Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions
Tomas Machac makes his return to the ATP Tour. He faces fellow unseeded player Pablo Carreno Busta in round one of the Cincinnati Open. Machac has won eight of his 12 outdoor hard court matches this year and our prediction is he will beat Busta.
In round two, the winner will take on 13th seed Andrey Rublev.
Tomas Machac is playing his first tournament since Roland Garros in May where he lost in round two to eventual champion Alexander Zverev.
Machac has won one ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament this year, winning the title in Adelaide seven months ago
He was 58th in the last rankings, ten places above his opponent.
Pablo Carreno Busta has a 7-6 record on outdoor hard courts this year. Only once has he made it past the first round of an ATP Tour event on this surface in 2026. That was in Dubai in February.
He's had success on his preferred surface of clay in the meantime. After that Dubai tournament, he didn't play again on this surface until the recent tournament in Montreal. That didn't go well with him being beaten in three sets by Valentin Royer in round one.
He has lost three of his last four matches on all surfaces.
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Tomas Machac v Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.81 | 2.01 |
|
|
1.86 | 2.05 |
|
|
1.82 | 1.99 |
|
|
1.82 | 1.99 |
|
|
1.82 | 1.99 |
|
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Who will win the Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreño-Busta match is: Tomas Machac wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreño-Busta game on 13/08/2026 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:
- Tomas Machac has a 53.78% chance to win against Pablo Carreño-Busta according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.86.
- Pablo Carreño-Busta has a 46.22% probability of winning facing Tomas Machac ⭐ with odds of 2.05 at 1xbet.
Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tomas Machac has a 53.78 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Tomas Machac | 53.78 % |
| Pablo Carreño-Busta | 46.22 % |
Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Form
Tomas Machac and Pablo Carreño-Busta Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
27 May 2026 - ATP French Open
24 May 2026 - ATP French Open
7 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
22 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
17 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
23 Jul 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
21 Jul 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
15 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
14 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
1 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Tomas Machac - Pablo Carreño-Busta Key Points
- Busta is ten places below his opponent in the latest ranking list.
- Busta has lost three of his last four matches.
- Machac has won one ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament this year.
- Busta has only made it past the first round of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament once this year.
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Our Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction
Tomas Machac has been off the court since Roland Garros. He will hope to get some time on court this week in Cincinnati as he prepares for the upcoming US Open. Machac has won one title on this surface in 2026.
Pablo Carreno Busta would prefer this match to be played on clay. That's by far his best surface and he has struggled on outdoor hard courts this year. Our Tomas Machac v Pablo Carreno Busta prediction is Tomas Machac wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
