Bournemouth vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
After a thrilling 4-4 draw at Old Trafford on Monday, Bournemouth host Burnley this weekend. The Cherries are 13th in the Premier League with the visitors only having Wolves below them in the table. Read our match prediction below.
It may have been a great game to watch on Monday but it was a frustrating one for Bournemouth. Scoring four goals on the road really should have ended their winless run. Their defence is so leaky though (28 league goals conceded this season) that all they earned was a point. The Cherries are still only five points adrift of the final Champions League place but are only eight above the relegation zone.
Burnley are in the bottom three but have only won two fewer league games than Bournemouth. They are six points from safety and another brief stay in the Premier League is looking likely. Losing seven out of eight away league games hasn't exactly helped the Clarets. Can they win this weekend?
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Bournemouth v Burnley Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.47 | 5 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.6 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.44 | 6.35 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.5 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.3 | 5.8 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Burnley match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/12/2025 between Bournemouth and Burnley in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.12% for a win of Bournemouth against Burnley with odds of 1.6 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Burnley is 23.12% with odds of 5 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Bournemouth with odds of 6.8 at Tonybet.
Bournemouth - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bournemouth Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 55.12% | 1.6 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.24% | 1.65 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bournemouth | 28.38% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Bournemouth vs Burnley Form
Bournemouth and Burnley's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
57 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Bournemouth and Burnley Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Dec 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
28 Nov 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
28 Nov 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
20 Nov 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Dec 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - National League Cup
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
Bournemouth vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Mar 2024 - Premier League
28 Oct 2023 - Premier League
7 Jan 2023 - FA Cup
9 Feb 2021 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2020 - Premier League
21 Dec 2019 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Burnley: Form Analysis
Seven Premier League games have been played by Bournemouth since their last win. Their last two league games have both been drawn but that first win since the end of October remains an elusive one.
Home form is disappointing for the Cherries.
Bournemouth have failed to win any of their last three home league games. Two of those matches were drawn, most recently a goalless draw against Chelsea. Four of their eight home league games have been won with the only loss being inflicted by Everton.
Those four wins came during their impressive start to this season. They need to recapture some of that form after failing to score in their last two home league fixtures.
Burnley are in the relegation zone and battling hard to avoid an immediate return to the Championship. The Clarets lost at home to Fulham last weekend, their 12th league defeat of the season. They are points from safety and can’t let that gap widen too much more.
Away form has been a big problem for them since they returned to the Premier League. Like most teams, they won at Wolves but Burnley’s other seven away league games have all been lost with 23 goals conceded, including the last three.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Bournemouth against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
W. Dennis
DefenderJ. Hill
J. Soler
A. Smith
MidfielderA. Scott
R. Christie
E. Kroupi
A. Adli
E. Unal
M. Weiss
DefenderO. Sonne
B. Humphreys
MidfielderFlorentino
ForwardA. Barnes
A. Broja
L. Tchaouna
M. Tresor
M. Edwards
Missing players
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderT. Adams
ForwardB. Gannon-Doak
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
MidfielderH. Mejbri
ForwardZ. Amdouni
Bournemouth & Burnley Squad Analysis
Ghana failed to qualify for the Africa Cup of Nations tournament. Bad news for them but not Bournemouth as it means key player Antoine Semenyo won't be among the many African players in the Premier League who will be playing in that tournament.
It may be the final weeks that Semenyo is a Bournemouth player with several top Premier League clubs looking to sign him in January. Also not going to Africa is Amine Adli who failed to make it into Morocco's squad. Tyler Adams will miss this game due to injury.
The 4-4 draw at Old Trafford was good and bad news for Bournemouth. It was good to see them scoring four goals but they so need to tighten up at the back if they want to get into European contention. Some more bad results could see them dragged into a relegation battle.
Big problems for Burnley.
Burnley must start earning some points on the road. Just three have been earned so far this season with seven out of eight games being lost. They don't have a strong home record to fall back on either.
Now comes a busy festive period and the news regarding the Africa Cup of Nations isn't so good for the Clarets. Lyle Foster, Hannibal Mejbri and Axel Tuanzebe are all playing in the tournament.
With several injuries to deal with as well, Burnley have a massive battle on their hands.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Burnley
E. Kroupi
(13 Goals)
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
M. Senesi
(5 Assists)
,
A. Truffert
(5 Assists)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
Bournemouth - Burnley Key Points
- Two of the last three games between Bournemouth and Burnley have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in three of Bournemouth's last five games.
- Between them these two clubs have conceded 61 goals in this season's Premier League.
- Four of the last six Burnley games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Bournemouth vs Burnley Prediction
Both clubs will be hoping for a pre-Christmas confidence boost this weekend. Bournemouth may have scored four goals at Old Trafford but their defence remains untrustworthy. A good run of results though would again see them challenging for a place in European competition next season.
Burnley can only dream of that and avoiding relegation is their target. The Clarets have managed to score 11 away league goals this season but 23 have been conceded. Our main Bournemouth v Burnley prediction is BTTS.
Bournemouth vs Burnley Alternative Predictions
Antoine Semenyo to score or make an assist
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bournemouth Burnley
| Bournemouth vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth wins | 1.46 | 1.6 | +9.6% |
| Draw | 4.64 | 5 | +7.8% |
| Burnley wins | 8.55 | 6.8 | -20.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bournemouth is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 68.5% and is now 62.5% (-6.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bournemouth vs. Burnley game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Bournemouth and Burnley? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Premier League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Bournemouth vs Burnley - FAQs
This Premier League fixture between Bournemouth and Burnley is being played on Saturday December 20, beginning at 15:00 UK time.
Bournemouth are the home team in this Premier League match. The game will be played at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth.
With this being a 15:00 UK time kick-off on a Saturday afternoon, it will not be shown live on television. To follow all that is happening in this game, pay a visit to our Premier League livescore to read the live text commentary and updated statistics.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
