Stade Francais Paris vs Aviron Bayonne Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
30/05/2026 08:30
Aviron Bayonne

Prediction :

 

Stade Francais Paris –16.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

Stade Francais Paris will be out to strengthen their bid for a top-two finish when they host Aviron Bayonnais in the penultimate round of the Top 14 regular season on Saturday at Stade Jean Bouin. The Pink Soldiers  have picked up an impressive 19 points from a possible 20 in their last four home league matches, averaging a 27-point winning margin per game, hence our prediction of a dominant home victory here. 

Stade Francais Paris demolished Montauban 73–25 last time out, securing the maximum five points and reducing the gap to the top-two to just one point. That victory made it six Top 14 wins in seven matches for the Paris-based outfit, with five of those victories coming by 19 points or more. 

They have also swept each of their last four home fixtures, averaging a 27-point winning margin per game. Overall, Paul Gustard’s charges have posted a remarkable 10–1–1 league record at Stade Jean Bouin this season.

Bayonne are out of contention for a post-season berth following a poor run of results. Their last match ended in a 42–35 defeat to Lyon, and that result marked their fourth consecutive loss in the French top flight. 

Additionally, Grégory Patat’s men have endured a rough patch on the road, losing 12 of their last 13 matches across all competitions. Their only victory in that stretch came against bottom-placed Montauban.

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Stade Francais Paris v Aviron Bayonne Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.11 41 6.48
Betwinner
1.06 31 9.5
Bet365
1.08 34 7.5
Roobet
1.05 20 8.8
BC Game
1.05 20 8.8
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Stade Francais Paris vs Aviron Bayonne Form

Stade Francais Paris and Aviron Bayonne's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Stade Francais Paris
78 26 15 1 10 +205
12 Aviron Bayonne
50 26 11 0 15 -122

Stade Francais Paris and Aviron Bayonne Last Matches

Stade Francais Paris
Stade Francais Paris Last matches
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

16 May 2026 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
25 :  73
Stade Francais Paris

9 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
59 :  17
Lyon Ou

25 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
34 :  32
Section Paloise

19 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Racing 92
47 :  20
Stade Francais Paris

5 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup

Stade Francais Paris
31 :  36
Dragons

29 Mar 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
64 :  20
Clermont
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

9 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
59 :  17
Lyon Ou

25 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
34 :  32
Section Paloise

5 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup

Stade Francais Paris
31 :  36
Dragons

29 Mar 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
64 :  20
Clermont

28 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
42 :  21
USA Perpignan

15 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
9 :  13
Stade Toulousain
L W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

16 May 2026 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
25 :  73
Stade Francais Paris

19 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Racing 92
47 :  20
Stade Francais Paris

21 Mar 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
27 :  46
Stade Francais Paris

31 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
44 :  7
Stade Francais Paris

24 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
28 :  33
Stade Francais Paris

17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Ulster Rugby
26 :  19
Stade Francais Paris
Aviron Bayonne
Aviron Bayonne Last matches
W W L L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

16 May 2026 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
42 :  35
Aviron Bayonne

9 May 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
38 :  40
Union Bordeaux Begles

25 Apr 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
52 :  26
Aviron Bayonne

18 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
22 :  54
Section Paloise

28 Mar 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
26 :  15
Stade Rochelais

21 Mar 2026 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
26 :  60
Aviron Bayonne
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

9 May 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
38 :  40
Union Bordeaux Begles

18 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
22 :  54
Section Paloise

28 Mar 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
26 :  15
Stade Rochelais

14 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
36 :  41
Racing 92

24 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
10 :  13
Castres Olympique

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Aviron Bayonne
13 :  22
Leinster
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

16 May 2026 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
42 :  35
Aviron Bayonne

25 Apr 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
52 :  26
Aviron Bayonne

21 Mar 2026 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
26 :  60
Aviron Bayonne

28 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Clermont
38 :  15
Aviron Bayonne

31 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31 :  10
Aviron Bayonne

10 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Leicester Tigers
57 :  14
Aviron Bayonne

Stade Francais Paris vs Aviron Bayonne Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stade Francais Paris

33 %

Draw

0 %

Aviron Bayonne

67 %

27 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
35 :  34
Stade Francais Paris

22 Mar 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
31 :  27
Aviron Bayonne

1 Dec 2024 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
21 :  13
Stade Francais Paris

20 Apr 2024 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
28 :  24
Aviron Bayonne

29 Oct 2023 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
16 :  3
Stade Francais Paris

18 Feb 2023 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
29 :  26
Stade Francais Paris
Stade Francais Paris vs Aviron Bayonne Prediction

Players list

Stade Francais Paris
Stade Francais Paris
P. Azagoh S. Ezeala M. Hirigoyen L. Barre L. Peyresblanques P. Dakuwaqa N. Nene T. Vili P. Abadie P. Gabrillagues P. Alo-Emile L. Carbonel M. Alo-Emile Y. Tanga J. Ward
Aviron Bayonne
Aviron Bayonne
J. Segonds B. Heguy S. Cormenier C. Tiberghien Y. Orabe L. Martin A. Erbinartegaray T. Spring A. Fischer N. Lomidze A. Iturria M. Tuilagi L. Paulos E. Setiano M. Machenaud

Substitutes

Stade Francais Paris
Stade Francais Paris
T. Motassi Dibongue J. Iscaro S. Macalou J. Marchant G. Melikidze R. Briatte B. Pesenti G. Nicotera
Aviron Bayonne
Aviron Bayonne
L. Tagi F. Mori N. Traversier A. Bordelai V. Hannoun E. Johnson H. Jantjies V. Giudicelli

Stade Francais Paris - Aviron Bayonne Key Points

  1. Stade Francais Paris have won six of their last seven Top 14 matches, five of which by 19 points or more.
  2. Stade Francais have posted an impressive 10–1–1 home league record this season.
  3. The Pink Soldiers have won each of their last four home league matches, averaging a 27-point winning margin per contest.
  4. Bayonne have lost their last four matches.
  5. Bayonne have lost 12 of their last 13 away matches, mostly by wide margins.
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Our Stade Francais Paris vs Aviron Bayonne Prediction

Stade Francais Paris have shown no signs of slowing down as the race for the playoff semi-final spots gathers momentum. With an impressive six wins from their last seven league outings, Les Stadistes head into this contest as the overwhelming favourites against a struggling Bayonne side that are on a four-match losing streak.

Moreover, Bayonne have only their pride on the line, and their poor road record points to what is likely to be another difficult away outing. Our Stade Francais Paris vs Aviron Bayonnais prediction: Stade Francais Paris –16.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Stade Francais Paris –16.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.