Vasco Da Gama vs Atletico MG Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Following a positive conclusion to their Copa Sudamericana group stage journey, Vasco Da Gama and Atletico-MG will be eager to keep the momentum going as they clash at Sao Januario on matchday 18 of the Serie A Betano. Despite the home team's struggles in the league, they should be able to pick up three points against the visitors, who have lost three of their last four road trips, hence our prediction for a Vasco win.
Vasco Da Gama enters this clash fresh off the back of a 3-0 home thrashing of Barracas Central in the final group stage round of the Copa Sudamericana, finishing second behind Olimpia Asuncion in Group G.
Regarding their situation in the Serie A Betano, they find themselves hovering above the relegation zone in 16th place with 20 points, with a slender two-point cushion.
Gigante de Colina's last match was a disheartening 3-0 home defeat against Red Bull Bragantino, marking their second consecutive loss.
Atletico-MG were also successful at home in the Copa Sudamericana, with their opponents in the closing round being Puerto Cabello. Bernard's sole strike was enough to see the team win 1-0 and finish two points clear at the top in Group B.
Galo now turns their attention to domestic league duties. Their last match against Corinthians ended in a narrow 1-0 away defeat. That outcome ended a three-match unbeaten run.
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Vasco Da Gama v Atletico MG Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.97 | 3.5 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.52 | 4.02 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.48 | 4.04 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.5 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Vasco Da Gama and Atletico MG?
Our prediction for the Vasco Da Gama vs Atletico MG match is: Vasco Da Gama wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/05/2026 between Vasco Da Gama and Atletico MG in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.42% for a win of Vasco Da Gama against Atletico MG with odds of 2.08 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Vasco Da Gama vs Atletico MG is 19.64% with odds of 3.6 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico MG vs Vasco Da Gama with odds of 4.1 at Bet365.
Vasco Da Gama - Atletico MG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Vasco Da Gama Atletico MG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vasco Da Gama wins | 53.42% | 2.08 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.59% | 2.05 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Vasco Da Gama/Vasco Da Gama | 24.5% | 3 at Bet365 |
Vasco Da Gama vs Atletico MG Form
Vasco Da Gama and Atletico MG's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
25 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | -1 |
|
17
|
21 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -8 |
Vasco Da Gama and Atletico MG Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
21 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
5 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Vasco Da Gama vs Atletico MG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Dec 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Oct 2024 - Copa do Brasil
2 Oct 2024 - Copa do Brasil
21 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Vasco Da Gama against Atletico MG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Fuzato
DefenderL. Freitas
J. Fonseca da Silva
R. da Silva Fortes
P. Henrique
W. Fernandes
MidfielderH. Moura
L. Zuccarello
R. Santos de Souza Barros
Tche Tche
ForwardB. Lopes
David
G. Delfim
R. Assuncao
DefenderVitao
K. Pascini
M. Cisse
Alexsander
M. Iseppe
I. Gomes
ForwardC. Soares
Dudu
Missing players
Jair
M. Carvalho
P. da Silva Campos
Indio
Most goals and assists
Vasco Da Gama
Atletico MG
T. Mendes
(4 Goals)
, 
A. Gomez
(4 Goals)
V. Hugo
(3 Goals)
P. Rodriguez
(4 Assists)
Bernard
(3 Assists)
Vasco Da Gama - Atletico MG Key Points
- Vasco Da Gama have won two of their last three home league games.
- Atletico-MG have lost three of their last four away league games.
- Vasco Da Gama are unbeaten in their last four home meetings with Atletico-MG, including three wins.
- Atletico-MG have lost seven of their last nine away Serie A Betano games.
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Our Vasco Da Gama vs Atletico MG Prediction
There's reason to believe Vasco can end their two-match losing streak in the league with a win in this fixture. Their home form this season has been convincing, with five wins in their last nine games. Notably, they have avoided defeat in this fixture in four games (W3, D1).
Atletico-MG have had it tough at Sao Januario, with their last win at this venue coming in May 2019. To make matters worse, they boast the league's fourth-worst away record and have lost three of their last four outings. Our Vasco Da Gama vs Atletico-MG prediction: Vasco Da Gama wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Vasco Da Gama Atletico MG
| Vasco Da Gama vs Atletico MG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco Da Gama wins | 2.18 | 2.08 | -4.6% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.6 | +10.8% |
| Atletico MG wins | 3.25 | 4.1 | +26.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Vasco Da Gama is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.9% and is now 48.1% (2.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
