Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31/01/2026 15:00
Aviron Bayonne

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain wins on a -15 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Rugby Predictions

League leaders Stade Toulousain can go at least ten points clear at the top if they beat Aviron Bayonne at home. The visitors to Le Stade this weekend are only 11th in Top 14 with a poor away record. Read our match prediction below.

Stade Toulousain are six points clear of Section Paloise (who don't play until Sunday) after the first 15 games of the league season. Their main strength is undeniably their home form. All eight of the league fixtures for the Red and Blacks have ended in victory.

Their most recent home league win saw them beat second-placed Section Paloise 59-22. That took their combined total for the last three home league fixtures to 167 points. They also beat Sale 77-7 at home in the Champions Cup.

Aviron Bayonne only have three sides below them in the table but are a comfortable 21 points above the relegation zone. Only five points separates them from the final play-off position but they need to improve their away form.

Of their eight league wins this season, only one has come on the road and that was in their opening game of the season. 246 points have been conceded by The Sky Blue and Whites in their last five away league games.

We tip Stade Toulousain to win on a -15 handicap.

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Stade Toulousain v Aviron Bayonne Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.11 34 6.51
Betwinner
1.07 26 8.5
Bet365
1.1 34 7
Roobet
1.1 20 6.4
BC Game
1.1 20 6.4
Check all Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne odds

Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Form

Stade Toulousain and Aviron Bayonne's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Stade Toulousain
86 25 18 0 7 +375
12 Aviron Bayonne
46 25 10 0 15 -167

Stade Toulousain and Aviron Bayonne Last Matches

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain Last matches
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

24 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  22
Section Paloise

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
77 :  7
Sale Sharks

11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Saracens FC
20 :  14
Stade Toulousain

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
30 :  27
Stade Toulousain

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
60 :  14
Stade Rochelais

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
19 :  41
Stade Toulousain
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

24 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  22
Section Paloise

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
77 :  7
Sale Sharks

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
60 :  14
Stade Rochelais

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
56 :  19
Hollywoodbets Sharks

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
48 :  24
Racing 92

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
29 :  17
Stade Francais Paris
L W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Saracens FC
20 :  14
Stade Toulousain

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
30 :  27
Stade Toulousain

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
19 :  41
Stade Toulousain

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Glasgow Warriors
28 :  21
Stade Toulousain

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
7 :  49
Stade Toulousain

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
30 :  26
Stade Toulousain
Aviron Bayonne
Aviron Bayonne Last matches
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

24 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
10 :  13
Castres Olympique

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Aviron Bayonne
13 :  22
Leinster

10 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Leicester Tigers
57 :  14
Aviron Bayonne

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
62 :  22
Aviron Bayonne

27 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
35 :  34
Stade Francais Paris

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
49 :  17
Aviron Bayonne
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

24 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
10 :  13
Castres Olympique

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Aviron Bayonne
13 :  22
Leinster

27 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
35 :  34
Stade Francais Paris

5 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Aviron Bayonne
17 :  26
Stormers

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
22 :  20
Lyon Ou

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
49 :  7
US Montalbanaise
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

10 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Leicester Tigers
57 :  14
Aviron Bayonne

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
62 :  22
Aviron Bayonne

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
49 :  17
Aviron Bayonne

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Harlequins FC
68 :  14
Aviron Bayonne

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
47 :  27
Aviron Bayonne

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
41 :  12
Aviron Bayonne

Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stade Toulousain

50 %

Draw

0 %

Aviron Bayonne

50 %

5 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
40 :  26
Stade Toulousain

20 Jun 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
32 :  25
Aviron Bayonne

22 Feb 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
41 :  6
Aviron Bayonne

3 Nov 2024 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
12 :  8
Stade Toulousain

3 Feb 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
46 :  26
Aviron Bayonne

18 Aug 2023 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
26 :  7
Stade Toulousain

Players list

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
P. Mallez P. Graou P. Costes J. Brennan S. Chocobares C. Verge V. Delpy L. Banos T. lacombre J. Willis B. Kinghorn T. Thomas A. Roumat M. Lebel D. Ainuu
Aviron Bayonne
Aviron Bayonne
S. Maqala J. Segonds L. Tagi T. Spring E. Arnaud Y. Orabe G. Martocq B. Heguy F. Bosch I. David Calles E. Johnston R. Leota B. Germain L. Paulos Adler R. Bruni

Substitutes

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
T. Rapetti G. Cramont E. Elías C. Baille N. Saito R. N'tamack P. Barassi M. Castro-Ferreira
Aviron Bayonne
Aviron Bayonne
G. Lapegue Lafaye M. Ariceta S. Cormenier A. Moon P. Cotet F. Mori V. Giudicelli G. Anscombe

Stade Toulousain - Aviron Bayonne Key Points

  1. Stade Toulousain have won all eight of their home league games this season.
  2. Stade Toulousain have a +262 points difference for those eight home league victories.
  3. Aviron Bayonne have lost their last six away league fixtures.
  4. Aviron Bayonne have conceded 246 points in their last five away league matches.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Prediction

With the Six Nations on the horizon, clubs in Top 14 will be missing several players for the next few weeks. Stade Toulousain top the table but they have a strong squad and should be able to deal with any major absentees.

They have won all of their home league fixtures this season and are our confident tip to earn a ninth win of the season. Aviron Bayonne are only 11th in the table and struggling for form on the road. Our Stade Toulousain v Aviron Bayonne prediction is Stade Toulousain wins on a -15 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain wins on a -15 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stade Toulousain vs Aviron Bayonne Prediction