Stade Francais Paris vs Stade Toulousain Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14
France - Top 14
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
Stade Francais Paris host Stade Toulousain in this Top 14 Round 17 fixture on Sunday at Stade Jean Bouin. Can the Pink Soldiers overcome the defending champions to return to winning ways after their defeat at Montpellier? Check out our prediction for the match below.
Stade Francais Paris suffered a second defeat in three matches after losing 44–7 away to Montpellier last time out. That loss also saw them slip to sixth in the standings with 43 points, leaving their hopes of finishing in the playoff places on a knife edge.
Notably, Paul Gustard's side will be confidant of acing Sunday's contest despite recent setbacks. They are unbeaten at Stade Jean Bouin this season, winning eight of their nine matches at the venue (D1).
Stade Toulousain defeated Aviron Bayonne 31–10 in their last Top 14 match to make it three wins on the bounce across all competitions. They also tightened their grip on the top spot with that victory, going seven points clear of second-placed Section Paloise.
Notably, Ugo Mola's men have lost three of their last four away matches across all competitions, but by competitive margins. They have won their last four encounters against Stade Francais Paris, including their last trip to Stade Jean Bouin to face them.
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Stade Francais Paris v Stade Toulousain Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.59 | 21 | 2.49 |
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1.51 | 15 | 2.67 |
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1.59 | 21 | 2.4 |
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1.57 | 20 | 2.38 |
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1.58 | 20 | 2.36 |
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Stade Francais Paris vs Stade Toulousain Form
Stade Francais Paris and Stade Toulousain's standings in the Top 14
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
86 | 25 | 18 | 0 | 7 | +375 |
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3
|
78 | 25 | 15 | 1 | 9 | +210 |
Stade Francais Paris and Stade Toulousain Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
27 Dec 2025 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
23 Nov 2025 - Top 14
25 Oct 2025 - Top 14
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
27 Dec 2025 - Top 14
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
28 Dec 2025 - Top 14
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Dec 2025 - Top 14
7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Nov 2025 - Top 14
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Top 14
18 Oct 2025 - Top 14
Stade Francais Paris vs Stade Toulousain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
1 Nov 2025 - Top 14
20 Apr 2025 - Top 14
29 Dec 2024 - Top 14
12 May 2024 - Top 14
3 Dec 2023 - Top 14
22 Apr 2023 - Top 14
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Stade Francais Paris - Stade Toulousain Key Points
- Stade Francais Paris have lost two of their last three matches across all competitions.
- Stade Francais Paris are unbeaten in their nine matches at Stade Jean Bouin this season, winning eight.
- Stade Toulousain have won their last three matches across all competitions.
- Stade Toulousain have won their last four matches against Stade Francais Paris.
- Stade Toulousain have kept their last three losses on the road within competitive margins.
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Our Stade Francais Paris vs Stade Toulousain Prediction
We expect a close contest on Sunday. Stade Francais Paris haven't tasted defeat at home this season, but their poor recent run is worth noting. Additionally, they have lost each of their last four encounters with Stade Toulousain, including their most recent home fixture against the league leaders.
While Stade Toulousain haven't impressed on the road lately, they have been competitive, keeping losses within respectable margins. We are tipping them for outright victory or to keep it within a tight margin. Our Stade Francais Paris vs Stade Toulousain prediction is Stade Toulousain +5.5 handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.