France - Ligue 1
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by Geoffrey Ejiga in Ligue 1 Predictions
Toulouse will host Paris Saint-Germain in the French Ligue 1 on matchday 3, and surprisingly, we don’t expect to see early fireworks. La Ville Rose is hoping to build on a crucial opening win, while Les Parisiens will be aiming for a more convincing attacking performance after a narrow victory in their first game. See our Toulouse vs PSG match prediction.
While both sides secured three points in their last outings, the manner in which they did so suggests this could be a tight affair in the first half. The historical data between these two clubs further supports this prediction, setting the stage for a tight first 45 minutes.
We see the first half featuring between one and two goals, a trend that is supported by both teams' recent form and head-to-head history. The most recent meetings between Toulouse and PSG have seen this bet win in three of their last four clashes.
PSG, in particular, has a strong record supporting this, as the prediction has won in seven of their last eight league games. This pattern holds true even when the capital club plays away from home, with five of their last six away games fitting the criteria despite featuring scorelines of 4-1, 6-1, and 4-1 wins in that stretch. Toulouse's last game was a 1-0 win over Nice, with the lone goal coming late, while PSG only managed a 1-0 win against a disciplined Nantes side.Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Toulouse v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.5 | 5 | 1.38 |
|
|
7 | 4.6 | 1.44 |
|
|
7 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
|
|
7.5 | 5 | 1.38 |
|
|
7.5 | 5.25 | 1.36 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and PSG?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs PSG match is: 1-2 1st Half Goal Range.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/08/2025 between Toulouse and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.13% for a win of Toulouse against PSG with odds of 8 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs PSG is 22.36% with odds of 5.27 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.51% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Toulouse with odds of 1.44 at Betfred.
Toulouse vs PSG Form
Toulouse and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
|
3
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Toulouse and PSG Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2025 - Uefa Super Cup
13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
9 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2025 - Uefa Super Cup
9 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
29 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Apr 2025 - Champions League
Toulouse vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Jan 2024 - Trophée des Champions
19 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
Toulouse vs PSG last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
R. Messali
N. Schmidt
A. Francis
G. Donnarumma
DefenderP. Kimpembe
Most goals and assists
Toulouse
PSG
F. Magri
(2 Goals)
Vitinha
(1 Goals)
, 
F. Ruiz
(1 Goals)
S. Hidalgo
(1 Assists)
N. Mendes
(1 Assists)
Toulouse - PSG Key Points
- The 1-2 first-half goal range bet has won in three of the last four head-to-head meetings.
- This bet won in seven of PSG’s last eight league games.
- This bet won in five of PSG’s last six away league games.
- This bet won in four of Toulouse’s last seven home league games.
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Our Toulouse vs PSG Prediction
Despite the offensive firepower of Les Parisiens, both teams showed a pattern of struggling to find goals early in their most recent games. Toulouse's last game was decided by a late strike, while PSG's recent outing against a defensive side saw a second-half goal settle the match.
However, the consistent historical data, particularly PSG's strong trend of one or two first-half goals in the league, suggests that while a flurry of goals isn't likely, at least one goal is likely to enter before the break. Hence, our Toulouse vs PSG prediction is 1-2 1st Half Goal Range.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Toulouse vs. PSG game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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