Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
After big wins in the previous round, Werder Bremen and Freiburg look to extend that momentum when they clash in a matchday four fixture of the 2025-26 Bundesliga season. This match on Saturday at Weserstadion between the ninth-placed Die Werderaner (four points) and the 13th-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer (three points) comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals.
Werder are only a win away from second-placed Borussia Dortmund ahead of this round. Freiburg are two points above the relegation zone but are only three points adrift of the top six teams.
A 4-0 away win over Borussia Monchengladbach last weekend meant that Werder are close to burying the early disappointments. They were dumped out of the DFB Pokal by Arminia Bielefeld while failing to win their first two matchdays.
Werder’s lone home game of this season ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw against Leverkusen, and don’t count out another high scorer.
Freiburg also found form last weekend, winning 3-1 against Stuttgart at home. That broke the two-game losing streak for the visitors, where they conceded seven goals in total.
The visitors can take comfort from a 5-0 win over Werder when the sides last met, but a repeat result looks far from settled this time. Regardless, goals could once again flow as their porous defence continues to struggle.
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The Best Betting Odds for Werder Bremen v Freiburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.4 | 3.6 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.5 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.6 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.5 | 2.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Werder Bremen and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Werder Bremen vs Freiburg match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2025 between Werder Bremen and Freiburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.22% for a win of Werder Bremen against Freiburg with odds of 2.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Werder Bremen vs Freiburg is 26.83% with odds of 3.75 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Werder Bremen with odds of 2.75 at Bet365.
Werder Bremen - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Werder Bremen Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 49.95% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.98% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 44.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Freiburg | 26.21% | 7 at Bet365 |
Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Form
Werder Bremen and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 |
|
11
|
10 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 |
Werder Bremen and Freiburg Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
4 May 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
26 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2022 - Bundesliga
Players list
M. Backhaus
DefenderP. Covic
M. Friedl
K. Coulibaly
F. Agu
MidfielderI. Schmidt
L. Bittencourt
C. Puertas
K. Topp
ForwardV. Boniface
M. Grull
N. Atubolu
DefenderL. Kubler
M. Ginter
A. Jung
J. Makengo
MidfielderM. Eggestein
E. Dinkci
P. Treu
D. Scherhant
ForwardL. Holer
I. Matanovic
Substitutes
K. Hein
DefenderA. Pieper
MidfielderP. Covic
L. Bittencourt
I. Hansen-Aaroen
I. Schmidt
S. Alvero
ForwardV. Boniface
K. Topp
F. Muller
DefenderC. Gunter
P. Treu
A. Jung
N. Hofler
Y. Suzuki
ForwardD. Scherhant
E. Dinkci
I. Matanovic
Missing players
M. Weiser
M. Wober
J. Malatini
N. Stark
MidfielderO. Deman
D. Kyereh
J. Manzambi
Most goals and assists
Werder Bremen
Freiburg
J. Stage
(3 Goals)
V. Grifo
(5 Goals)
Y. Sugawara
(2 Assists)
C. Gunter
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(2 Assists)
,
V. Grifo
(2 Assists)
Werder Bremen - Freiburg Key Points
- Werder’s last four Bundesliga matches saw four or more goals scored.
- In nine of Werder Bremen’s last 15 home league matches, over 2.5 goals were scored.
- Freiburg’s last six Bundesliga matches have seen three or more goals scored each time.
- In four of their last five away league matches, Freiburg saw at least three goals scored.
- Two of the last three league matches between these teams produced four or more goals.
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Our Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Prediction
Werder Bremen scored four past Borussia Monchengladbach in their last league game, continuing their goal-heavy start. Their three league games this season average five goals per match, and that was also the case for how they finished last season. Freiburg are also coming off a win but were unable to keep a clean sheet. With all three league games aggregating at least four goals, Freiburg could do their bit in this fixture.
Goals could fly here, and that’s why our Werder Bremen vs Freiburg prediction is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Werder Bremen Freiburg
| Werder Bremen vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen wins | 2.25 | 2.4 | +6.7% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0% |
| Freiburg wins | 2.9 | 2.75 | -5.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Freiburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.5% and is now 36.4% (1.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Werder Bremen vs. Freiburg game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
