Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Vienna
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Can third seed Daniil Medvedev reach his third Erste Bank Open final? The Russian has a tough task in the semi-final of this indoor hard court tournament. He takes on second seed Carlos Alcaraz who is in his second semi-final in Vienna. Examining the stats and previous meetings has led us to a prediction of more than 9.5 games in set one.
Daniil Medvedev won this title in 2022 and was the runner-up the following year. He is playing in his tenth ATP Tour semi-final of 2026 and he's won four titles including in Almaty last weekend. This week has seen him win three matches with only Cameron Norrie taking a set off him.
More than 9.5 games have been played in the first set in four of his last six completed matches.
Alcaraz leads Medvedev 6-3 in previous meetings and 1-0 on this surface. Medvedev won their most recent match played at Indian Wells this year.
At least ten games have been played in the opening set of five of their last six matches.
Carlos Alcaraz is yet to drop a set in this tournament. Each of his three matches this week has seen a tie-break played.
More than 9.5 games have been played in the opening set in eight of his last ten matches with four tie-breaks.
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Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Four of Medvedev's last six completed matches have seen more than 9.5 games played in them.
- Alcaraz has played at least ten games in eight of his last ten matches.
- Five of the last six matches between these two players have seen more than 9.5 games played.
- Eight of the last 12 sets played between these players saw more than 9.5 games played.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Two of the top three seeds meet in the semi-finals of the Erste Bank Open in Vienna. Carlos Alcaraz has a good record against Daniil Medvedev but did lose to him in their last match played earlier this year. Alcaraz hasn't dropped a set this week, but five of his six sets have seen more than 9.5 games played.
Daniil Medvedev has won his last seven matches and won the Almaty title last weekend. Looking at the statistics from previous matches between the two players, our Daniil Medvedev v Carlos Alcaraz prediction is more than 9.5 games in set one.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.