Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Newcastle will want to bounce back from Sunday’s derby loss at Sunderland. The Magpies are 12th in the Premier League and this weekend they are home to fourth-placed Chelsea. Can they continue their good home record? Read our match prediction below.
United may be eight places below their opponents but only six points separate the two clubs. When the Magpies signed Nick Woltemade, little did they imagine their new striker would end up scoring the winner against Sunderland but for their rivals! That’s what happened on Sunday and now United have this difficult home game against Chelsea.
The visitors had a good home win at the weekend, just what they needed after some poor displays in recent weeks. The Blues are in the Champions League qualifying positions but are still eight points adrift of leaders Arsenal and six behind second-placed Manchester City. They will be looking to continue their winning ways over the festive period.
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Newcastle v Chelsea Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.85 | 3.65 | 2.46 |
|
|
2.78 | 3.46 | 2.47 |
|
|
3.03 | 3.64 | 2.23 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.68 | 3.45 | 2.48 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Chelsea match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/12/2025 between Newcastle and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.62% for a win of Newcastle against Chelsea with odds of 3.03 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Chelsea is 25.77% with odds of 3.65 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Newcastle with odds of 2.55 at Tonybet.
Newcastle - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 47.62% | 3.03 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.67% | 1.8 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Newcastle | 19.14% | 7 at Bet365 |
Newcastle vs Chelsea Form
Newcastle and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 |
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
Newcastle and Chelsea Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
Newcastle vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 May 2025 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
11 Mar 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2023 - Carabao Cup
25 Nov 2023 - Premier League
Newcastle - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Newcastle United are unbeaten in their last eight home matches in all competitions. Four of their last five Premier League games have been won. The last four have all seen both teams score and over 2.5 goals being scored.
United have only won six of their 16 Premier League games this season and lost the same number. Only one of their last four games in all competitions has been won, a win at home to Burnley. Consistency is their main problem and not since April have they won successive Premier League games. That’s something they will want to change in the coming weeks and months. Wednesday saw them beat Fulham 2-1 to reach the Carabao Cup semi-finals.
Also winning in that competition in midweek were Chelsea. They won 3-1 at Cardiff City on Tuesday.
That cup win followed their 2-0 home league win over Everton last Saturday. That was a good result for them after some disappointing displays in both Europe and the Premier League. The Blues are unbeaten in their last two league games, keeping a clean sheet in both games.
Four of their eight away league games have been won with two defeats. They’d won four in a row before only earning a point from their most recent couple of away fixtures. Two of their last three away league and cup games have been lost.
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Newcastle against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Ruddy
DefenderA. Murphy
L. Shahar
MidfielderJ. Willock
A. Elanga
S. Neave
Y. Wissa
H. Barnes
Joelinton
F. Jorgensen
DefenderJ. Hato
J. Acheampong
B. Badiashile
T. Adarabioyo
MidfielderE. Fernandez
F. Buonanotte
A. Santos
M. Guiu
Missing players
D. Burn
ForwardW. Osula
L. Colwill
MidfielderR. Lavia
ForwardM. Mudryk
Newcastle & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Newcastle will be without defender Dan Burn for the festive period. He was taken off against Sunderland last weekend with a broken rib and punctured lung. He's not expected to return until the second half of January.
Wissa finally scores for United.
A big boost for United was the fact Yoane Wissa was on the scoresheet for them in their midweek Carabao Cup tie. He's been on the injured list for most of the time since joining them in the summer and admits he's still not 100% fit yet. He may well be on the subs bench for this game and is a pretty useful player to bring on. At least this striker knows how to score at the right end!
Chelsea have Cole Palmer back and in scoring form. That is so important for the Blues after his excellent performances last season. The Blues made several changes for their Carabao Cup win at Cardiff and those left out should be making their return at Newcastle.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Chelsea
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
Joao Pedro
(15 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
P. Neto
(6 Assists)
Newcastle - Chelsea Key Points
- Five of the last seven games between these two clubs have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in eight of Newcastle's last nine games.
- The last four Newcastle home league games have all seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in four of Chelsea's last six games.
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Our Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction
Both of these clubs need to become more consistent in the remaining months of this season. Newcastle United have only won six league games this season and lost the same number. Only one of their last three Premier League fixtures has been won and clean sheets aren't a regular occurrence.
Chelsea are fourth in the table but with a lot of work to do to catch the top two. Not since early November have they won two consecutive league fixtures and those were against sides in the bottom three. Our Newcastle v Chelsea prediction is both teams to score.
Newcastle vs Chelsea Alternative Predictions
Newcastle wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Chelsea
| Newcastle vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 2.34 | 3.03 | +29.5% |
| Draw | 3.54 | 3.65 | +3.1% |
| Chelsea wins | 2.91 | 2.55 | -12.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Newcastle is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 29.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.7% and is now 33.0% (-9.7%)
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Newcastle vs Chelsea - FAQs
This game between Newcastle United and Chelsea is being played on Saturday December 20. It’s due to get underway at 12:30 UK time.
Newcastle United are the home side in this Premier League fixture. It will be played at St James’s Park in Newcastle.
To see this game live on TV in the UK, you will need to watch TNT Sports and a subscription is needed. You can go to our Premier League livescore to read up-to-date information about this game such as live text commentary and updated statistics.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
