Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Sturm Graz
21/07/2026 14:30
Heart Of Midlothian FC

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Champions League Predictions

Sturm Graz and Heart of Midlothian FC are set to lock horns at Merkur-Arena in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League second qualifying round. The two sides have been involved in high-scoring games, making goals likely to flow here, hence our prediction for over 2.5 goals.

Sturm Graz are in the UEFA Champions League qualifiers after finishing as runners-up in the Austrian Bundesliga. With 37 points accumulated from 32 games, they were just two points away from the top.

The Blacks have already started preparations for the upcoming 2026-27 season with six pre-season games. Four of those games ended in victory and saw a total of 15 goals being scored.

This is not their first UEFA Champions League qualifiers rodeo, having appeared at this stage in the previous season. Their opponents at that time were Bodo/Glimt, and they lost 6-2 on aggregate in the play-offs.

Heart of Midlothian FC had the opportunity to end Celtic's stranglehold on the Scottish Premiership in the previous season by winning the title. However, a final day collapse saw them finish second, hence their participation in this tournament.

Hearts find themselves back in the UEFA Champions League qualifiers for the first time since the 2006-07 season, when they lost 5-1 on aggregate to AEK Athens in the third qualifying round.

The objective is clear this time around for the Scottish team: to go one step further.

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Sturm Graz v Heart Of Midlothian FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.8 3.7 4.2
1xbet
1.79 3.72 4.17
Melbet
1.79 3.72 4.17
Betwinner
1.79 3.72 4.17
22bet
1.79 3.72 4.17
Check all Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian FC odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Heart Of Midlothian FC?

Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian FC match is: over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/07/2026 between Sturm Graz and Heart Of Midlothian FC in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.82% for a win of Sturm Graz against Heart Of Midlothian FC with odds of 1.83 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian FC is 26.34% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Heart Of Midlothian FC vs Sturm Graz with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.

Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Form

Sturm Graz and Heart Of Midlothian FC Last Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz Last matches
W W L D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
MKS Pogon Szczecin

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
4 :  1
Kalsdorf

3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  2
FK Kosice

30 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  6
LNZ Cherkasy

26 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
5 :  0
Mura Murska Sobota

17 May 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
2 :  0
Rapid Wien
W W L D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
MKS Pogon Szczecin

8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
4 :  1
Kalsdorf

3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  2
FK Kosice

30 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
2 :  6
LNZ Cherkasy

26 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sturm Graz
5 :  0
Mura Murska Sobota

17 May 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Sturm Graz
2 :  0
Rapid Wien
D W W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Hartberg
2 :  4
Sturm Graz

3 May 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Salzburg
1 :  1
Sturm Graz

19 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

LASK Linz
1 :  1
Sturm Graz

5 Apr 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Rapid Wien
0 :  2
Sturm Graz

15 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Austria Vienna
2 :  5
Sturm Graz

1 Mar 2026 - Austrian Bundesliga

Wolfsberger
2 :  2
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Heart Of Midlothian FC Last matches
W W D W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

16 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

13 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  0
Falkirk

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

4 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rangers

26 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

13 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  0
Falkirk

4 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rangers

11 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  1
Motherwell

21 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Dundee FC

28 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
1 :  0
Aberdeen
L L D W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

9 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
1 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

26 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

5 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Livingston
2 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

14 Mar 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
1 :  0
Heart Of Midlothian FC

15 Feb 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
4 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC
Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Prediction

Sturm Graz - Heart Of Midlothian FC Key Points

  1. Sturm Graz have seen 11 of their last 18 UEFA Champions League qualifying matches end with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Heart of Midlothian FC have seen their last two competitive games end with over 2.5 goals.
  3. Sturm Graz have seen two of their last four European matches end with over 2.5 goals.
  4. Three of Heart of Midlothian FC's last four away competitive matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian FC Prediction

Sturm Graz have faced Scottish opposition six times and have an even record of three wins and three losses. They are likely going to approach this tie with confidence, especially given their strong home record and attacking output in recent matches.

Heart of Midlothian FC return to Europe's top-tier competition for the first time after a 19-year absence. They face a side that has been firing on all cylinders and could struggle to contain them. However, they too have enough quality to contribute to what could be an entertaining encounter. Our Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian FC prediction: over 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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