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10 July 2024 - 20:00 

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South America - Copa America

Uruguay
VS
Colombia

Prediction :

Over 1.5

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Uruguay vs Colombia Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America

 by Sridhar in Copa America Predictions

Uruguay and Colombia meet in the semi-final of the Copa America with both nations looking to put an end to their respective droughts in this tournament. La Celeste haven’t been to a Copa final since 2011, and the Tricolor haven’t done so since 2001, so our prediction is for an entertaining match!

This match will be played at the Bank of America Stadium in North Carolina on Wednesday night (local time) or early Thursday morning, UK time. The winner of this semi-final will take on Argentina or Canada in the final. Marcelo Bielsa’s Uruguay were plucky in their penalty shootout quarter-final win over an underperforming Brazil side. Nestor Lorenzo’s Colombia have been the entertainers, smashing five goals against Panama in the previous round.

With a lot at stake and a chance to end their wait in the Copa America competition, both Uruguay and Colombia are likely to give it their all. Are we in for an entertaining clash? Let’s take a deeper look at the chances for both sides.

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The Best Betting Odds for Uruguay v Colombia Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
126 5.5 1.14
Ladbrokes
3 2.1 3.25
1xbet
2.88 2.76 3.11
22bet
2.88 2.76 3.11
Betobet
2.75 2.75 3.15
Betwinner
2.87 2.88 2.8
Stake
2.85 2.85 2.95
Melbet
2.81 2.76 2.98
Tonybet
2.75 2.8 3.15
Check all Uruguay vs Colombia odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uruguay and Colombia?

Our prediction for the Uruguay vs Colombia match is: Over 1.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 7/10/24 between Uruguay and Colombia in Copa America :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.6% for a win of Uruguay against Colombia with odds of 126 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uruguay vs Colombia is 26.15% with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Colombia vs Uruguay with odds of 3.25 at Ladbrokes.

Uruguay - Colombia Prediction and Best Odds:

Uruguay Colombia Prediction Probability Odds
Colombia wins 41.25% 3.25 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 54.67% 2.75 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 42.71% 2.1 at Bet365
Half-time : Uruguay / Full-time : Colombia 14.52% 41 at Bet365

Uruguay vs Colombia Form

Uruguay and Colombia Last Matches

Uruguay
Uruguay Last matches
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
0.17
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

6 Jul 2024 - Copa America

Uruguay
0 :  0
Brazil

1 Jul 2024 - Copa America

USA
0 :  1
Uruguay

27 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Uruguay
5 :  0
Bolivia

23 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Uruguay
3 :  1
Panama

5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  4
Uruguay

31 May 2024 - International Friendlies

Costa Rica
0 :  0
Uruguay
Colombia
Colombia Last matches
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
3.17
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

6 Jul 2024 - Copa America

Colombia
5 :  0
Panama

2 Jul 2024 - Copa America

Brazil
1 :  1
Colombia

28 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Colombia
3 :  0
Costa Rica

24 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Colombia
2 :  1
Paraguay

15 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Colombia
3 :  0
Bolivia

8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  5
Colombia

Uruguay against Colombia : Head to Head (H2H)

Uruguay

25 %

Draw

75 %

Colombia

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1.75
BTTS
25%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.25
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

12 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Colombia
2 :  2
Uruguay

7 Oct 2021 - World Cup

Uruguay
0 :  0
Colombia

3 Jul 2021 - Copa America

Uruguay
0 :  0
Colombia

13 Nov 2020 - World Cup

Colombia
0 :  3
Uruguay
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Uruguay - Colombia: Form Analysis

Uruguay are unbeaten in the tournament, winning their three group games and then drawing in regular time against Brazil. They defeated Panama 3-1, Bolivia 5-0, and then brushed past the United States by a solitary goal.

In the quarter-final against a Brazilian team that the bookmakers had as slight favourites, Uruguay showed their gritty side, holding out for more than 15 minutes with ten men. This was after Nahitan Nandez received a direct red card in the 74th minute.

La Celeste will look to repeat those heroics but will have to do so without two key defenders. They will still take confidence from the fact that the last three matches between these teams ended in draws.

Colombia are unbeaten in 27 games, winning 21 and drawing six.

Colombia are perhaps the most confident side, marching into the semis with a 5-0 thumping win over Panama. Three of those goals came before halftime, giving them a comfortable win in the end. The unbeaten run speaks for itself and many fans of Los Cafeteros will feel that this is the team's best chance to lift the Copa since their solitary triumph in 2001.

