Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Montpellier
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Tallon Griekspoor begins his ATP Montpellier campaign and needs a morale boosting victory. The fourth seed is up against unseeded Pablo Carreno Busta in this indoor hard court tournament. Time for our match prediction.
In the last eight, the winner could face eighth seed Aleksandar Kovacevic or unseeded opposition.
The fourth seed is still waiting for his first win of 2026. All four of his matches have ended in defeat with no sets being won by the Dutchman. He last won a match in October and is 27th in the live rankings.
He'll want to recapture the form that saw him reach the quarter-finals of this tournament last year.
He's 1-1 in previous matches with Busta but lost their only hard court meeting.
Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Miomir Kecmanovic to make it into round two. He had to come from behind to do so after losing the first set on a tie-break and is 103rd in the live rankings. Busta also needed that win as it avoided a fourth straight loss for the Spaniard.
Of those defeats, two of the matches saw him win a set. The two previous matches against Griekspoor saw three tie-breaks played. A side bet on one here could well win. Our main prediction is Busta wins a set.
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Tallon Griekspoor v Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.68 | 2.19 |
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1.68 | 2.19 |
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1.62 | 2.3 |
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1.61 | 2.2 |
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1.61 | 2.2 |
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Who will win the Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta match is: Pablo Carreno Busta wins a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta game on 05/02/2026 of the current ATP Montpellier season:
- Tallon Griekspoor has a 50.96% chance to win against Pablo Carreño-Busta according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.68.
- Pablo Carreño-Busta has a 49.04% probability of winning facing Tallon Griekspoor ⭐ with odds of 2.3 at Bet365.
Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tallon Griekspoor has a 50.96 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Tallon Griekspoor | 50.96 % |
| Pablo Carreño-Busta | 49.04 % |
Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Form
Tallon Griekspoor and Pablo Carreño-Busta Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
13 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
6 Jan 2026 - United Cup
3 Jan 2026 - United Cup
28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
3 Feb 2026 - ATP Montpellier
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
9 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
6 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
2 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
23 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
3 Apr 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
18 Jan 2022 - ATP Australian Open
Tallon Griekspoor - Pablo Carreño-Busta Key Points
- Busta has won a set in both of his previous matches against Griekspoor.
- Busta has won a set in each of his last three matches.
- Griekspoor is yet to win a set this year.
- Griekspoor has lost at least one set in 19 of his last 20 matches.
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Our Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction
Tallon Griekspoor has been struggling for form since last July. There's been a string of defeats since then with the only real highlight being a win via retirement over Jannik Sinner last October. He's yet to win a set in four defeats this year.
Pablo Carreno Busta also lacks consistency and doesn't play a great deal on indoor hard courts. He did get a good first round win though and we believe he can give Griekspoor a tough match, Our Tallon Griekspoor v Pablo Carreno Busta prediction is Pablo Carreno Busta wins a set.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Tallon Griekspoor vs. Pablo Carreño-Busta game

You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Tallon Griekspoor and Pablo Carreño-Busta when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on ATP Montpellier!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.