Stoke vs QPR Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Championship Predictions
Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers will meet at the Bet365 Stadium on Saturday in the Championship. The Potters are eighth in the league standings, while the Hoops are in 11th place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Stoke City cut the gap to the Playoff places to a single point on MD26 when they secured a 2-0 win against Norwich City, which followed a 1-0 victory over Hull three days earlier.
After stunning Coventry 1-0 in the FA Cup last weekend, the Potters have now kept three clean sheets in all competitions. They also have the best defensive record in the league, with just 23 goals conceded.
The hosts have not been great at home, though, having earned 20 points in 12 games (W6 D2 L4). However, they did beat this opponent 3-1 at this venue last term.
Meanwhile, QPR brought an end to a three-match winless run in the Championship with an impressive 3-0 victory over Sheffield Wednesday a fortnight ago.
However, the Hoops bowed out of the FA Cup last weekend, when they conceded in extra time against West Ham United to lose 2-1 after holding the Irons at 1-1 in regulation time.
After only losing one away game in seven between mid-September and the end of November, the visitors are currently winless in their last four league matches on the road (D1 L3). They also conceded two or more goals in each defeat during this winless run.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stoke v QPR Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.1 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
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|
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2.11 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
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2.18 | 3.22 | 3.52 |
|
|
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2.08 | 3.25 | 3.55 |
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2.14 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and QPR?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs QPR match is: 1-3 match goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Stoke and QPR in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.61% for a win of Stoke against QPR with odds of 2.18 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs QPR is 17.9% with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.49% chance ⭐ for a win of QPR vs Stoke with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
Stoke - QPR Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke QPR Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 52.61% | 2.18 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.3% | 2.15 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | 1.85 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Stoke/Stoke | 25.94% | 3.4 at Bet365 |
Stoke vs QPR Form
Stoke and QPR's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
41 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | +9 |
|
11
|
39 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | -1 |
Stoke and QPR Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
Stoke vs QPR Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
20 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
14 Feb 2024 - Championship
28 Nov 2023 - Championship
Stoke against QPR Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
T. Simkin
DefenderE. Bocat
J. Dixon
J. Griffin
MidfielderR. Curley
W. Smith
T. Seko
F. Fawunmi
M. Manhoef
B. Hamer
DefenderR. Edwards
K. Morgan
Esquerdinha
K. Adamson
T. Smith
MidfielderD. Bennie
S. Field
ForwardI. Alemayehu Mulugeta
Missing players
V. Johansson
DefenderA. Cresswell
B. Gibson
MidfielderL. Baker
ForwardR. Bozenik
J. Clarke-Salter
Z. Larkeche
L. Morrison
MidfielderI. Chair
J. Varane
ForwardR. Burrell
Most goals and assists
Stoke - QPR Key Points
- Seven of Stoke’s last eight games have ended with 1-3 goals.
- Stoke have only failed to score in one of their last six home games.
- Six of QPR’s last eight games have ended with 1-3 goals.
- QPR have scored once in each of their last six away games.
- 1-3 goals were scored in three of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our Stoke vs QPR Prediction
Stoke City enter this match in good shape, following an against-the-odds 1-0 victory over Coventry in the FA Cup last week, which was also their third clean sheet in a row across all competitions.
The Potters also have the best defensive record in the division this season, and will likely prioritise another shutout in this one, but the visitors have scored in 12 consecutive games in all competitions coming into this match. Therefore, our Stoke vs QPR prediction is 1-3 match goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke QPR
| Stoke vs QPR | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 2.22 | 2.18 | -1.8% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.4 | +6.3% |
| QPR wins | 3.13 | 3.6 | +15.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stoke is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.0% and is now 45.9% (0.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Stoke vs. QPR game!

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Stoke and QPR? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.