Stade Toulousain vs Section Paloise Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
24/01/2026 15:00
Section Paloise

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain -19.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

This top-of-the-table clash will see Stade Toulousain host Section Paloise in Top 14 round 15 fixture on Saturday. The defending champions will look to bounce back from a narrow defeat to USA Perpignan in their last outing in the French top flight. Here is our prediction. 

Stade Toulousain are firing on all cylinders this season. The Red and Blacks come into this match off the back of an impressive 77–7 victory over Sale Sharks in Champions Cup – a result that sealed their spot in the round of 16 of the competition. 

They are also top of the Top 14 standings following a joint league-high 10 wins from their 14 matches this season. Ugo Mola’s side fell 30–27 to USA Perpignan the last time out, but have won all nine of their home matches this season across all competitions.

Section Paloise head into this match still nursing the heartbreak of their Champions Cup pool-stage exit following a shock 26–24 home defeat to the visiting Bulls last week. They lost 22–17 away to Lyon in their last Top 14 outing, marking their fourth defeat from six Top 14 road games. 

The last time they won an away fixture against Stade Toulousain was in January 2017. All eight of their subsequent trips to face the 24-time champions have ended in defeat! 

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Stade Toulousain v Section Paloise Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.06 41 8.52
Betwinner
1.04 41 11
Bet365
1.06 41 8.5
Roobet
1.05 20 8.4
BC Game
1.05 20 8.4
Check all Stade Toulousain vs Section Paloise odds

Stade Toulousain vs Section Paloise Form

Stade Toulousain and Section Paloise's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Stade Toulousain
86 25 18 0 7 +375
4 Section Paloise
73 25 16 0 9 +116

Stade Toulousain and Section Paloise Last Matches

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain Last matches
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
77 :  7
Sale Sharks

11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Saracens FC
20 :  14
Stade Toulousain

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
30 :  27
Stade Toulousain

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
60 :  14
Stade Rochelais

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
19 :  41
Stade Toulousain

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Glasgow Warriors
28 :  21
Stade Toulousain
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
77 :  7
Sale Sharks

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
60 :  14
Stade Rochelais

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
56 :  19
Hollywoodbets Sharks

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
48 :  24
Racing 92

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
29 :  17
Stade Francais Paris

26 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  24
RC Toulonnais
L W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Saracens FC
20 :  14
Stade Toulousain

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
30 :  27
Stade Toulousain

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
19 :  41
Stade Toulousain

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Glasgow Warriors
28 :  21
Stade Toulousain

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
7 :  49
Stade Toulousain

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
30 :  26
Stade Toulousain
Section Paloise
Section Paloise Last matches
L W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

16 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Section Paloise
24 :  26
Bulls

10 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Scarlets
38 :  47
Section Paloise

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
22 :  17
Section Paloise

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
35 :  33
Montpellier Herault Rugby

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
17 :  53
Section Paloise

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Bristol RC Bears
61 :  12
Section Paloise
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

16 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Section Paloise
24 :  26
Bulls

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
35 :  33
Montpellier Herault Rugby

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Section Paloise
27 :  35
Northampton Saints

30 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
53 :  33
Stade Rochelais

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
27 :  23
USA Perpignan

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
30 :  26
Stade Toulousain
L W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

10 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Scarlets
38 :  47
Section Paloise

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
22 :  17
Section Paloise

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
17 :  53
Section Paloise

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Bristol RC Bears
61 :  12
Section Paloise

21 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
33 :  34
Section Paloise

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
15 :  10
Section Paloise

Stade Toulousain vs Section Paloise Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stade Toulousain

67 %

Draw

0 %

Section Paloise

33 %

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
30 :  26
Stade Toulousain

29 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
55 :  10
Section Paloise

19 Oct 2024 - Top 14

Section Paloise
14 :  22
Stade Toulousain

30 Mar 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31 :  29
Section Paloise

5 Nov 2023 - Top 14

Section Paloise
13 :  9
Stade Toulousain

25 Feb 2023 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
34 :  10
Section Paloise

Players list

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
J. Brennan E. Meafou S. Chocobares T. Flament K. Gourgues M. Lebel R. Neti T. Ramos F. Cros T. Thomas J. Marchand A. Dupont D. Aldegheri B. Kinghorn A. Jelonch
Section Paloise
Section Paloise
A. Etcheberre E. Gailleton T. Attissogbé H. Auradou T. Souverbie A. Grandidier Nkanang A. Desperes F. Brau Boire G. Arfeuil J. Maximin S. Zegueur J. Montoya F. Isa T. Laclayat R. Hewat

Substitutes

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
C. Verge P. Graou P. Costes C. Baille G. Colombe A. Roumat P. Mauvaka J. Willis
Section Paloise
Section Paloise
Y. Delhommel R. Seneca C. Mondinat L. Credoz S. Tokolahi T. Daubagna M. Capelli L. Whitelock

Stade Toulousain - Section Paloise Key Points

  1. Stade Toulousain have won their seven Top 14 home matches this season.
  2. Stade Toulousain have won all of their nine home matches this season across all competitions.
  3. Stade Toulousain have won four of their last five home matches against Section Paloise by blowout margins.
  4. Section Paloise have lost four of their last five Top 14 away matches.
  5. Section Paloise have suffered defeat in all of their previous eight trips to face Stade Toulousain.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs Section Paloise Prediction

This match promises to be a rollercoaster as the two teams battle for the league’s top spot. However, Section Paloise are on the back foot, riding an unceasing losing streak in their last eight trips to face Stade Toulousain. They have also suffered defeats in four of their last five Top 14 away matches. 

Meanwhile, Stade Toulousain have enjoyed a perfect home run across all competitions this season and have won four of their last five home meetings with Section Paloise by blowout margins. Our Stade Toulousain vs Section Paloise prediction is Stade Toulousain -19.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain -19.5 handicap

 
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Stade Toulousain vs Section Paloise Prediction