Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Marie-Louise Eta will create history as the first woman to take charge of a men’s team in Europe’s top-five leagues as her Union Berlin side take on relegation-threatened Wolfsburg on matchday 30. This match on Saturday in Berlin between the 11th-placed ‘Iron Ones’ and the 17th-placed Wolves comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals.
Union’s 32 points (W8, D8, L13) give them a seven-point buffer over the relegation play-off spot and an 11-point advantage over direct relegation. The last of those relegation spots is currently occupied by Wolfsburg (W5, D6, L18), who are four points behind the play-off spot.
Union lost 3-1 away at Heidenheim last weekend and quickly moved to appoint Marie-Louise Eta as the coach. She inherits a side that lost four of their last six league games (W1, D1).
She will have to quickly turn stubbornness to wins at home, as Union have avoided defeat in five of their last seven Bundesliga matches here (W2, D3).
Wolfsburg lost 2-1 at home against Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend, extending their winless run to 12 league games (D3, L9). This is the longest active winless sequence in the Bundesliga.
The Wolves are also struggling on the road, losing five of their last seven league trips (D2). That run has to stop if the Wolves want to extend their 29-season stay in the Bundesliga.
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Union Berlin v Wolfsburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.18 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.64 | 3.18 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.54 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.55 | 3.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.46% for a win of Union Berlin against Wolfsburg with odds of 2.23 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg is 30.38% with odds of 3.68 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin with odds of 3.4 at 888Starz.
Union Berlin - Wolfsburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Union Berlin Wolfsburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 44.46% | 2.23 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.92% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time: Wolfsburg / Full-time: Union Berlin | 18.79% | 26 at LSbet |
Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg Form
Union Berlin and Wolfsburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 |
|
16
|
29 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 |
Union Berlin and Wolfsburg Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin against Wolfsburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
C. Klaus
DefenderS. Nsoki
D. Kohn
J. Juranovic
MidfielderT. Skarke
A. Schafer
L. Burcu
A. Kral
J. Haberer
P. Pervan
DefenderM. Jenz
S. Kumbedi
J. Adjetey
MidfielderL. Majer
A. Daghim
M. Arnold
Y. Gerhardt
K. Shiogai
Missing players
M. Raab
Rogerio
K. Fischer
Cleiton
MidfielderM. Svanberg
B. Dardai
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
Wolfsburg
O. Burke
(6 Goals)
D. Pejcinovic
(9 Goals)
A. Ilic
(8 Assists)
C. Eriksen
(8 Assists)
Union Berlin - Wolfsburg Key Points
- Wolfsburg have seen their Bundesliga games average 3.59 goals per game, only two teams have averaged more.
- Wolfsburg’s away league games saw 3.71 goals per match, and only three teams have averaged more.
- Seven of Wolfsburg’s last nine Bundesliga games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Seven of Union’s last ten home league games also saw three or more goals scored.
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Our Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg Prediction
Wolfsburg won the reverse fixture 3-1 last December and would love a repeat result to save their season. The Wolves are seven points off direct safety and four points behind the relegation play-off spot. Union Berlin have a seven-point buffer over the relegation zone which gives them enough breathing space as the season comes to a close, although new head coach Marie-Louise Eta will look to mark her start with a win.
Wolfsburg’s matches have regularly been high-scoring ones, and this could follow suit. That’s why our Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Union Berlin Wolfsburg
| Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 2.24 | 2.23 | -0.4% |
| Draw | 3.92 | 3.68 | -6.1% |
| Wolfsburg wins | 3.2 | 3.4 | +6.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Union Berlin is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.6% and is now 44.8% (0.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
