Toulouse vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

Predictions Odds Live

France - Ligue 1

Toulouse
30/08/2025 15:05
PSG

Prediction :

 

1-2 1st Half Goal Range

1.61
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Toulouse will host Paris Saint-Germain in the French Ligue 1 on matchday 3, and surprisingly, we don’t expect to see early fireworks. La Ville Rose is hoping to build on a crucial opening win, while Les Parisiens will be aiming for a more convincing attacking performance after a narrow victory in their first game. See our Toulouse vs PSG match prediction.

While both sides secured three points in their last outings, the manner in which they did so suggests this could be a tight affair in the first half. The historical data between these two clubs further supports this prediction, setting the stage for a tight first 45 minutes. 

We see the first half featuring between one and two goals, a trend that is supported by both teams' recent form and head-to-head history. The most recent meetings between Toulouse and PSG have seen this bet win in three of their last four clashes.

PSG, in particular, has a strong record supporting this, as the prediction has won in seven of their last eight league games. This pattern holds true even when the capital club plays away from home, with five of their last six away games fitting the criteria despite featuring scorelines of 4-1, 6-1, and 4-1 wins in that stretch. Toulouse's last game was a 1-0 win over Nice, with the lone goal coming late, while PSG only managed a 1-0 win against a disciplined Nantes side.
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The Best Betting Odds for Toulouse v PSG Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
8.5 5.25 1.33
1xbet
8.64 5.33 1.35
Stake
8.4 5.6 1.36
Melbet
9.2 5.4 1.32
BC Game
8.6 5.2 1.33
Check all Toulouse vs PSG odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and PSG?

Our prediction for the Toulouse vs PSG match is: 1-2 1st Half Goal Range.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/08/2025 between Toulouse and PSG in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.75% for a win of Toulouse against PSG with odds of 9.2 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs PSG is 21.89% with odds of 5.6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 52.36% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Toulouse with odds of 1.36 at Stake.

Toulouse - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:

Toulouse PSG Prediction Probability Odds
PSG wins 52.36% 1.36 at Stake
Under 2.5 52.01% 2.49 at 888Starz
Both Team To Score: No 53.33%
Half-time / Full-time: PSG/PSG 22.48% 1.91 at Bet365

Toulouse vs PSG Form

Toulouse and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
PSG
PSG
39 17 12 3 2 +22
8
Toulouse
Toulouse
23 17 6 5 6 +2

Toulouse and PSG Last Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse Last matches
L L L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  0
Brest

16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  1
Toulouse

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  1
Sevilla

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stuttgart
6 :  0
Toulouse

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Al Nasr
2 :  1
Toulouse

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leipzig
7 :  0
Toulouse
W D D L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  0
Brest

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  1
Sevilla

18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
QPR

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
0 :  0
Pau FC

10 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  1
Lens

3 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  1
Rennes
D W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  1
Toulouse

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stuttgart
6 :  0
Toulouse

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Al Nasr
2 :  1
Toulouse

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leipzig
7 :  0
Toulouse

17 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Saint Etienne
2 :  3
Toulouse

27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  0
Toulouse
PSG
PSG Last matches
W W L D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Angers

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  1
PSG

13 Aug 2025 - UEFA Super Cup

PSG
2 :  2
Tottenham

13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
3 :  0
PSG

9 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
4 :  0
Real Madrid

5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
2 :  0
Bayern Munich
L W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Angers

13 Aug 2025 - UEFA Super Cup

PSG
2 :  2
Tottenham

9 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
4 :  0
Real Madrid

5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
2 :  0
Bayern Munich

29 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
4 :  0
Inter Miami

19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Botafogo
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  1
PSG

13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
3 :  0
PSG

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Seattle Sounders
0 :  2
PSG

10 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Montpellier Hsc
1 :  4
PSG

3 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  1
PSG

29 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  1
PSG

Toulouse vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Toulouse

17 %

Draw

17 %

PSG

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
PSG

22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Toulouse

12 May 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  3
Toulouse

3 Jan 2024 - Trophée des Champions

PSG
2 :  0
Toulouse

19 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  1
PSG

4 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Toulouse

Players list

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

G. Restes

Defender

R. Nicolaisen

C. Cresswell

M. McKenzie

D. Sidibe

D. Methalie

Midfielder

M. Sauer

C. Casseres Jr

Y. Gboho

Forward

A. Donnum

F. Magri

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

L. Chevalier

Defender

A. Hakimi

I. Zabarnyi

Beraldo

N. Mendes

Midfielder

J. Neves

Vitinha

F. Ruiz

Forward

D. Doue

O. Dembele

B. Barcola

Substitutes

Toulouse
Toulouse
Goalkeeper

A. Dominguez

K. Haug

Defender

W. Kamanzi

R. Nicolaisen 63'

S. Koumbassa

D. Methalie 78'

Midfielder

A. Vossah

M. Sauer 63'

M. Saka

Forward

S. Hidalgo

F. Magri 69'

N. Edjouma

D. Sidibe 63'

J. Vignolo

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

M. Safonov

Defender

W. Pacho

N. Mendes 46'

Marquinhos

L. Hernandez

Midfielder

L. Kang-in

W. Zaire-Emery

Vitinha 46'

Forward

G. Ramos

O. Dembele 70'

I. Mbaye

B. Barcola 75'

K. Kvaratskhelia

D. Doue 62'

Missing players

Toulouse
Toulouse
Midfielder

N. Schmidt

A. Francis

R. Messali

PSG
PSG
Midfielder

S. Mayulu

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Toulouse
CD Huachipato PSG
Top Goalscorer
France Y. Gboho (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal J. Neves (5 Goals) ,  France B. Barcola (5 Goals)
Best assists
France D. Sidibe (3 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal Vitinha (6 Assists)

Toulouse - PSG Key Points

  1. The 1-2 first-half goal range bet has won in three of the last four head-to-head meetings.
  2. This bet won in seven of PSG’s last eight league games.
  3. This bet won in five of PSG’s last six away league games.
  4. This bet won in four of Toulouse’s last seven home league games.
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Our Toulouse vs PSG Prediction

Despite the offensive firepower of Les Parisiens, both teams showed a pattern of struggling to find goals early in their most recent games. Toulouse's last game was decided by a late strike, while PSG's recent outing against a defensive side saw a second-half goal settle the match. 

However, the consistent historical data, particularly PSG's strong trend of one or two first-half goals in the league, suggests that while a flurry of goals isn't likely, at least one goal is likely to enter before the break. Hence, our Toulouse vs PSG prediction is 1-2 1st Half Goal Range.

Prediction :

 

1-2 1st Half Goal Range

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse PSG

Toulouse vs PSG Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Toulouse wins 8.4 9.2 +9.5%
Draw 5.2 5.6 +7.7%
PSG wins 1.34 1.36 +1.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • PSG is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 74.6% and is now 73.5% (-1.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Toulouse vs PSG Prediction