Sunderland vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The Stadium of Light will host a high-stakes showdown on Saturday, with Sunderland and Bournemouth both seeking to steady their stride in the Premier League heading into December. The Black Cats and the Cherries are locked level on 19 points apiece and are seventh and eighth in the league standings, respectively. Check out our match prediction below!
Despite finishing fourth in the Championship and needing the Playoffs to secure a return to the top flight, Sunderland have been head-and-shoulders the best newly promoted side this season. Regis Le Bris’ team are already almost halfway to reaching the magical 40-point ‘safety’ mark just 12 games into the campaign and could end the weekend in the top five if results elsewhere go their way.
Bournemouth’s start to the season has also defied expectations after losing several key players over the summer, but they now need to get back to winning ways after a tough run of fixtures. On paper, this looks like a very even matchup - let’s get into the key stats and try to figure out how this one will pan out!
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The Best Betting Odds for Sunderland v Bournemouth Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.35 | 2.34 |
|
|
3.19 | 3.28 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.25 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.4 | 2.37 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Bournemouth match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2025 between Sunderland and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.8% for a win of Sunderland against Bournemouth with odds of 3.25 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Bournemouth is 37.41% with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Sunderland with odds of 2.44 at 888Starz.
Sunderland - Bournemouth Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sunderland Bournemouth Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sunderland wins | 37.8% | 3.25 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.9% | 2.06 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sunderland | 14.63% | 7 at Bet365 |
Sunderland vs Bournemouth Form
Sunderland and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
33 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
|
15
|
26 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | -6 |
Sunderland and Bournemouth Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
Sunderland vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Apr 2017 - Premier League
5 Nov 2016 - Premier League
Sunderland - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Sunderland slipped to seventh place in the league standings last weekend when they conceded a late goal by Fulham’s Raul Jimenez and were forced to leave Craven Cottage with a 1-0 defeat.
The Black Cats have still only lost three games this season, but they are now winless in three, with that result coming off the back of consecutive draws against Everton and league leaders Arsenal.
However, the hosts are one of only four teams in the division that have yet to taste defeat at home this season, having taken 12 points from six games (W3 D3) at the Stadium of Light to date.
Sunderland have scored two or more goals in four of their six home games this season!
Meanwhile, Bournemouth have begun to cool off recently after bursting out of the blocks at the start of the season. They’ve now won just one of their last five Premier League matches ahead of this weekend’s fixture.
However, the Cherries' fighting spirit was on full display last weekend when they conceded twice in the first half against West Ham but came back to salvage a 2-2 draw and a point at the Vitality.
The visitors will now be hoping to show that same type of resilience on the road, where they have been relatively poor this season. In six away games, they have earned just five points and are currently winless in four (D2 L2).
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Sunderland against Bournemouth Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Patterson
DefenderL. Geertruida
T. Hume
R. Mundle
D. Neil
C. Rigg
ForwardB. Brobbey
S. Adingra
E. Mayenda
W. Dennis
DefenderJ. Soler
A. Jimenez
MidfielderV. Milosavljevic
D. Brooks
L. Cook
J. Kluivert
E. Kroupi
E. Unal
Missing players
A. Alese
MidfielderH. Diarra
M. Akinmboni
MidfielderB. Doak
Sunderland & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
After deploying a back five in each of their last four games, many Sunderland fans are now calling for Le Bris to revert to the flat back four formation that worked so well for them at the start of the season.
A four-man defence will also give the Black Cats more flexibility in attacking areas, and potentially allow for Chemsdine Talbi to return to the starting 11 after a handful of impressive cameos off the bench.
The hosts have four players currently flagged as injury doubts for this match in Habib Diarra, Ryan Mundle, Leo Hjelde and Aji Alese. Chris Rigg is likely to return to the squad after being left out against Fulham.
Will Antoine Semenyo return for Bournemouth this weekend?
The Ghanaian international sustained an ankle injury during the international break. While it is understood that it is not a serious issue, he did miss last week's match and remains a doubt for this one.
Andoni Iraola also lost Ben Gannon-Doak to injury during the international break, and he is now facing a lengthy spell on the sidelines. Justin Kluivert was not risked against the Irons but is expected to be available this week.
Enes Unal scored the crucial equaliser within two minutes of coming off the bench last week, and Iraola will have a big call to make over who leads the line this weekend between the Turk, Evanilson and Eli Kroupi.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Bournemouth
W. Isidor
(4 Goals)
, 
B. Brobbey
(4 Goals)
E. Kroupi
(7 Goals)
G. Xhaka
(5 Assists)
M. Senesi
(4 Assists)
Sunderland - Bournemouth Key Points
- Three of Sunderland’s last four games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Sunderland have scored two or more goals in four of their six home games this season.
- Five of Bournemouth’s last seven games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Bournemouth have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five matches.
- Bournemouth have conceded the second-most away goals in the Prem this season (16).
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Our Sunderland vs Bournemouth Prediction
While Sunderland are still unbeaten at the Stadium of Light this season, they have lost some of the defensive solidity we saw from them earlier in the campaign, and their back line will be fully tested here by Bournemouth.
Indeed, the Cherries have shown that they have the firepower to cut open any defence on their day, but their own defensive performances on the road have been poor, as they’ve already shipped 16 goals on their travels. Our Sunderland vs Bournemouth prediction is BTTS.
Sunderland vs Bournemouth - Other Interesting Predictions
Sunderland wins or draw
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sunderland Bournemouth
| Sunderland vs Bournemouth | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland wins | 2.95 | 3.25 | +10.2% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.4 | +4.6% |
| Bournemouth wins | 2.32 | 2.44 | +5.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sunderland is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.9% and is now 30.8% (-3.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sunderland vs. Bournemouth game!
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Sunderland vs Bournemouth - FAQs
The Premier League match between Sunderland and Bournemouth will take place on November 29 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Sunderland and Bournemouth will be played at the Stadium of Light in Sunderland.
The Premier League match between Sunderland and Bournemouth will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
