Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
21st seed Arthur Fils is yet to lose a match on clay this year. He bids to make it eight consecutive wins when facing the 25th seed Tomas Martin Etcheverry in round four of the Mutua Madrid Open. Find our more in our match prediction below.
A match against either sixth seed Lorenzo Musetti or 11th-seeded Jiri Lehecka is the prize for the winner.
Arthur Fils won the Barcelona Open last week. This week has seen the Frenchman beat Ignacio Buse (in three sets) and Emilio Nava to extend his 2026 clay court record to 7-0 and is 22nd in the live rankings but fifth in the ATP Race.
He lost his only previous match against Etcheverry but that was four years ago and he retired in the third set.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry is up to a new career-high of 27th in the live list after two wins this week. Like his opponent, this is the first time he's made it past round two of this Masters tournament.
This year has seen him win the Rio clay court tournament and the semi-finals in Buenos Aires. He has defeated Sebastian Ofner and Dino Prizmic this week. He had to come from a set down to win the latter.
We tip more than 21.5 games to be played here.
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Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Arthur Fils Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3.36 | 1.32 |
|
|
3.44 | 1.31 |
|
|
3.5 | 1.3 |
|
|
3.35 | 1.29 |
|
|
3.35 | 1.29 |
|
Who will win the Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils match is: more than 21.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils game on 28/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry has a 31.05% chance to win against Arthur Fils according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 3.65.
- Arthur Fils has a 68.95% probability of winning facing Tomas Martin Etcheverry ⭐ with odds of 1.32 at Melbet.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tomas Martin Etcheverry has a 31.05 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 31.05 % |
| Arthur Fils | 68.95 % |
Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils Form
Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Arthur Fils Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
26 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
19 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
18 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
17 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
16 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Arthur Fils Key Points
- More than 21.5 games have been played in eight of Etcheverry's last ten matches.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction and Fils has played four tie-breaks in his last three matches.
- Seven of Etcheverry's last ten matches have gone to a third set.
- Three of the last five matches Fils has played saw more than 21.5 games.
- Their one previous meeting went to a third set.
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Our Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Arthur Fils Prediction
Between them these two players have had 26 clay court matches this year and won 22 of them. Both have won one clay court title in 2026 so we look set for a great match between Arthur Fils and Tomas Martn Etcheverry.
They have also both dropped a set in this tournament and Arthur Fils has played four tie-breaks in his last three matches. A side bet on one here could well win. Our main Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Arthur Fils prediction is more than 21.5 games.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Tomas Martin Etcheverry or Arthur Fils, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