They are likely to go for glory and target scoring goals aplenty, as six of their last seven matches have produced at least three goals.

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Uruguay against Colombia Lineups: Starting 11

Uruguay

Formation : 3 - 3 - 1 - 3

1
S. Rochet
3
S. Caceres
2
J. Gimenez
16
M. Olivera
15
F. Valverde
5
M. Ugarte
7
N. De La Cruz
6
R. Bentancur
11
F. Pellistri
19
D. Nunez
20
M. Araujo
24
J. Cordoba
7
L. Diaz
10
J. Rodriguez
11
J. Arias
16
J. Lerma
6
R. Rios
17
J. Mojica
23
D. Sanchez
2
C. Cuesta
21
D. Munoz
12
C. Vargas

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Colombia

Missing players

Uruguay
Uruguay
Defender

R. Araujo

Colombia
Colombia
Midfielder

J. Lerma

Uruguay & Colombia Squad Analysis

Nahitan Nandez received a straight red card in the win over Brazil and will be out of action for Uruguay in this match. La Celeste will also miss the services of key defender Ronaldo Araujo, who was taken off after 33 minutes due to a leg injury.

Uruguay’s hopes of making it to the final could rest on Maximiliano Araujo, who has two goals and one assist in this competition. Darwin Núñez, who plays for Liverpool in the English Premier League, hasn’t quite lived up to his expectations and has two goals to his name.

The Liverpool number nine kicked off the competition with goals in back-to-back matches but has since failed to deliver the goods in his two most recent appearances.

James Rodriguez has one goal and five assists, and he will look to continue his good form.

This will the Colombian captain's 105th national cap, moving ahead of Radamel Falcao (104) in the list of most-capped players for Colombia.

In contrast to their opponents, Colombia will be boosted by the return of Jefferson Lerma, who sat out the last game due to suspension.

Uruguay - Colombia Key Points

  1. Three of Uruguay’s last five matches produced at least four goals.
  2. Colombia’s last seven matches have all seen over 1.5 goals scored.
  3. Colombia have scored at least two goals in three of their four Copa America matches this year.
  4. The last match between Uruguay and Colombia played last October ended in a 2-2 draw.
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Our Uruguay vs Colombia Prediction

Uruguay's defence was excellent in the match against Brazil, limiting them to just 0.58 expected goals and registering their third clean sheet in a row. Yet, with two key defenders out of this game, they would need a reshuffle at the back. That could pave the way for Colombia to take their chances. The Tricolor have a great chance to make it to the final, and there could be goals in the offing here. Our Uruguay vs Colombia prediction is for over 1.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Over 1.5

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Uruguay vs Colombia - Other Interesting Predictions

Colombia to qualify

Colombia continued their dream form with a thumping win over Panama in the semi-final. That result made it 11 wins out of 12 matches, drawing the other. That included wins over Brazil and Spain, so the Tricolor will fancy their chances of getting over the line here. Back them to qualify.

James Rodriguez to score anytime

James Rodriguez has been in cracking form for Colombia in this tournament, landing five assists. To cap it off, he scored against Panama in the last match and also scored their first goal when Colombia last played Uruguay. Back him to score again here.

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Uruguay Colombia

Uruguay vs Colombia Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Uruguay wins 2.6 126 +4,746.2%
Draw 3.1 5.5 +77.4%
Colombia wins 2.8 1.14 -59.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Colombia is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 59.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 87.7% (52.0%)

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Uruguay vs Colombia match : Frequently asked questions

The Uruguay vs Colombia Copa America semi-final match is scheduled for a 1am UK time kick-off on Thursday, July 11, 2024, which will be 8pm ET Wednesday.
This knockout match will be played at the Bank of America Stadium in North Carolina.
In this competition, there is no extra time for knockout matches prior to the final. So, if Uruguay and Colombia play out a draw in regular time, they will directly proceed to a penalty shoot-out.

The Uruguay vs Colombia Copa America semi-final match will be available live on TV in the USA on FOX Sports1. Cable users can watch it on TUDN or Univision for Spanish commentary. Live Streaming will be done on Fox Sports, the Fubo App and Vixs.

Check out our Copa America Livescore page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Uruguay vs Colombia Prediction
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