Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Barcelona
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Andrey Rublev does not have any seeded players between him and the Barcelona Open final. The fifth seed takes on unseeded Tomas Machac in the last eight of this outdoor ATP 500 clay court tournament. Read our match prediction for more information.
Next up for the winner will be either qualifier Hamad Medjedovic or unseeded Nuno Borges.
Rublev had been seeded to face Carlos Alcaraz at this stage but the Spaniard withdrew from the tournament. Instead, he is up against Machac after beating Mariano Navone and Lorenzo Sonego so far this week.
This is his first quarter-final on clay in 2026 after losing in round two in Monte Carlo last week.
His wins have taken Rublev to 14th in the live rankings, 27 places above his opponent. They have had one previous meeting and it was Machac who won in straight sets but that was played on an outdoor hard court two years ago.
Tomas Machac won the Adelaide tournament this year on that surface. On clay, he has won three of his five matches this year. His two losses were to Rafael Jodar and Jannik Sinner, both of whom went on to win the title.
His one match this week saw him beat Sebastian Baez after losing the opening set.
We tip more than 21.5 games to be played here.
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Tomas Machac v Andrey Rublev Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.23 | 1.65 |
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2.31 | 1.61 |
|
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.12 | 1.66 |
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2.16 | 1.64 |
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Who will win the Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev match is: more than 21.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev game on 17/04/2026 of the current ATP Barcelona season:
- Tomas Machac has a 52.42% chance to win against Andrey Rublev according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 2.31.
- Andrey Rublev has a 47.58% probability of winning facing Tomas Machac ⭐ with odds of 1.66 at Roobet.
Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tomas Machac has a 52.42 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Tomas Machac | 52.42 % |
| Andrey Rublev | 47.58 % |
Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev Form
Tomas Machac and Andrey Rublev Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
2 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
16 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
22 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami
Tomas Machac - Andrey Rublev Key Points
- Machac has played more than 21.5 games in each of his last seven matches.
- Six of those matches went to a third set, including his one match in this tournament.
- More than 21.5 games have been played in six of Rublev's last nine matches.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Rublev has played at least one in five of his last nine matches.
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Our Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
It's been a strange week so far tor Tomas Machac. He had to come from a set down to beat Sebastian Baez and then received a walkover against top seed Carlos Alcaraz.
He has been unlucky to have to play two future title winners on clay this year. Andrey Rublev has made a steady but unspectacular start to his season but has a decent chance to reach the final in Barcelona. Our Tomas Machac v Andrey Rublev prediction is more than 21.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
