Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar in Bundesliga Predictions
A surging Werder Bremen could push their claims for European qualification when they face Union Berlin in a Bundesliga Matchday 32 fixture on Saturday. This match at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei between the 13th-placed Die Eisernen and the eighth-placed Die Werderaner comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Union’s 36 points put them 11 points above the bottom three teams, and with nine points left to play, they are confirmed of their top-flight safety. Werder’s 46 points see them start this round two points outside the European qualification places.
A hard-fought 1-1 away draw at Bochum last weekend extended Union’s unbeaten run to seven Bundesliga matches. Although they drew four of those, including three in a row, Union are proving to be a tough team to beat.
At home, they are undefeated in their last three Bundesliga fixtures, including a 1-1 draw with leaders Bayern.
Werder travelled here after a 0-0 home draw against relegation-threatened St. Pauli last weekend. That ended their enterprising run of four consecutive wins, but the visitors are still alive in the race to finish at least sixth and qualify for Europe next season.
A lot will depend on their away form, as Werder have won their last three away Bundesliga fixtures, twice keeping a clean sheet.
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The Best Betting Odds for Union Berlin v Werder Bremen Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
|
|
3 | 3.4 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.3 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.4 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2025 between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.34% for a win of Union Berlin against Werder Bremen with odds of 3.09 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen is 25.69% with odds of 3.58 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin with odds of 2.43 at 22bet.
Union Berlin - Werder Bremen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Union Berlin Werder Bremen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen wins | 39.96% | 2.43 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.17% | 1.93 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Werder Bremen | 20.41% | 6 at Betsson |
Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen Form
Union Berlin and Werder Bremen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
51 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | -3 |
|
13
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -16 |
Union Berlin and Werder Bremen Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal
21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
27 May 2023 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2023 - Bundesliga
24 Apr 2021 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin against Werder Bremen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
D. Leite
MidfielderA. Kemlein
J. Woo-yeong
ForwardR. Skov
M. Veljkovic
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
B. Hollerbach
(9 Goals)
J. Stage
(10 Goals)
T. Rothe
(3 Assists)
, 
C. Trimmel
(3 Assists)
M. Ducksch
(9 Assists)
Union Berlin - Werder Bremen Key Points
- Union’s matches average 2.45 goals per game this Bundesliga season, the third-lowest aggregate.
- At home in this season, Union’s Bundesliga games averaged 2.27 goals per fixture.
- Three of Werder’s last four Bundesliga fixtures produced under 2.5 goals.
- Six of Union’s last nine home Bundesliga games have seen fewer than three goals scored.
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Our Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen Prediction
Werder Bremen’s improved form has seen them storm into European qualification contention, starting this round two points off Dortmund. Union aren’t in bad shape either, losing just one of their last eight Bundesliga fixtures and thereby guaranteeing safety for next season. Bremen may have secured a 4-1 win in the reverse fixture, but Union remain a tight ship, especially at home. Only five clubs have conceded fewer than their tally of 18 home goals this season in the Bundesliga. That could continue here, and our Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Union Berlin Werder Bremen
| Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 2.55 | 3 | +17.6% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| Werder Bremen wins | 2.55 | 2.3 | -9.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Werder Bremen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.2% and is now 43.5% (4.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Union Berlin vs. Werder Bremen game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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