International - International Friendlies
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by Joseph King | in Football Predictions
With the 2026 World Cup right around the corner, the United States look to find some form as they host Japan at Lower.com Field on Tuesday evening. The Stars and Stripes come into this match ranked 15th according to FIFA, while Japan come in ranked 17th. Check out our prediction below!
It’s been a underwhelming start as USMNT manager for Mauricio Pochettino since taking over last year. The United States came up short in both the CONCACAF Nations League and the Gold Cup, although the latter saw them bring their B-team instead of the usual starting 11.
They suffered a 2-0 loss to South Korea in New Jersey on Saturday, their second in a row following the 2-1 defeat to Mexico in the Gold Cup final back in July.
Japan, on the other hand, come into this game fresh off of winning the East Asian Football Championship, beating South Korea 1-0 in the final to claim their third title in the competition.
Samurai Blue also took to the field on Saturday, drawing 0-0 with Mexico in a match which saw only three total shots on target between the two sides. With their World Cup spot already locked up, Japan will look to continue forward with positive momentum. They’ve now lost just once in their last 17, 14 of which ended in victory.
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The Best Betting Odds for USA v Japan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.88 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
|
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3 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.45 | 2.28 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between USA and Japan?
Our prediction for the USA vs Japan match is: Japan wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between USA and Japan in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.61% for a win of USA against Japan with odds of 3.12 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between USA vs Japan is 15.69% with odds of 30 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Japan vs USA with odds of 2.55 at Betobet.
USA vs Japan Form
USA and Japan Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
29 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
29 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
12 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
8 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
8 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
USA vs Japan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
23 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
Missing players
M. Robinson
Most goals and assists
USA
Japan
M. Tillman
(3 Goals)
,
D. Luna
(3 Goals)
M. Arfsten
(3 Assists)
USA - Japan Key Points
- The United States have lost their last seven straight matches against top 30 ranked opposition.
- In those matches, they were outscored 15-3.
- Pochettino has seen his team defeated in six of their 13 matches in 2025.
- Japan have won 14, drawn two and lost just once in their last 17 matches.
- Japan allowed just one shot on target and zero clear cut chances against Mexico.
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Our USA vs Japan Prediction
Pochettino’s record against high-quality opponents makes for grim reading for USMNT fans. Shockingly, they’ve lost the last seven in a row against opposition ranked inside the top 30. The former Tottenham and PSG manager will have to sort things out quickly if they are to live up to their tag as a potential dark horse in next year’s World Cup.
There’s a good chance the struggles continue against an in-form Japanese side who successfully frustrated Mexico in their last match. Back them to do the same against a disjointed USA team. Our USA vs Japan prediction: Japan wins the match.
Use £/€50 free bets for the USA vs. Japan game!
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Try your luck on this year's International Friendlies! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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