62 at 888Starz.
West Ham - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| West Ham Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 54.33% | 3.45 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 52.36% | 1.94 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 74.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 23.11% | 5 at Bet365 |
West Ham vs Leeds Form
West Ham and Leeds Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
9 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
9 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
West Ham vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 May 2023 - Premier League
4 Jan 2023 - Premier League
16 Jan 2022 - Premier League
9 Jan 2022 - FA Cup
25 Sept 2021 - Premier League
West Ham - Leeds: Form Analysis
West Ham United have had to go to extra time in each of their three FA Cup matches this season. Round three saw them beat QPR 2-1 and they struggled to get past Burton Albion in the next. The last 16 saw them need penalties to beat Brentford at home.
Over 90 minutes, the Hammers have gone three games without a win. They are 18th in the Premier League, four points behind their opponents. Home form has been a struggle this season with only three league wins and 18 goals scored.
Each of their last four home games at the London Stadium have ended level after 90 minutes.
Leeds finally face a Premier League club.
Leeds United have drawn their last two matches and have gone eight games without a win when facing fellow Premier League sides. They have reached the FA Cup quarter-finals by beating three Championship clubs, namely Derby, Birmingham (both away games) and Norwich.
The Whites needed a penalty shootout to get past Birmingham in round four.
Each of their last five away games have ended all-square after 90 minutes.
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West Ham against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
F. Herrick
E. Mayers
A. Golambeckis
MidfielderK. Lamadrid
O. Scarles
M. Kante
T. Soucek
J. Ajala
Pablo
K. Darlow
DefenderS. Byram
S. Bornauw
I. Gruev
S. Longstaff
ForwardB. Aaronson
G. Wilfried
J. Piroe
D. Calvert-Lewin
Missing players
C. Summerville
West Ham & Leeds Squad Analysis
Although it'd be great to have a day out at Wembley for an FA Cup semi-final, both clubs have more important aims this season. Would West Ham be miserable if they lost this tie but then beat Wolves at home in their next Premier League game? Financially, it's a no-brainer.
West Ham are likely to be without former Leeds player Crysencio Summerville for this cup tie due to a calf injury. There is also a doubt over the fitness of Jean-Clair Todibo and their goalkeeper Lukasz Fabianski.
Leeds are struggling for goals.
Leeds are in a slightly better position in the Premier League than West Ham but still with work to do to ensure they aren't relegated. They are not in good form at present and a major problem for them is putting the ball in the back of the net.
The Whites have failed to score in four of their last five games and there's the possibility of top scorer Dominic Calvert-Lewin being absent this weekend. He withdrew from England's squad due to a hamstring strain.
Noah Okafor didn't play for Switzerland in midweek but United are hopeful the striker will be fit for this game.
West Ham - Leeds Key Points
- All three of West Ham's FA Cup games this season ended level after 90 minutes.
- Over 90 minutes, Leeds have drawn their last five away fixtures.
- Leeds have drawn 12 games in this season's Premier League.
- Over 90 minutes, West Ham have drawn three of their last four games.
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Our West Ham vs Leeds Prediction
West Ham are getting used to playing extra time in this season's FA Cup. All three of their ties (two against non Premier League sides) have ended up level after 90 minutes and we believe there's a good chance that will happen in this quarter-final against Leeds United.
The visitors made history when winning the 100th FA Cup final in 1972. They haven't had a great deal of success in this competition since then and have a tough tie this weekend. Our main West Ham v Leeds prediction is a draw.
West Ham vs Leeds Alternative Predictions
West Ham to qualify for the semi-finals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis West Ham Leeds
| West Ham vs Leeds | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham wins | 2.15 | 3 | +39.5% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.45 | -4.2% |
| Leeds wins | 3.1 | 2.62 | -15.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 29.0% (1.2%)
West Ham vs Leeds - FAQs
TNT Sports will be showing this game live and a subscription is needed. It's a great idea to pay a visit to our FA Cup livescore as this will see you access live text commentary and updated statistics. Both will be of great help for any in-play bets you wish to place.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
