Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Montpellier

ATP - ATP Montpellier

ATP 33 Netherlands
Tallon Griekspoor
05/02/2026 08:30
ATP 89 Spain
Pablo Carreño-Busta

Prediction :

 

Pablo Carreno Busta wins a set

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Tallon Griekspoor begins his ATP Montpellier campaign and needs a morale boosting victory. The fourth seed is up against unseeded Pablo Carreno Busta in this indoor hard court tournament. Time for our match prediction.

In the last eight, the winner could face eighth seed Aleksandar Kovacevic or unseeded opposition.

The fourth seed is still waiting for his first win of 2026. All four of his matches have ended in defeat with no sets being won by the Dutchman. He last won a match in October and is 27th in the live rankings.

He'll want to recapture the form that saw him reach the quarter-finals of this tournament last year. 

He's 1-1 in previous matches with Busta but lost their only hard court meeting.

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Miomir Kecmanovic to make it into round two. He had to come from behind to do so after losing the first set on a tie-break and is 103rd in the live rankings. Busta also needed that win as it avoided a fourth straight loss for the Spaniard.

Of those defeats,  two of the matches saw him win a set. The two previous matches against Griekspoor saw three tie-breaks played. A side bet on one here could well win. Our main prediction is Busta wins a set. 

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Tallon Griekspoor v Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.68 2.19
Betwinner
1.68 2.19
Bet365
1.62 2.3
Roobet
1.61 2.2
BC Game
1.61 2.2
Check all Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta odds

Who will win the Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta match is: Pablo Carreno Busta wins a set.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta game on 05/02/2026 of the current ATP Montpellier season:

  • Tallon Griekspoor has a 50.96% chance to win against Pablo Carreño-Busta according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.68.
  • Pablo Carreño-Busta has a 49.04% probability of winning facing Tallon Griekspoor ⭐ with odds of 2.3 at Bet365.

Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tallon Griekspoor has a 50.96 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Tallon Griekspoor50.96 %
Pablo Carreño-Busta49.04 %

Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Form

Tallon Griekspoor and Pablo Carreño-Busta Last Matches

Tallon Griekspoor Last matches
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Ethan Quinn
3 :  0
Tallon Griekspoor

13 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Tallon Griekspoor
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert

6 Jan 2026 - United Cup

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  0
Tallon Griekspoor

3 Jan 2026 - United Cup

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Tallon Griekspoor

28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Tallon Griekspoor
0 :  2
Gabriel Diallo

22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Tallon Griekspoor
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima
Pablo Carreño-Busta Last matches
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

3 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier

Miomir Kecmanovic
1 :  2
Pablo Carreño-Busta

19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Jakub Mensik
3 :  2
Pablo Carreño-Busta

9 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Vit Kopriva
2 :  1
Pablo Carreño-Busta

6 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

Grigor Dimitrov
2 :  0
Pablo Carreño-Busta

2 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

Pablo Carreño-Busta
2 :  1
Mattia Bellucci

23 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup

Matteo Berrettini
2 :  0
Pablo Carreño-Busta

Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Tallon Griekspoor

50 %

Pablo Carreño-Busta

50 %

3 Apr 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Tallon Griekspoor
2 :  1
Pablo Carreño-Busta

18 Jan 2022 - ATP Australian Open

Tallon Griekspoor
2 :  3
Pablo Carreño-Busta

Tallon Griekspoor - Pablo Carreño-Busta Key Points

  1. Busta has won a set in both of his previous matches against Griekspoor.
  2. Busta has won a set in each of his last three matches.
  3. Griekspoor is yet to win a set this year.
  4. Griekspoor has lost at least one set in 19 of his last 20 matches.
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Our Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction

Tallon Griekspoor has been struggling for form since last July. There's been a string of defeats since then with the only real highlight being a win via retirement over Jannik Sinner last October. He's yet to win a set in four defeats this year.

Pablo Carreno Busta also lacks consistency and doesn't play a great deal on indoor hard courts. He did get a good first round win though and we believe he can give Griekspoor a tough match, Our Tallon Griekspoor v Pablo Carreno Busta prediction is Pablo Carreno Busta wins a set.

Prediction :

 

Pablo Carreno Busta wins a set

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction