Tottenham vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Joseph King | in Premier League Predictions
Matchday 17 in the English Premier League sees seventh-place Liverpool traveling to London to take on 11th-placed Tottenham. Who will come out on top in this clash between the Reds and the Lilywhites in a match that promises to be an exciting affair? Check out our prediction below!
Both teams have had to persevere through difficult seasons so far. After entering the league campaign as title favourites following lavish summer spending, Liverpool now appear to be in a battle for the Champions League spots. Spurs, meanwhile, are struggling to even get in the top half of the table at the moment, with injuries and a hectic schedule taking its toll.
This is a matchup that Tottenham have historically struggled in, managing only two wins in their last 25 league outings against Liverpool, which includes 17 defeats. This fixture last year produced nine goals in a wild 6-3 Liverpool victory. Will we see another shootout this time around, or will Spurs be able to bounce back with a much-needed victory?
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Tottenham v Liverpool Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.65 | 3.65 | 2.07 |
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3.6 | 3.6 | 2.01 |
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|
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3.84 | 3.6 | 1.94 |
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|
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3.6 | 3.6 | 2 |
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|
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3.45 | 3.55 | 2.02 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Tottenham and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Tottenham vs Liverpool match is: Liverpool wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/12/2025 between Tottenham and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.18% for a win of Tottenham against Liverpool with odds of 3.92 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tottenham vs Liverpool is 18.55% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Tottenham with odds of 2.08 at Tonybet.
Tottenham - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tottenham Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 47.27% | 2.08 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.28% | 2.03 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Liverpool/Liverpool | 18.2% | 3.25 at Bet365 |
Tottenham vs Liverpool Form
Tottenham and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
60 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 |
|
17
|
41 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 |
Tottenham and Liverpool Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
Tottenham vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
8 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
5 May 2024 - Premier League
30 Sept 2023 - Premier League
Tottenham - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Tottenham will have been thankful for the full week off in between matches as they attempt to reset from a morale-bruising loss.
Spurs were played off the park by Nottingham Forest at the City Ground, falling to a 3-0 defeat in a one-sided match. Tottenham barely threatened the Forest keeper, creating only 0.32 expected goals and failing to register a single clear cut chance.
The loss snapped a two-game winning streak for Tottenham after victories against Brentford in the league and Slavia in the Champions League.
Tottenham have managed only a single win in their last six Premier League fixtures (D2, L3).
Overall, Tottenham find themselves on a difficult stretch with only three wins in their last 11 across all competitions, six of which ended in defeat.
After a disastrous stretch of form which saw Liverpool lose nine of 12 matches, manager Arne Slot appears to be steadying the ship. The visitors are now on a five-match unbeaten run across all competitions, although that does include two frustrating draws to Sunderland at home and Leeds away.
Most recently, Liverpool earned an impressive 1-0 away win over Inter Milan in the UCL and followed that up with a 2-0 win over Brighton at home last weekend. The visitors trail the top four positions by two points and hold a four-point lead over their opponents here.
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Tottenham against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Kinsky
DefenderB. Davies
R. Dragusin
K. Danso
MidfielderJ. Palhinha
B. Johnson
M. Tel
W. Odobert
Richarlison
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderJ. Frimpong
C. Ramsay
W. Omoruyi
A. Robertson
T. Nyoni
F. Chiesa
R. Ngumoha
A. Isak
Missing players
J. Maddison
D. Kulusevski
C. Gallagher
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
Tottenham & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Both teams are dealing with injury crises. Thomas Frank has no fewer than six players in the treatment room with an additional two leaving for the African Cup of Nations.
Among them are the long-term injuries to Dejan Kulusevski and James Maddison, while striker Dominic Solanke remains out with an ankle problem. Yves Bissouma and Pape Sarr are both representing their national teams.
As for Arne Slot at Liverpool, they head to the Tottenham Hotspur stadium without the services of eight players. Most importantly are the absence of Dominik Szosbozlai and Mo Salah. The former suffered an ankle injury in the win vs Brighton while the latter has departed for AFCON.
Szoboszlai has been Liverpool’s Swiss Army Knife this season, lining up in as many as six different positions.
Szoboszlai's absence is a particularly tough blow as the Hungarian has unquestionably been the best player in what’s been a trying season for the Reds. The 25-year-old has created the second most chances on the team (30) and provides good distribution with 3.3 accurate long balls per 90.
An injury to Cody Gakpo could force Slot to start Federico Chiesa and Florian Wirtz on the wings, with Alexis Mac Allister likely to take up the #10 role behind in-form striker Hugo Ekitike.
Most goals and assists
Tottenham - Liverpool Key Points
- Tottenham rank just 17th in expected goals (15.2) and 16th in xG difference (-7.0).
- Liverpool rank sixth in xG (26.3) and fifth in xG difference (+6.7).
- Tottenham have lost six of their last 11.
- Liverpool have won their last two in a row.
- Liverpool have won their last two meetings with Spurs by an aggregate scoreline of 9-1.
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Our Tottenham vs Liverpool Prediction
Three points here would go a long way to alleviating some of the pressure that has been building around both managers. Tottenham desperately need a positive response in front of the home fans, while Liverpool have to maintain this recent uptick in form.
With that being said, the underlying metrics don’t paint a very encouraging picture for the hosts. Although both teams are dealing with major absences through injury and international duty, this Liverpool team should be deep enough to be able to secure the full three points on Saturday. Our Tottenham vs Liverpool prediction: Liverpool wins.Tottenham vs Liverpool Alternative Predictions
BTTS + over 2.5
Neither side seem to be able to keep clean sheets with any consistency this season so we should see plenty of scoring chances here. In fact, even though Liverpool have now kept two clean sheets in a row, they were fortunate that Brighton didn’t get on the scoresheet in their most recent game. The Seagulls created three clear cut scoring chances and 1.90 xG. Additionally, six of the last eight matches between these two have seen BTTS + over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tottenham Liverpool
| Tottenham vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham wins | 3.56 | 3.92 | +10.1% |
| Draw | 3.86 | 3.75 | -2.8% |
| Liverpool wins | 2.1 | 2.08 | -1.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 48.1% (0.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.