Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction & Betting Tips - Portugal League Cup
Portugal - Portugal League Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria de Guimaraes will take a break from their domestic league duties and shift their focus to the Taca da Liga. Both teams have made it to the semi-finals, and the venue hosting this high-stakes clash is the Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa. Here's our match prediction.
Sporting Lisbon dropped two points in their recent league fixture against Gil Vicente, playing to a drab 1-1 draw. They now find themselves four points behind the top spot, having played a game more than league leaders FC Port.
Their focus now shifts to the Taca da Liga. The Lions' journey began in the quarter-finals of this tournament and cruised past Alverca in a 5-1 mauling.
Since missing out on a semi-final berth in the 2016-17 edition, Sporting have made eight consecutive appearances and progressed beyond this stage five times.
Vitoria de Guimaraes have failed to meet expectations this season in LigaPortugal. However, they still have a chance to redeem themselves with three points separating them from a European football spot.
In their most recent league game, they managed to end a two-game unbeaten run with a hard-fought 2-1 home victory over Nacional da Madeira.
Regarding their performance in the Taca da Liga, the Conquerors began their campaign with a shocking 3-1 win over FC Porto in the quarter-finals. This marks their first semi-final appearance since the 2019-20 edition.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Sporting Lisbon v Vitoria SC Guimaraes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.32 | 4.9 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 10 |
|
|
1.31 | 4.95 | 9.8 |
|
|
1.32 | 4.9 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.32 | 4.9 | 9.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/01/2026 between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes in Portugal League Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.07% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 1.33 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes is 12.44% with odds of 5 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 10.5 at Shangrila.
Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 62.07% | 1.33 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.21% | 1.93 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 75.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 32.98% | 1.88 at LSbet |
Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Form
Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
31 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
8 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup
8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal
24 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon against Vitoria SC Guimaraes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Virginia
DefenderG. Vagiannidis
Romulo
H. Morita
L. Guilherme
A. Santos
D. Braganca
G. Kochorashvili
R. Ribeiro
J. Castillo Reyes
DefenderMaga
T. Lourenco De Carvalho
Arcanjo
R. Duarte
Samu
M. Mitrovic
F. Blanco
A. Ndoye
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
G. Quenda
(2 Goals)
,
S. Blopa
(2 Goals)
A. Ndoye
(3 Goals)
G. Vagiannidis
(2 Assists)
G. Nogueira
(1 Assists)
,
Samu
(1 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Key Points
- Sporting Lisbon have seen over 2.5 goals in five of their last six matches across all competitions.
- Two of Vitoria de Guimaraes' last three matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria de Guimaraes have seen four of their last matches end with over 2.5 goals.
- Vitoria de Guimaraes have seen two of their last three away matches against Sporting Lisbon end with a 3-0 scoreline.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction
Sporting Lisbon's matches have been packed with goals as five of their last six matches across all competitions have seen over 2.5 goals. Also, they boast offensive record in the league this season (GF 47) and are averaging 2.76 goals per game.
Vitoria de Guimaraes have first-hand knowledge of their opponents' masterclass offense, having conceded three goals in two of their last three outings. There's reason to believe they could find themselves conceding more than they should here. Our Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria de Guimaraes prediction: more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Vitoria SC Guimaraes
| Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.42 | 1.33 | -6.3% |
| Draw | 4.86 | 5 | +2.9% |
| Vitoria SC Guimaraes wins | 7 | 10.5 | +50.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 75.2% (4.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
