Stade Toulousain vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14
France - Top 14
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
This top-of-the-table clash in Top 14 sees league leaders Stade Toulousain host second-placed Montpellier HR at Stade Ernest-Wallon on Saturday. Can the Red and Blacks bounce back against Montpellier HR after last week's setback? Here is our prediction.
Stade Toulousain came out heavy losers against Bordeaux Begles last week. Romain Ntamack scored a try and added three from the tee to keep the defending champions in the game early on, but they fell apart after the break and eventually lost 44–20.
Despite that setback, Ugo Mola's men head into Saturday's contest in full confidence. They have enjoyed a perfect record across their 10 Top 14 home matches this season and won four of their last five fixtures in the competition, three of those by blowout margins.
Montpelier HR made it four Top 14 wins in a row after defeating Clermont 20–17 away at Stade Marcel-Michelin last time out, thanks to Hugo Mitotti's set-piece heroics. Despite their impressive run, the Bleu and Whites head into Saturday's contest on the back foot.
They have lost five of their nine Top 14 away matches this season. Their last four Top 14 trips to face Stade Toulousain have ended in defeats, all of which by solid margins.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Stade Toulousain v Montpellier Herault Rugby Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.02 | 32 | 14.2 |
|
|
1.01 | 50 | 23 |
|
|
1.02 | 51 | 13 |
|
|
1.02 | 20 | 10 |
|
|
1.02 | 20 | 10 |
|
Stade Toulousain vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Form
Stade Toulousain and Montpellier Herault Rugby's standings in the Top 14
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
86 | 25 | 18 | 0 | 7 | +375 |
|
2
|
78 | 25 | 16 | 1 | 8 | +234 |
Stade Toulousain and Montpellier Herault Rugby Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
22 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
15 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Dec 2025 - Top 14
7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
22 Mar 2026 - Top 14
15 Feb 2026 - Top 14
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
25 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
12 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
25 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
28 Dec 2025 - Top 14
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
Stade Toulousain vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
20 Sept 2025 - Top 14
25 Jan 2025 - Top 14
21 Sept 2024 - Top 14
18 May 2024 - Top 14
27 Aug 2023 - Top 14
29 Jan 2023 - Top 14
Players list
Substitutes
Stade Toulousain - Montpellier Herault Rugby Key Points
- Stade Toulousain have won four of their last five Top 14 matches, three of which by blowout margins.
- The Red and Blacks have won all 10 of their Top 14 home matches this season by emphatic margins.
- Montpellier HR have lost five of their nine Top 14 away matches this season.
- The Bleu and Whites have lost their last four Top 14 away matches against Stade Toulousain by solid margins.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Stade Toulousain vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Prediction
Stade Ernest-Wallon has been a difficult venue for Montpellier HR and their impressive recent run will be tested in Saturday's cracker. The Rockroses have posted an uninspiring 3–1–5 record in their nine Top 14 away matches this season, making us doubt their chances in the game.
Meanwhile, Stade Toulousain have not only turned Stade Ernest-Wallon into a fortress this season, but have been winning there consistently by blowout margins. Hence, we are tipping them to win and cover the handicap. Our Stade Toulousain vs Montpellier HR prediction is Stade Toulousain –22.5 handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
