Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid will be up against Sevilla as attention switches back to La Liga following the midweek Copa del Rey matches. The two sides had contrasting runs in the cup competition, but the focus here will be firmly on bagging three crucial points. Sevilla arrives for the game placed ninth with 20 points while their hosts are up there in second spot having garnered 19 points more. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Real Madrid started their league campaign well, but their recent weeks have been highlighted by a slump, both domestically and in Europe. As they try to find a footing in the title race, rumors about Xabi Alonso’s future as manager have been unsettling.
Once with a healthy lead, Real Madrid now trails Barcelona by four points. Sevilla will know Real Madrid have been struggling at home in recent matches, and this is the best time to take advantage. Their season hasn’t been the best, but among the teams they beat was Barcelona.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Real Madrid v Sevilla Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 7.6 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.2 | 7 | 12 |
|
|
1.21 | 6.8 | 11 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Sevilla?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Sevilla match is: Real Madrid wins & over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/12/2025 between Real Madrid and Sevilla in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.46% for a win of Real Madrid against Sevilla with odds of 1.3 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Sevilla is 11.05% with odds of 7.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Sevilla vs Real Madrid with odds of 14 at LSbet.
Real Madrid - Sevilla Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Sevilla Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 63.46% | 1.3 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.7% | 1.48 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 33.13% | 4.2 at LSbet |
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Form
Real Madrid and Sevilla's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 |
|
13
|
43 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 |
Real Madrid and Sevilla Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
24 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
24 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
28 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
27 May 2023 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
Real Madrid - Sevilla: Form Analysis
Real Madrid are back at home after a couple of away matches, which they won, and will want to carry the same effect back to the Bernabeu. The last time they played at home, Los Blancos suffered back-to-back losses to Manchester City and Celta Vigo.
The hosts endured tense final moments of their Copa del Rey outings against Talavera, holding on to win 3-2. While undertones about Xabi Alonso’s future have died down, trailing Barcelona by four points means they can resurface easily if Real falters.
They have 10 wins in the last 11 home league matches, so Real Madrid shouldn’t be short of confidence.
Real Madrid haven't lost at home to Sevilla since 2008.
Sevilla will carry into this game a run of four away league matches without a win. They were on the cusp of ending this run before Valencia pulled a fast one on them with a 93rd-minute goal.
This run will not be very encouraging for the visitors, as they head into a fixture they haven't won in 13 outings. In that run they lost 11 times.
They responded to the Valencia setback with a 4-0 win against struggling Real Oviedo in their latest league game. However, Sevilla’s inconsistent form checked in again during the Copa del Rey matches, and they are coming off a 1-0 loss to Alaves.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Real Madrid against Sevilla Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Substitutes
S. Mestre
A. Lunin
DefenderD. Jimenez
D. Alaba
F. Mendy
MidfielderT. Pitarch Pinar
E. Camavinga
J. Cestero
D. Ceballos
ForwardG. Garcia
F. Mastantuono
O. Nyland
DefenderA. Gallo Lopez
R. Martinez Gil
K. Salas
F. Cardoso
MidfielderOso
M. Bueno
A. Januzaj
J. Jordan
ForwardPeque
M. Sierra
A. Gonzales
Missing players
D. Carvajal
T. Alexander-Arnold
E. Militao
A. Carreras
ForwardEndrick
C. Azpilicueta
T. Nianzou
ForwardR. Vargas
Real Madrid & Sevilla Squad Analysis
Kylian Mbappe is proving to be the key man for Real Madrid yet again. The Frenchman started the season well, and there has been no handbrake. He has already been involved in 32 goals for Real this season.
His latest came in the Copa del Rey, but La Liga has been his playfield. In 17 matches he has 17 goals and four assists.
The Frenchman has taken 79 shots in La Liga, 44% of them. being on target, and he comes into this game with a 14.20 xG. His closest challenger in the team, Vinicius Jr., has five goals and as many assists.
Sevilla will most likely line up defensively against Real Madrid.
In Mbappe’s form, Sevilla defenders will have to be at their most alert. Last time out they lined up a five-man defence marshaled by skipper Nemanja Gudelj and got their third clean sheet of the campaign.
Perhaps it was a test of the formation to use against Madrid. Whichever way, goalkeeper Odysseas Vlachodimos will be a key player here. He must stay alert to the threat posed by Mbappe and Vinicius and would love a fourth clean sheet in a match with these superstars.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Sevilla
K. Mbappe
(25 Goals)
A. Adams
(10 Goals)
A. Guler
(9 Assists)
R. Vargas
(6 Assists)
Real Madrid - Sevilla Key Points
- Real Madrid have six wins in seven home league matches.
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in 13 matches against Sevilla.
- Sevilla lost half of their last eight away league matches.
- Six of Sevilla’s last 11 matches ended in defeat.
- 18 goals were netted in the last five meetings between these sides.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction
Sevilla have been inconsistent in their recent matches, and while Real Madrid have been shaky as well, we feel Los Blancos have what it takes to bag the points here. Real Madrid haven't lost to Sevilla in the last 13 meetings, and the last time they fell to Sevilla at home was way back in 2008.
It has been 17 wins and a draw since. The visitors aren’t on a very strong footing coming here, and their away run in La Liga has been wanting too. This could also be a high-scoring game, going by the past meetings. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Sevilla is that Real Madrid wins & over 3.5 goals.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Alternative Predictions
BTTS
Sevilla haven't done superbly in away matches in the league, but their goal-scoring record is outstanding. They have only failed to score in two of the last 10 away matches, and this is an aspect that will trouble Real. Los Blancos haven’t had the sturdiest of defenses, and there is a possibility they will be breached. Our second prediction for this match is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Sevilla
| Real Madrid vs Sevilla | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.19 | 1.3 | +9.2% |
| Draw | 8.4 | 7.6 | -9.5% |
| Sevilla wins | 19 | 14 | -26.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.0% and is now 76.9% (-7.1%)
Real Madrid vs Sevilla - FAQs
The Real Madrid v Sevilla match will be played on Saturday, 20th December.
The Real Madrid v Sevilla match will be played at the Santiago Bernabeu.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
