Leeds vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions
The improving Leeds United will hope to move further away from the English Premier League relegation zone when they host top-four hopefuls Crystal Palace on matchday 17. This match on Saturday at Elland Road between the 17th-placed Whites and the fifth-placed Eagles comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
With 16 points (W4, D4, L8), Leeds have a three-point lead over the relegation zone and are two points behind Nottingham Forest. Palace’s 26 points (W7, D5, L4) see them start this round two points outside the top four, although they are only ahead of three teams below them on goal difference.
Since the start of December, Leeds have improved by winning five points in three matches, four of those coming against Chelsea and Liverpool. The Elland Road faithful have seen their side be a stubborn opponent for every visitor, which could test Palace’s determination to stay in the top-four race. Palace’s European commitments could be a factor as the Eagles target to stay ahead of tight competition. Will there be an upset at Elland Road this weekend? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Leeds v Crystal Palace Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.85 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
|
|
3.06 | 3.1 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.78 | 3.09 | 2.72 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.2 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.74 | 3.1 | 2.64 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Crystal Palace?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Crystal Palace match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/12/2025 between Leeds and Crystal Palace in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.44% for a win of Leeds against Crystal Palace with odds of 3.06 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Crystal Palace is 21.24% with odds of 3.21 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Crystal Palace vs Leeds with odds of 2.85 at 888Starz.
Leeds - Crystal Palace Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Crystal Palace Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace wins | 49.32% | 2.85 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.51% | 2.35 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 65.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Crystal Palace | 22.34% | 6.25 at LSbet |
Leeds vs Crystal Palace Form
Leeds and Crystal Palace's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
|
15
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 |
Leeds and Crystal Palace Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
Leeds vs Crystal Palace Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Apr 2023 - Premier League
9 Oct 2022 - Premier League
25 Apr 2022 - Premier League
30 Nov 2021 - Premier League
8 Feb 2021 - Premier League
7 Nov 2020 - Premier League
Leeds - Crystal Palace: Form Analysis
A 1-1 away draw at Brentford extended the unbeaten run for Leeds to three matches (W1, D2). With four of those points coming against Chelsea and Liverpool, the Whites are back in contention to avoid relegation.
Leeds faithful will be expecting their side to continue that push, especially since their recent Elland Road form has been impressive. They have lost only one of their last four home league games (W2, D1), with the recent two games seeing them win against Chelsea and draw against Liverpool.
Palace have one of the best defensive records of this season.
Only Manchester City have conceded fewer goals than the Eagles, but their exertions in Europe on Thursday could play a part. They were beaten 3-0 at home last week in the Premier League, which was just their second defeat in seven league games.
That sequence saw them win four games, three of which have come in a row away from home. Indeed, with five wins from their last seven league trips, the Eagles are proving to be a tough opponent away from home.
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Leeds against Crystal Palace Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
K. Darlow
DefenderJ. Justin
S. Bornauw
S. Byram
MidfielderJ. Harrison
I. Gruev
A. Tanaka
G. Wilfried
J. Piroe
W. Benitez
DefenderJ. Canvot
B. Sosa
J. Drakes-Thomas
R. Esse
K. Rodney
J. Devenny
J. Lerma
C. Uche
Missing players
D. James
D. Munoz
C. Riad
MidfielderD. Kamada
C. Doucoure
Leeds & Crystal Palace Squad Analysis
Daniel James and Sean Longstaff have been long-term absences for Leeds, while Lukas Nmecha has missed Leeds’ last two games. His absence was due to a hamstring injury, and he will hope to get fit for this fixture.
The hosts have been lining up in a 3-5-2 formation over their last three games, which could continue here. That will leave the duties of scoring to the resurgent Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in each of his last four league games.
Palace have a longer list of injuries to contend with ahead of this game. Daichi Kamada is out of action for ten weeks, while Ismaila Sarr has left for the Africa Cup of Nations. Daniel Munoz is also sidelined with a knee problem.
The visitors are flagbearers of the 3-4-3 system, which will likely continue here. That would leave the burden of scoring to Jean-Philippe Mateta. The French forward has seven goals in this Premier League campaign and will be key to their chances.
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Crystal Palace
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
J. Mateta
(12 Goals)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
A. Wharton
(5 Assists)
Leeds - Crystal Palace Key Points
- Leeds saw both teams score goals in ten of their last 12 league games, including six in a row.
- In their last six home league matches, Leeds saw both teams score goals.
- Leeds scored 2+ goals in four of their last six home Premier League matches.
- Palace scored in six of their last seven away league matches.
- Palace scored in four of their last five Premier League matches.
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Our Leeds vs Crystal Palace Prediction
Palace are among the best defensive units of this campaign, conceding only 15 goals. Only Arsenal have conceded fewer goals than the Eagles in the Premier League, although their chances of a clean sheet could be tested by their European game this week. Palace have won three games in a row on the road, but Leeds are showing great resilience in their last three league fixtures.
The hosts could find their way past Palace’s defensive strengths to find at least a goal, and our Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction is BTTS.
Leeds vs Crystal Palace Alternative Predictions
Dominic Calvert-Lewin to score anytime
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in four consecutive Premier League matches. He could become just the fourth different Leeds player to score in five consecutive Premier League appearances. He has also scored five goals in 13 Premier League matches against Crystal Palace. Only against Newcastle has he netted more goals (six).
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Crystal Palace
| Leeds vs Crystal Palace | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 2.96 | 3.06 | +3.4% |
| Draw | 3.46 | 3.21 | -7.2% |
| Crystal Palace wins | 2.34 | 2.85 | +21.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Crystal Palace is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.7% and is now 35.1% (-7.6%)
Leeds vs Crystal Palace - FAQs
The Leeds vs Crystal Palace English Premier League match will be broadcast live on the Sky Sports Premier League channel. The subscribers can also stream the game through Sky Go or on the Sky Sports app.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
Crystal Palace have a historic chance in this match, as they’ve never won consecutive top-flight away matches at Elland Road before. They could post that after winning 5-1 in their last Premier League away game against Leeds, although back in April 2023.
The Eagles come here with an impressive away performance, as no team has won more away Premier League points in 2025 than Palace (34). They have also won the most away games (10) in this sequence. Another win will make them the first non-‘big six’ side since West Ham in 2021 to win more than 10 away games in a calendar year.
Leeds are in impressive scoring form, having netted three goals in each of their last two Premier League home games. Extending that sequence will make it the first time they scored 3+ in three consecutive home games in January 2002.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
