Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in FA Cup Predictions
It’s a clash of two Premier League sides as Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa fight in the third round of the 2025-26 FA Cup competition. This match on Saturday at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London between the Lilywhites and the Lions comes with our prediction of an away win.
The teams are making their first appearance in this year’s competition at this stage. Tottenham lost in the fourth round last season when they were defeated by Villa, who went on to reach the semi-finals before losing to Crystal Palace. Spurs won this title last time in the 1990-91 edition, while Villa’s last success in this competition came way back in the 1956-57 campaign.
Recent form points to the fact that Villa are in a better frame ahead of this fixture, while Tottenham continue to struggle for consistency. Success in the cup competition could be these two teams’ only ticket to silverware this season, so will we see a close match in London? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Tottenham v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 3.6 | 2.57 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.25 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.5 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Tottenham and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Tottenham vs Aston Villa match is: Aston Villa wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2026 between Tottenham and Aston Villa in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.04% for a win of Tottenham against Aston Villa with odds of 2.75 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tottenham vs Aston Villa is 22.3% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Tottenham with odds of 2.72 at Shangrila.
Tottenham - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tottenham Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 49.66% | 2.72 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.71% | 1.97 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | 1.67 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 21.16% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Tottenham vs Aston Villa Form
Tottenham and Aston Villa Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
Tottenham vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
16 May 2025 - Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
26 Nov 2023 - Premier League
Tottenham - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Tottenham lost 3-2 away at Bournemouth in their midweek Premier League clash, which was preceded by two draws. With only one win from their last six matches (D2, L3), all coming in the Premier League, the Lilywhites have failed to move above the midtable logjam.
The home fans have failed to lift their side lately, as Tottenham could win just three of their last ten home games in all competitions (D3, L4). With two of those wins coming in the Champions League, it’s evident that Spurs are struggling to rise above their poor string of results.
Villa won six of their last eight matches against Tottenham.
That includes three in a row, including in last year’s fourth round of this competition. Villa come here after a 0-0 away draw at Crystal Palace in their midweek league fixture saw them lose ground on Premier League leaders Arsenal.
The Lions have just one win from their last three games (D1, L1), but 11 wins in a row in all competitions before this sequence are a testimony to their strength. That included five wins in their last seven away matches, losing just once against Arsenal.
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Players list
G. Vicario
DefenderB. Davies
K. Danso
D. Spence
M. Van de Ven
MidfielderJ. Palhinha
A. Gray
ForwardD. Scarlett
X. Simons
D. Solanke
R. Kolo Muani
M. Bizot
DefenderE. Konsa
P. Torres
L. Digne
A. Garcia
MidfielderE. Buendia
J. Sancho
L. Bogarde
Y. Tielemans
ForwardM. Rogers
O. Watkins
Substitutes
A. Kinsky
DefenderR. Dragusin
J. Byfield
D. Spence
D. Udogie
ForwardD. Solanke
R. Kolo Muani
D. Scarlett
L. Williams-Barnet
J. Wright
DefenderV. Lindelof
L. Digne
T. Mings
MidfielderA. Garcia
G. Hemmings
Y. Tielemans
J. Sancho
O. Watkins
Missing players
K. Takai
MidfielderD. Kulusevski
J. Maddison
Y. Bissouma
R. Barkley
Tottenham & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Mohamed Kudus is set for an extended spell out of action after he got injured against Sunderland. Lucas Bergvall was injured against Bournemouth, and both are set to be unavailable for selection.
The hosts are likely to stick to their 4-2-3-1 formation, unless Frank decides to be aggressive and line up in a 4-3-3 system. There could be questions over the forward line with Mathys Tel and Randal Kolo Muani fighting with Richarlison for starting berths.
Villa are sweating over Emi Martinez’s availability.
The goalkeeper withdrew at half-time in the draw against Crystal Palace and is out of contention here. Marco Bizot will deputise in his place. The visitors are also likely to be without Amadou Onana, who has a hamstring injury.
Emery is likely to stick to his 4-2-3-1 formation, unless he wants to keep it compact with a 4-4-2 system. Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers remain Villa’s best outlets for goals, with the duo scoring seven goals each this season in all competitions.
Most goals and assists
Tottenham
Aston Villa
Richarlison
(8 Goals)
M. Rogers
(7 Goals)
, 
D. Malen
(7 Goals)
,
O. Watkins
(7 Goals)
M. Kudus
(5 Assists)
M. Rogers
(6 Assists)
Tottenham - Aston Villa Key Points
- Tottenham lost three of their last six competitive matches, winning only once.
- Villa have won their last three matches against Tottenham, including last year’s FA Cup.
- Villa have won 12 of their last 14 competitive matches, losing just once.
- On the road, Villa won five of their last seven games.
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Our Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction
Aston Villa and Tottenham are going in contrasting directions in the Premier League, which adds extra intrigue to this contest. Villa lost their impressive winning streak with a defeat to Arsenal but are still in the top-three race. Tottenham are struggling to move above the midtable logjam as the pressure grows on Thomas Frank. Villa’s manager, Unai Emery, loves cup competitions and could plot their progress seamlessly.
Tottenham have struggled to go past Villa in recent years, and our Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa prediction is Aston Villa wins.
Tottenham vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Ollie Watkins to score anytime
Ollie Watkins scored four goals in three matches before failing to net against Crystal Palace during the midweek game. He has three goals and two assists in his 11 previous games against Tottenham. Going by his recent form, Watkins could be looking to add to that count.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tottenham Aston Villa
| Tottenham vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham wins | 2.45 | 2.45 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.6 | +5.9% |
| Aston Villa wins | 2.45 | 2.57 | +4.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.8% and is now 38.9% (-1.9%)
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Try your luck on this year's FA Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Tottenham vs Aston Villa - FAQs
The Tottenham vs Aston Villa FA Cup semi-finals match will be televised live on both BBC One and TNT Sports 1 in the UK. The viewers can also catch the match live online via the BBC iPlayer and the BBC Sport website. TNT Sports subscribers can log on to the Discovery+ app and website to catch the game live.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our FA Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
