Watford vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Geoffrey Ejiga in Championship Predictions
We're in for a very tense matchup on Saturday when 6th-place Watford hosts 5th-place Millwall. They occupy the final spot in the promotion playoffs and will fight to the death to maintain their positions. Let's get into this match prediction!
Interestingly, both Watford and Millwall were just thrashed 5-1 in the FA Cup. Watford fell to fellow Championship side Bristol City, ending their seven-game unbeaten run. Still, Watford should be proud of their form over the past few months. The Hornets were 21st in September but have steadily risen week after week to the 6th spot today.
Next up on Watford's agenda is getting revenge on Millwall after their 1-0 victory earlier this season. For The Lions, their 5-1 lashing came at the hands of Premier League side Burnley. That win also ended a four-game undefeated run. But in truth, Millwall have been underwhelming in recent games, with only two wins in their last eight matches.
In contrast, Millwall, who were 3rd in December, have fallen to 5th and are just three points ahead of Wrexham in 9th. The Lions, too, cannot afford further slip-ups with half of the season already gone.
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The Best Betting Odds for Watford v Millwall Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.4 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.32 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.35 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.45 | 3.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Watford vs Millwall match is: Watford wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Watford and Millwall in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.75% for a win of Watford against Millwall with odds of 2.15 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Millwall is 32.24% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Watford with odds of 3.6 at Melbet.
Watford - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:
| Watford Millwall Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Watford wins | 44.75% | 2.15 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 59.45% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | 1.82 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Watford | 19.54% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Watford vs Millwall Form
Watford and Millwall's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
43 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | -4 |
|
6
|
41 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +8 |
Watford and Millwall Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
7 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
1 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
Watford vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Sept 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2022 - Championship
24 Apr 2021 - Championship
Watford against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
N. Baxter
DefenderK. Keben
MidfielderM. Sissoko
N. Mendy
ForwardJ. Morris
K. Baah
N. Irankunda
V. Semedo
M. Doumbia
G. Evans
DefenderZ. Sturge
D. McNamara
MidfielderL. Cundle
R. Bangura-Williams
R. Leonard
ForwardA. Emakhu
J. Coburn
M. Langstaff
Missing players
C. Wiley
MidfielderP. Dwomoh
J. Grieves
R. Vata
L. Jensen
MidfielderM. Luongo
W. Smallbone
B. Baker
D. Kelly
Most goals and assists
Watford
Millwall
L. Kjerrumgaard
(8 Goals)
F. Azeez
(6 Goals)
I. Louza
(6 Assists)
T. Ballo
(4 Assists)
Watford and Millwall Stats in Championship
Watford - Millwall Key Points
- Watford has won four straight Championship games.
- Watford have the third-best home record this season, with eight wins in 13 games.
- Millwall have only won one of their last six away games, recording three defeats and only three goals scored in that span.
- Millwall are 17th of 24 in goals scored, netting only 29 in 26 games.
- Watford haven't lost at home in the league since September, recording seven wins in ten games.
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Our Watford vs Millwall Prediction
We're backing The Hornets to get their revenge against the Lions in Round 27. The tides have changed ever since Millwall beat Watford 1-0 in September. Since then, Watford has risen from 21st to 6th in the league and has only lost three games in that timeframe.
They now boast the third-best home record in the league, having won seven of their last ten games without a defeat. In contrast, Millwall has been abysmal on the road, losing three of their last seven away games and only winning one. Hence, our Watford vs Millwall prediction is that Watford wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Watford Millwall
| Watford vs Millwall | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford wins | 1.93 | 2.15 | +11.4% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.45 | -1.4% |
| Millwall wins | 4.1 | 3.6 | -12.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Watford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.8% and is now 46.5% (-5.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Watford vs. Millwall game!
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Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
