Stoke vs QPR Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Stoke
17/01/2026 10:00
QPR

Prediction :

 

1-3 match goals

1.5
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Championship Predictions

Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers will meet at the Bet365 Stadium on Saturday in the Championship. The Potters are eighth in the league standings, while the Hoops are in 11th place. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

Stoke City cut the gap to the Playoff places to a single point on MD26 when they secured a 2-0 win against Norwich City, which followed a 1-0 victory over Hull three days earlier.

After stunning Coventry 1-0 in the FA Cup last weekend, the Potters have now kept three clean sheets in all competitions. They also have the best defensive record in the league, with just 23 goals conceded. 

The hosts have not been great at home, though, having earned 20 points in 12 games (W6 D2 L4). However, they did beat this opponent 3-1 at this venue last term.

Meanwhile, QPR brought an end to a three-match winless run in the Championship with an impressive 3-0 victory over Sheffield Wednesday a fortnight ago. 

However, the Hoops bowed out of the FA Cup last weekend, when they conceded in extra time against West Ham United to lose 2-1 after holding the Irons at 1-1 in regulation time. 

After only losing one away game in seven between mid-September and the end of November, the visitors are currently winless in their last four league matches on the road (D1 L3). They also conceded two or more goals in each defeat during this winless run. 

Welcome Bonus 

Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365

The Best Betting Odds for Stoke v QPR Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.1 3.2 3.5
Stake
2.11 3.3 3.5
Melbet
2.18 3.22 3.52
BC Game
2.08 3.25 3.55
Tonybet
2.14 3.4 3.6
Check all Stoke vs QPR odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and QPR?

Our prediction for the Stoke vs QPR match is: 1-3 match goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Stoke and QPR in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.61% for a win of Stoke against QPR with odds of 2.18 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs QPR is 17.9% with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.49% chance ⭐ for a win of QPR vs Stoke with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.

Stoke - QPR Prediction and Best Odds:

Stoke QPR Prediction Probability Odds
Stoke wins 52.61% 2.18 at Melbet
Over 2.5 goals 58.3% 2.15 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 61.67% 1.85 at Betsson
Half-time / Full-time : Stoke/Stoke 25.94% 3.4 at Bet365

Stoke vs QPR Form

Stoke and QPR's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Stoke
Stoke
41 27 12 5 10 +9
11
QPR
QPR
39 27 11 6 10 -1

Stoke and QPR Last Matches

Stoke
Stoke Last matches
L D L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Stoke
1 :  0
Coventry City

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  2
Stoke

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Stoke

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Sheffield United

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Preston North End

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke
W L W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Stoke
1 :  0
Coventry City

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Sheffield United

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Preston North End

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Swansea

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Hull

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  0
Charlton Athletic
L L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  2
Stoke

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Stoke

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke

10 Dec 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  0
Stoke

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
4 :  0
Stoke

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
Stoke
QPR
QPR Last matches
W D L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

West Ham
2 :  1
QPR

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
3 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Norwich

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  1
QPR

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  1
QPR

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  1
Leicester
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
3 :  0
Sheffield Wednesday

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Norwich

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  1
Leicester

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Birmingham

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

QPR
3 :  1
West Brom

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

QPR
3 :  2
Hull
W L L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

West Ham
2 :  1
QPR

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

West Brom
2 :  1
QPR

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  1
QPR

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  1
QPR

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Norwich
3 :  1
QPR

26 Nov 2025 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  1
QPR

Stoke vs QPR Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stoke

40 %

Draw

20 %

QPR

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.8
Total goals
60%
BTTS
1.4
Goals scored
1.4
Goals conceded
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5

20 Sept 2025 - Championship

QPR
1 :  0
Stoke

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
QPR

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

QPR
1 :  1
Stoke

14 Feb 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  0
QPR

28 Nov 2023 - Championship

QPR
4 :  2
Stoke

Stoke against QPR Lineups: Starting 11

Stoke

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

31
G. Bazunu
40
M. Talovierov
26
A. Phillips
16
B. Wilmot
18
B. Lawal
19
T. Rigo
4
B. Pearson
29
M. Cisse
10
B. Joon-ho
7
S. Thomas
9
D. Mubama
26
R. Kolli
22
R. Kone
11
P. Smyth
24
N. Madsen
15
I. Hayden
7
K. Dembele
18
R. Norrington-Davies
5
S. Cook
3
J. Dunne
27
A. Mbengue
13
J. Walsh

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

QPR

Substitutes

Stoke
Stoke
Goalkeeper

T. Simkin

Defender

E. Bocat

B. Lawal 76'

J. Dixon

J. Griffin

Midfielder

R. Curley

W. Smith

T. Seko

B. Pearson 87'

Forward

F. Fawunmi

M. Manhoef

D. Mubama 56'

QPR
QPR
Goalkeeper

B. Hamer

Defender

R. Edwards

K. Morgan

Esquerdinha

P. Smyth 86'

K. Adamson

R. Kolli 87'

T. Smith

Midfielder

D. Bennie

K. Dembele 71'

S. Field

Forward

I. Alemayehu Mulugeta

Missing players

Stoke
Stoke
Goalkeeper

V. Johansson

Defender

A. Cresswell

B. Gibson

Midfielder

L. Baker

Forward

R. Bozenik

QPR
QPR
Defender

J. Clarke-Salter

Z. Larkeche

L. Morrison

Midfielder

I. Chair

J. Varane

Forward

R. Burrell

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Stoke
CD Huachipato QPR
Top Goalscorer
Wales S. Thomas (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Jamaica R. Burrell (10 Goals)
Best assists
Wales S. Thomas (5 Assists)
Best assists
Denmark N. Madsen (4 Assists)

Stoke - QPR Key Points

  1. Seven of Stoke’s last eight games have ended with 1-3 goals.
  2. Stoke have only failed to score in one of their last six home games.
  3. Six of QPR’s last eight games have ended with 1-3 goals.
  4. QPR have scored once in each of their last six away games.
  5. 1-3 goals were scored in three of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our Stoke vs QPR Prediction

Stoke City enter this match in good shape, following an against-the-odds 1-0 victory over Coventry in the FA Cup last week, which was also their third clean sheet in a row across all competitions.

The Potters also have the best defensive record in the division this season, and will likely prioritise another shutout in this one, but the visitors have scored in 12 consecutive games in all competitions coming into this match. Therefore, our Stoke vs QPR prediction is 1-3 match goals. 

Prediction :

 

1-3 match goals

1.5
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke QPR

Stoke vs QPR Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Stoke wins 2.22 2.18 -1.8%
Draw 3.2 3.4 +6.3%
QPR wins 3.13 3.6 +15.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Stoke is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 45.0% and is now 45.9% (0.8%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Stoke vs. QPR game!

bet365 welcome offer

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Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stoke vs QPR Prediction