Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Union Berlin will search for consistency in their results as they host struggling Hamburg in a matchday five fixture of the 2025-26 Bundesliga season. This match on Sunday at Alten Forsterei between the 10th-placed Die Eisernen and the 15th-placed Die Rothosen comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals scored.
Union have six points (W2, L2) and started this round just a point behind the fourth-placed Koln. As for visiting Hamburg, their four points (W1, D1, L2) put them just a point above the bottom three sides.
The hosts edged Eintracht Frankfurt 4-3 away from home last weekend in a high-scoring thriller. Two goals beyond the 80th minute from Eintracht gave some nervy late moments for Union, but they held on to their lead.
Union still need to find some consistency in their game, as they are yet to win back-to-back matches this season. They also need to bounce back from a 4-2 loss to Hoffenheim in their last home game.
Hamburg are coming off a 2-1 home win over Heidenheim for their first victory of the season. That result came on the back of consecutive defeats, so the visitors will hope they can continue the run.
They are yet to win on the road and, worryingly enough, yet to score away from home!
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The Best Betting Odds for Union Berlin v Hamburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.4 | 4 |
|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.75 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
|
|
2 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
2 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Hamburg?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Hamburg match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2025 between Union Berlin and Hamburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.8% for a win of Union Berlin against Hamburg with odds of 2.11 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Hamburg is 17.12% with odds of 3.73 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Union Berlin with odds of 4 at Bet365.
Union Berlin vs Hamburg Form
Union Berlin and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -3 |
|
15
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -6 |
Union Berlin and Hamburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - 2nd Bundesliga
27 Apr 2025 - 2nd Bundesliga
11 Apr 2025 - 2nd Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Union Berlin vs Hamburg last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
S. Nsoki
A. Markgraf
T. Rothe
J. Juranovic
MidfielderA. Kemlein
L. Burcu
ForwardR. Skov
J. Torunarigha
MidfielderB. Jatta
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
Hamburg
I. Ansah
(4 Goals)
L. Vuskovic
(1 Goals)
, 
R. Philippe
(1 Goals)
, 
R. Konigsdorffer
(1 Goals)
, 
G. Ramos
(1 Goals)
A. Ilic
(4 Assists)
F. Vieira
(1 Assists)
Union Berlin and Hamburg Stats in Bundesliga
Union Berlin - Hamburg Key Points
- All five competitive matches featuring Union this season have seen three or more goals.
- Union scored two or more goals in three of their four league matches this season.
- Union have scored exactly twice in both their home league matches in this campaign.
- Hamburg’s last two matches saw three or more goals scored.
- Hamburg failed to score in their two away Bundesliga matches this season.
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Our Union Berlin vs Hamburg Prediction
Only two points separate these teams, but early season indicators are that Hamburger could struggle to hold their own. They are only a point above the relegation zone and have only one win to their name. Union have a lot to do, especially in terms of consistency, as they seek a first set of back-to-back wins this league season. Both their wins have come by a single-goal margin, which suggests there could be some tight action here as well.
High scoring has been a theme for Union this season, and our Union Berlin vs Hamburg prediction is over 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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