Toulouse vs Nice Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Toulouse hosts Nice in the French Ligue 1 as the two sides look to stabilize their seasons. The home side is eighth in the league standings, six slots ahead of Nice, who have been on a freefall. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Toulouse didn’t have the best opening to the new year, as they were thrashed 3-0 by league leaders Lens last time out. They’ve had the space to reorganize, and a win on post-match penalties against Angers will work their confidence.
Before their defeat to Lens, the hosts had won three straight matches. Having beaten Nice in the first meeting this season, Toulouse will be convinced they can do a double over their visitors.
Nice’s poor season continues into the new year, though the French Cup has offered some needed diversion. The visitors are coming from a win over Nantes on post-match penalties after a 1-1 draw in their cup game.
That marked a third unbeaten outing for Nice, having won one. The real struggle for Nice comes in Ligue 1. From a possible 21 points in their last seven matches, Nice managed just one point, in a draw.
This poor run has seen Les Aiglons drop to 14th with 18 points. Only two places and four points separate them from the relegation zone.
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Toulouse v Nice Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.01 | 3.65 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.54 | 3.96 |
|
|
2 | 3.52 | 3.72 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.45 | 3.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Nice?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Nice match is: Toulouse wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Toulouse and Nice in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.6% for a win of Toulouse against Nice with odds of 2.06 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Nice is 27.73% with odds of 3.66 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Nice vs Toulouse with odds of 3.96 at Melbet.
Toulouse - Nice Prediction and Best Odds:
| Toulouse Nice Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 53.6% | 2.06 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 52.95% | 1.93 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Toulouse | 21.08% | 5 at Bet365 |
Toulouse vs Nice Form
Toulouse and Nice's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | +1 |
|
16
|
32 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 |
Toulouse and Nice Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Nice Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
21 May 2023 - Ligue 1
Toulouse against Nice Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 2 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
K. Haug
DefenderW. Kamanzi
S. Koumbassa
G. Bakhouche Piernas
MidfielderM. Sauer
C. Casseres Jr
N. Schmidt
ForwardJ. Vignolo
N. Edjouma
B. Zelazowski
DefenderA. Abdi
K. Oppong
MidfielderC. Vanhoutte
S. Abdul Samed
ForwardM. Cho
Kevin Carlos
T. Gouveia
Z. Diallo
Missing players
D. Methalie
MidfielderA. Francis
ForwardI. Azizi
Y. Diouf
DefenderA. Mendy
M. Abdelmoneim
M. Bombito
MidfielderY. Ndayishimiye
H. Boudaoui
ForwardT. Moffi
S. Diop
Most goals and assists
Toulouse
Nice
Y. Gboho
(8 Goals)
S. Diop
(8 Goals)
S. Hidalgo
(5 Assists)
J. Clauss
(5 Assists)
Toulouse - Nice Key Points
- Nice have lost six of their last seven league matches.
- Toulouse have three wins in their last five matches.
- Toulouse are unbeaten in four matches against Nice.
- Nice have lost nine of their last 12 matches in all competitions.
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Our Toulouse vs Nice Prediction
Nice have had a tough season, underperforming both in Europe and Ligue 1. Here they come carrying a run of nine defeats in the last 12 matches. In that period, they managed just one win. There isn’t much to celebrate in their away performances either, the team having managed just one win in 10.
Toulouse looks very capable of extending Nice’s suffering. They won in the reverse match, and there’s a strong chance there won’t be a change. Our prediction for Toulouse v Nice is that Toulouse wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Nice
| Toulouse vs Nice | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 1.81 | 2.06 | +13.8% |
| Draw | 3.91 | 3.66 | -6.4% |
| Nice wins | 4.83 | 3.96 | -18.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Toulouse is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.2% and is now 48.5% (-6.7%)
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
